Abstract
Predicting the impacts of flood control measures to determine the best spatial distribution and specifications of check dams assists managers and engineers in planning flood control projects. The focus of this paper is on scenario analysis of check dam construction using a multi-criteria decision-making (MCDM) technique in the Jafar-Abad Watershed, Golestan Province, Iran. Based on spatial distribution, number and elevation of check dams, eight structural management scenarios were developed. For each scenario, flood hydrographs for different return periods were simulated using the HEC-HMS model. To predict the impacts of implementing the management scenarios, some hydrologic and hydroeconomic indices were quantified for each management scenario. To weight the indices, expert knowledge was elicited using the Delphi process. A MCDM approach was employed to choose the best management scenarios. The analysis shows that Scenario 7 (increasing the number of check dams from 58 to 69) is the best management scenario from the hydrologic perspective. In addition, best management scenarios from hydroeconomic perspective are Scenario 1 (current condition), and Scenario 5 (with only 15 check dams on an upstream sub-watershed), respectively. The approach implemented in this research is a useful way to allocate flood control measures efficiently and effectively.
Similar content being viewed by others
References
Abdelkareem M (2017) Targeting flash flood potential areas using remotely sensed data and GIS techniques. Nat Hazards 85(1):19–37
Agoramoorthy G, Chaudhary S, Hsu MJ (2008) The check-dam route to mitigate India’s water shortages. Nat Res J 48(3):565–583
Akter T, Simonovic SP (2002) A general overview of multi-objective multiple-participant decision making for flood management. The University of Western Ontario, Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Water Resources Research Report, no: 041, p 61
Al-Weshah RA, El-Khoury F (1999) Flood analysis and mitigation for Petra area in Jordan. J Water Res PL-ASCE 125:170–177
Amini A, Taherei Ghazvinei P, Javan M, Saghafian B (2014) Evaluating the impacts of watershed management on runoff storage and peak flow in Gav-Darreh watershed, Kurdistan, Iran. Arab J Geosci 7(8):3271–3279
ASCE (1993) Criteria for evaluation of watershed models. J Irrig Drain E-ASCE 119(3):429–442
Bahremand A (2006) Simulation the effects of reforestation on floods using spatially distributed hydrologic modeling and GIS. PhD thesis, Vrije Universiteit Brussel, p 122
Bahremand A, De Smedt F, Corluy J, Liu YB, Poorova J, Velcicka L, Kunikova E (2006) Application of WetSpa model for assessing land use impacts on floods in the Margecany-Hornad watershed, Slovakia. Water Sci Technol 53(10):37–45
Banks JC, Camp JV, Abkowitz MD (2014) Adaptation planning for floods: a review of available tools. Nat Hazards 70:1327–1337
Boix-Fayos C, Barbera GG, Lopez-Bermudez F, Castillo VM (2007) Effects of check dams, reforestation and land-use changes on river channel morphology: case study of the Rogativa Watershed (Murcia, Spain). Geomorphology 11:1–20
Castillo VM, Mosch WM, ConesaGarcia C, Barbera GG, NavarroCano JA, Lopez-Bermudez F (2007) Effectiveness and geomorphological impacts of check dams for soil erosion control in a semiarid Mediterranean watershed: El Carcavo (Murcia, Spain). CATENA 16:57–69
Castillo C, Perez R, Gomez JA (2013) A conceptual model of the hydraulics of check dams for gully control. Hydrol Earth Syst Sci 1:11901–11941
Colton RC (2011) Investigation of the use of multi-criteria decision-making tools for management of an urbanizing watershed. MSc thesis in Civil Engineering, University of Nebraska—Lincoln, p 73
Costa CAB, Silva PAD, Correia FN (2004) Multi-criteria evaluation of flood control measures: the case of Ribeira Do Livramento. Water Resour Manag 18:263–283
Elfeki A, Masoud M, Niyazi B (2017) Integrated rainfall–runoff and flood inundation modeling for flash flood risk assessment under data scarcity in arid regions: Wadi Fatimah basin case study, Saudi Arabia. Nat Hazards 85(1):87–109
FAO (2001) Small dams and weirs in earth and gabion materials. Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations, Land and Water Development Division, Rome, p 172
