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Driving forces of indirect carbon emissions from household consumption in China: an input–output decomposition analysis

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Abstract

Human activities have become a major source of Earth’s climate change, which brings the rise of surface air temperature and subsurface ocean temperature. Therefore, promoting sustainable consumption and production patterns is imperative to minimize the use of natural resources and reduce emissions of pollutants. This study uses Economic Input–Output Life-Cycle Assessment method and structural decomposition model to identify the driving forces that influence the changes in carbon emissions from China’s residential consumption in the context of sustainable consumption. The findings of the study are as follows: (1) indirect carbon emissions from Chinese household consumption increase rapidly over time; (2) the largest carbon dioxide emitting sector turns from agriculture sector in 1992 into service sector in 2007; (3) the consumption level and the emission intensity are the main drivers that influence the change in indirect carbon emissions; and (4) the factor of consumption level presents positive effect on the emissions, while the emission intensity effect plays a negative role. Besides, the factors of urbanization, production structure, population size and consumption structure also promote the rapid increase in carbon emissions.

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Notes

  1. The Chinese input–output table was published each five years in 1992, 1997, 2002, and 2007. The input–output table of 2005 is the extended table of 2002. Since the input–output table in 2007 is the latest table, we use it to examine the current situation assuming that the revolutionary changes did not appear in the production technology and economic structure from 2007 up to now.

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Acknowledgments

This study is supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (Reference No. 71173017 and 71172106), Doctoral Fund of Ministry of Education of China (Reference No. 20101101110034), State Key Development Program of Basic Research of China (Reference No. 2012CB955703, 2012CB955704) and Natural Science Foundation of Beijing (Reference No. 9112013). The authors would like to express their gratitude to Prof. Yiming Wei for his comments and suggestions.

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Correspondence to Zhaohua Wang.

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Wang, Z., Liu, W. & Yin, J. Driving forces of indirect carbon emissions from household consumption in China: an input–output decomposition analysis. Nat Hazards 75 (Suppl 2), 257–272 (2015). https://doi.org/10.1007/s11069-014-1114-7

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