Skip to main content

Advertisement

Log in

Changes in annual and seasonal temperature extremes in the arid region of China, 1960–2010

  • Original Paper
  • Published:
Natural Hazards Aims and scope Submit manuscript

Abstract

Daily data of minimum and maximum temperature from 76 meteorological stations for 1960–2010 are used to detect the annual and seasonal variations of temperature extremes in the arid region, China. The Mann–Kendall test and Sen estimator are used to assess the significance of the trend and amount of change, respectively. Fifteen temperature indices are examined. The temperature extremes show patterns consistent with warming, with a large proportion of stations showing statistically significant trends. Warming trends in indices derived from daily minimum temperature are of greater magnitudes than those from maximum temperature, and stations along the Tianshan Mountains have larger trend magnitudes. The decreases in frequency for cold extremes mainly occur in summer and autumn, while warm extremes show significant increases in frequency in autumn and winter. For the arid region as a whole, the occurrence of cold nights and cold days has decreased by −1.89 and −0.89 days/decade, respectively, and warm nights and warm days has increased by 2.85 and 1.37 days/decade, respectively. The number of frost days and ice days exhibit significant decreasing trends at the rates of −3.84 and −2.07 days/decade. The threshold indices also show statistically significant increasing trends, with the extreme lowest temperatures faster than highest temperatures. The diurnal temperature range has decreased by 0.23 °C/decade, which is in accordance with the more rapid increases in minimum temperature than in maximum temperature. The results of this study will be useful for local human mitigation to alterations in water resources and ecological environment in the arid region of China due to the changes of temperature extremes.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this article

Price excludes VAT (USA)
Tax calculation will be finalised during checkout.

Instant access to the full article PDF.

Fig. 1
Fig. 2
Fig. 3
Fig. 4
Fig. 5
Fig. 6
Fig. 7
Fig. 8

Similar content being viewed by others

References

  • Aguilar E, Peterson TC, Obando PR, Frutos R, Retana JA, Solera M, Soley J, Garcia IG, Araujo RM, Santos AR, Valle VE, Brunet M, Aguilar L, Alvarez L, Bautista M, Castanon C, Herrera L, Ruano E, Sinay JJ, Sanchez E, Oviedo GIH, Obed F, Salgado JE, Vazquez JL, Baca M, Gutierrez M, Centella C, Espinosa J, Martinez D, Olmedo B, Espinoza CEO, Nunez R, Haylock M, Benavides H, Mayorga R (2005) Changes in precipitation and temperature extremes in Central America and northern South America, 1961–2003. J Geophys Res-Atmos 110 (D23). doi:10.1029/2005jd006119

  • Aguilar E, Barry AA, Brunet M, Ekang L, Fernandes A, Massoukina M, Mbah J, Mhanda A, do Nascimento DJ, Peterson TC, Umba OT, Tomou M, Zhang X (2009) Changes in temperature and precipitation extremes in western central Africa, Guinea Conakry, and Zimbabwe, 1955–2006. J Geophys Res-Atmos 114 (D02115). doi:10.1029/2008JD011010

  • Alexander LV, Zhang X, Peterson TC, Caesar J, Gleason B, Tank A, Haylock M, Collins D, Trewin B, Rahimzadeh F, Tagipour A, Kumar KR, Revadekar J, Griffiths G, Vincent L, Stephenson DB, Burn J, Aguilar E, Brunet M, Taylor M, New M, Zhai P, Rusticucci M, Vazquez-Aguirre JL (2006) Global observed changes in daily climate extremes of temperature and precipitation. J Geophys Res-Atmos 111(D5). doi:10.1029/2005jd006290

  • Alexander LV, Hope P, Collins D, Trewin B, Lynch A, Nicholls N (2007) Trends in Australia’s climate means and extremes: a global context. Aust Meteorol Mag 56(1):1–18

    Google Scholar 

  • Chen YN, Li WH, Xu CC, Hao XM (2007) Effects of climate change on water resources in Tarim River Basin, Northwest China. J Environ Sci-China 19(4):488–493

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Ding YH, Wang ZY, Song YF, Zhang J (2008) The unprecedented freezing disaster in January 2008 in Southern China and its possible association with the global warming. Acta Meteorol Sin 22(4):538–558