Government of Gujarat (2012) Sardar patel participatory water conservation scheme—water conservation through partnership between people and government—success story of Gujarat. http://guj-nwrws.gujarat.gov.in/showpage.aspx?contentid=1538&lang=English
Gul GO, Harmanciooglu N, Gul A (2010) A combined hydrologic and hydraulic modeling approach for testing efficiency of structural flood control measures. Nat Hazards 54:245–260
Hao F, Chen G (2010) A fuzzy multi-criteria group decision-making model based on weighted Borda scoring method for watershed ecological risk management: a case study of three Gorges Reservoir Area of China. Water Resour Manag 24(10):2139–2165
Harvey G, Thorne C, Cheng X, Evans E, Simm SH, Wang Y (2009) Qualitative analysis of future flood risk in the Taihu Basin, China. J Flood Risk Manag 2(2):10–85
Hassanli AM, Nameghi AE, Beecham S (2009) Evaluation of the effect of porous check dam location on fine sediment retention (a case study). Environ Mon Assess 152(1–4):319–326
Heathcote IW (1998) Integrated watershed management. Wiley, London, p 414
Hobbs BF, Meier P (2000) Energy decisions and the environment: a guide to the use of multicriteria methods. Kluwer Academic Publishers, Boston, p 257
Jakeman AJ, Letcher RA, Rojanasoonthon S, Cuddy S (2005) Integrating knowledge for river basin management. Australian Centre for International Agricultural Research, p 223
Khonkaen P, Jie-Dar Ch (2011) The application of check dams construction to watershed management: a case study in the North of Thailand. J Soil Water Conserv 43(1):111–122
Kiker GA, Bridges TS, Varghese A, Seager TP, Linkov I (2005) Application of multi criteria decision analysis in environmental decision making. Integr Environ Assess Manag 1(2):95–108
Krishna HJ (2005) The Texas guide to rainwater harvesting. Texas Water Development Board Third Edition, p 58
Lammersen R, Engel H, Langemheen WVD, Buiteveld H (2002) Impact of river training and retention measures on flood peaks along the Rhine. J Hydrol 267:115–124
Legates DR, McCabe GJ (1999) Evaluating the use of “goodness-of-fit” measures in hydrologic and hydroclimatic model validation. Water Res Res 35(1):233–241
Liu YB, Gebremeskel S, De Smedt F, Hoffmann L, Pfister L (2006) Predicting storm runoff from different land-use classes using a geographical information system-based distributed model. Hydrol Process 20:533–548
Maidment D, Djokic D (2000) Hydrologic and hydraulic modeling support with geographic information systems. Environmental Systems Research Institute, Redlands, p 216p
Martin C, Ruperd Y, Legret M (2007) Urban storm water drainage management: the development of a multi criteria decision aid approach for best management practices. Eur J Oper Res 181(1):338–349
Mazzorana B, Comiti F, Fuchs S (2013) A structured approach to enhance flood hazard assessment in mountain streams. Nat Hazards 67:991–1009
Meyer V, Scheuer S, Haase D (2008) A multicriteria approach for flood risk mapping exemplified at the Mulde river, Germany. Nat Hazards 48(1):17–39
Mishra A, Froebrich J, Gassman PW (2007) Evaluation of the SWAT model for assessing sediment control structures in a small watershed in India. Trans Am Soc Agric Biol Eng 50(2):469–477
Moriasi DN, Arnold JG, Van Liew MW, Bingner RL, Harmel RD, Veith TL (2007) Model evaluation guidelines for systematic quantification of accuracy in watershed simulations. Trans ASABE 50(3):885–900
Mostafazadeh R, Bahremand A, Sadoddin A (2009) Simulating the direct runoff hydrograph using Clark instantaneous unit hydrograph (case study: the Jafa-Abad Watershed, Golestan Province). J Water Soil Conserv Res 16(3):105–122 (in Persian)
Nahrsazane-Rostagh Consultancy Inc (2001) Final report on fundamental and executive studies of Jafar-Abad Watershed. Golestan Province 1(2):216 (in Persian)
National Research Council (2013) Levees and the national flood insurance program: improving policies and practices. The National Academies Press, Washington, DC. doi:10.17226/18309
NRCS (2009) National engineering handbook, part 630 hydrology. Chapter 7 Hydrologic Soil Group, pp 1–5