    Google Scholar 

  • Feng Q, Liu W, Si JH, Su YH, Zhang YW, Cang ZQ, Xi HY (2005) Environmental effects of water resource development and use in the Tarim River basin of northwestern China. Environ Geol 48(2):202–210. doi:10.1007/s00254-005-1288-0

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Frich P, Alexander LV, Della-Marta P, Gleason B, Haylock M, Tank AMGK, Peterson T (2002) Observed coherent changes in climatic extremes during the second half of the twentieth century. Clim Res 19(3):193–212

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Hao XM, Chen YN, Xu CC, Li WH (2008) Impacts of climate change and human activities on the surface runoff in the Tarim River basin over the last fifty years. Water Resour Manag 22(9):1159–1171. doi:10.1007/s11269-007-9218-4

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Karl TR, Easterling DR (1999) Climate extremes: selected review and future research directions. Clim Change 42(1):309–325

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Kendall MG (1975) Rank-correlation measures. Charles Griffin, London, p 202

    Google Scholar 

  • Kioutsioukis I, Melas D, Zerefos C (2010) Statistical assessment of changes in climate extremes over Greece (1955–2002). Int J Climatol 30(11):1723–1737. doi:10.1002/joc.2030

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Li XH, Shi QD, Guo J (2009) The response of NDVI to climate variability in Northwest Arid Area of China from 1981 to 2001. J Arid Land Resour Environ 23(2):12–16 (in Chinese)

    Google Scholar 

  • Li ZQ, Li KM, Wang L (2010) Study on recent glacier changes and their impact on water resources in Xinjiang, Northwestern China. Q Sci 30(1):96–106 (in Chinese)

    Google Scholar 

  • Liu M, Shen Y, Liu C (2009) Change trend of pan evaporation and its cause analysis over the past 50 years in China. Acta Geogr Sinica 64(3):259–269

    Google Scholar 

  • Mann HB (1945) Non-parametric tests against trend. Econometrica 13:245–259

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • McNider RT, Steeneveld GJ, Holtslag AAM, Pielke RA, Mackaro S, Pour-Biazar A, Walters J, Nair U, Christy J (2012) Response and sensitivity of the nocturnal boundary layer over land to added longwave radiative forcing. J Geophys Res-Atmos 117. doi:10.1029/2012jd017578

  • New M, Hewitson B, Stephenson DB, Tsiga A, Kruger A, Manhique A, Gomez B, Coelho CAS, Masisi DN, Kululanga E, Mbambalala E, Adesina F, Saleh H, Kanyanga J, Adosi J, Bulane L, Fortunata L, Mdoka ML, Lajoie R (2006) Evidence of trends in daily climate extremes over southern and west Africa. J Geophys Res-Atmos 111(D14). doi:10.1029/2005jd006289

  • Ni J (2011) Impacts of climate change on Chinese ecosystems: key vulnerable regions and potential thresholds. Reg Environ Change 11:S49–S64. doi:10.1007/s10113-010-0170-0

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Parker DE (2004) Climate—large-scale warming is not urban. Nature 432(7015):290. doi:10.1038/432290a

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Parker DE (2006) A demonstration that large-scale warming is not urban. J Clim 19(12):2882–2895. doi:10.1175/jcli3730.1

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Ren GY, Zhou YQ, Chu ZY, Zhou JX, Zhang AY, Guo J, Liu XF (2008) Urbanization effects on observed surface air temperature trends in north China. J Clim 21(6):1333–1348

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Rusticucci M, Renom M (2008) Variability and trends in indices of quality-controlled daily temperature extremes in Uruguay. Int J Climatol 28(8):1083–1095. doi:10.1002/joc.1607

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Schar C, Jendritzky G (2004) Climate change: hot news from summer 2003. Nature 432(7017):559–560

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Sen PK (1968) Estimates of the regression coefficient based on Kendall’s Tau. J Am Stat As 63:1379–1389

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Shen YJ, Liu CM, Liu M, Zeng Y, Tian CY (2010) Change in pan evaporation over the past 50 years in the arid region of China. Hydrol Process 24(2):225–231. doi:10.1002/Hyp.7435

    Google Scholar 

  • Shi YF, Shen YP, Kang E, Li DL, Ding YJ, Zhang GW, Hu RJ (2007) Recent and future climate change in northwest china. Clim Change 80(3–4):379–393. doi:10.1007/s10584-006-9121-7