Polyakov VO, Nichols MH, McClaran MP, Nearing MA (2014) Effect of check dams on runoff, sediment yield, and retention on small semiarid watersheds. J Soil Water Conserv 69(5):414–421
Raju KS, Duckstein L, Arondel C (2000) Multicriterion analysis for sustainable water resources planning: a case study in Spain. Water Resour Manag 14:435–456
Renganayaki SP, Elango L (2013) A review on managed aquifer recharge by check dams: a case study near Chennai, India. Int J Res Eng Technol 2(4):416–423
Roshani R (2003) Evaluating the effect of check dams on flood peaks to optimise the flood control measures (case study in Iran). MSc thesis, International Institute for Geo Information Science and Earth Observation Enschede (ITC), p 43
Sadoddin A (2010) Bayesian network models for integrated catchment-scale management of salinity. LAP LAMBERT Academic Publishing. AG & Co. KG, New York, p 252
Sadoddin A, Mostafazadeh R, Sheikh VB, Halili MGH (2010) Analysis of vegetation-based management scenarios using MCDM in the Ramian watershed, Golestan, Iran. Int J Plant Prod 4(1):51–62
Saghafian B, Farazjoo H, Bozorgy B, Yazdandoost F (2008) Flood intensification due to changes in land use. Water Resour Manag 22:1051–1067
Sharifi A, Hervijnen MV, Toorn WVD (2004) Spatial decision support systems. International Institute for Geo-Information Science and Earth Observation (ITC), p 152
Sharifi F, Samadi SZ, Wilson CAME (2012) Causes and consequences of recent floods in the Golestan catchments and Caspian Sea regions of Iran. Nat Hazards 61:533–550
Shieh ChL, Guh YR, Wang SO (2007) The application of range of variability approach to the assessment of a check dam on riverine habitat alteration. J Environ Geol 52:427–435
Shokoohi AR (2007) Assessment of urban basins flood control measures using hydroGIS tools. J Appl Sci 7:1726–1733
Srdjevic B, Medeiros YDP, Faria AS (2004) An objective multi-criteria evaluation of water management scenarios. Water Resour Manag 18:35–54
Triantaphyllou E, Sachez A (1997) A sensitivity analysis approach for some deterministic multi-criteria decision making methods. Decis Sci 28(1):151–194
Turoff M (1970) The design of a policy Delphi. Technol Forecast Soc Chang 2:149–171
US Army Corps of Engineers (2006) Hydrologic modeling system HEC-HMS. user’s manual, version 3.1.0. HEC
USACE (2001) Hydrologic engineering center hydrologic modeling system. HEC-HMS Technical Manual, Davis, p 187
Vaziri F (2000) Depth-duration-frequency equations for short duration rainfalls of Iran. Khaje-Nasiradin Toosi University, p 28 (in Persian)
Wani SP, Singh HP, Sreedevi TK, Pathak P, Rego TJ, Shiferaw B, Iyer SR (2003) Farmer-participatory integrated watershed management: Adarsha watershed, Kothapally India—an innovative and upscalable approach. J SAT Agric Res 2(1):1–27
Wanielista MP (1997) Hydrology and water quantity control. University of Central Florida, p 565
Xu XZh, Zhang HW, Zhang O (2007) Development of check dam-dam systems in gullies on the Loess Plateau, China. Environ Sci Policy 7:79–86
Yazdi J, Neyshabouri SAAS (2012) Optimal design of flood-control multi-reservoir system on a watershed scale. Nat Hazards 63:629–646
Yilmaz B, Harmancioglu NB (2010) Multi-criteria decision making for water resource management: a case study of the Gediz River Basin, Turkey. Water SA 36(5):563–576
Zehtabiyan Gh, Ghoddusi J, Ahmadi H, Khalilizadeh M (2011) Assessment of the efficiency of check dams in the control of stream suspended load (case study: Marmeh Watershed in southern Iran). J Environ Hydrol 19:1–10
Zheng PQ, Baetz BW (1999) GIS-based analysis of development options from a hydrological perspective. J Urban Plan Dev Div 125(4):164–180
Acknowledgements
Funding was provided by Gorgan University of Agricultural Sciences and Natural Resources (Grant No. 1387).
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Corresponding author
Rights and permissions
About this article
Cite this article
Mostafazadeh, R., Sadoddin, A., Bahremand, A. et al. Scenario analysis of flood control structures using a multi-criteria decision-making technique in Northeast Iran. Nat Hazards 87, 1827–1846 (2017). https://doi.org/10.1007/s11069-017-2851-1
Received:
Accepted:
Published:
Issue Date:
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s11069-017-2851-1