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Sun FB, Roderick ML, Farquhar GD, Lim WH, Zhang YQ, Bennett N, Roxburgh SH (2010) Partitioning the variance between space and time. Geophys Res Lett 37. doi:10.1029/2010gl043323

  • Toreti A, Desiato F (2008) Changes in temperature extremes over Italy in the last 44 years. Int J Climatol 28(6):733–745

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Trigo R, Pereira J, Pereira M, Mota B, Calado M, DaCamara C, Santo F (2006) The exceptional fire season of summer 2003 in Portugal. Int J Climatol 26(13):1741–1757

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Vincent LA, Peterson TC, Barros VR, Marino MB, Rusticucci M, Carrasco G, Ramirez E, Alves LM, Ambrizzi T, Berlato MA, Grimm AM, Marengo JA, Molion L, Moncunill DF, Rebello E, Anunciacao YMT, Quintana J, Santos JL, Baez J, Coronel G, Garcia J, Trebejo I, Bidegain M, Haylock MR, Karoly D (2005) Observed trends in indices of daily temperature extremes in South America 1960–2000. J Clim 18(23):5011–5023

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Walters JT, McNider RT, Shi X, Norris WB, Christy JR (2007) Positive surface temperature feedback in the stable nocturnal boundary layer. Geophys Res Lett 34 (12). doi:10.1029/2007gl029505

  • Wang Y, Xu X, Du YG, Tang JP (2011) Variations of temperature and precipitation extremes in recent two decades over China. Atmos Res 101(1–2):143–154

    Google Scholar 

  • Xu ZX, Liu ZF, Fu GB, Chen YN (2010) Trends of major hydroclimatic variables in the Tarim River basin during the past 50 years. J Arid Environ 74(2):256–267. doi:10.1016/j.jaridenv.2009.08.014

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Yao TD, Wang YQ, Liu SY, Pu JC, Shen YP, Lu AX (2004) Recent glacial retreat in High Asia in China and its impact on water resource in Northwest China. Sci China Ser D-Earth Sci 47(12):1065–1075. doi:10.1360/03yd0256

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • You QL, Kang SC, Aguilar E, Yan YP (2008) Changes in daily climate extremes in the eastern and central Tibetan Plateau during 1961–2005. J Geophys Res-Atmos 113 (D7). doi:10.1029/2007jd009389

  • You QL, Kang SC, Aguilar E, Pepin N, Flugel WA, Yan YP, Xu YW, Zhang YJ, Huang J (2011) Changes in daily climate extremes in China and their connection to the large scale atmospheric circulation during 1961–2003. Clim Dyn 36(11–12):2399–2417. doi:10.1007/s00382-009-0735-0

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Yue SP, Pilon B, Cavadias G (2002) The influence of autocorrelation on the ability to detect trend in hydrological series. Hydrol Process 16:1807–1829

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Zhang XB, Aguilar E, Sensoy S, Melkonyan H, Tagiyeva U, Ahmed N, Kutaladze N, Rahimzadeh F, Taghipour A, Hantosh TH, Albert P, Semawi M, Ali MK, Al-Shabibi MHS, Al-Oulan Z, Zatari T, Khelet IA, Hamoud S, Sagir R, Demircan M, Eken M, Adiguzel M, Alexander L, Peterson TC, Wallis T (2005) Trends in Middle East climate extreme indices from 1950 to 2003. J Geophys Res-Atmos 110 (D22). doi:10.1029/2005JD006181

  • Zhang Q, Xu CY, Zhang ZX, Chen YD (2009) Changes of temperature extremes for 1960–2004 in Far-West China. Stoch Env Res Risk Assess 23(6):721–735. doi:10.1007/s00477-008-0252-4

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Zhang CX, Wang XM, Guo J (2010) Effects of vegetation change on wind-sand activity in Northwestern China. J Desert Res 30(2):254–259 (in Chinese)

    Google Scholar 

  • Zhao X, Tan K, Zhao S, Fang J (2011) Changing climate affects vegetation growth in the arid region of the northwestern China. J Arid Environ 75(10):946–952. doi:10.1016/j.jaridenv.2011.05.007

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Zheng Y, Xie Z, Jiang L, Shimizu H, Drake S (2006) Changes in Holdridge life zone diversity in the Xinjiang Uygur Autonomous Region (XUAR) of China over the past 40 years. J Arid Environ 66(1):113–126. doi:10.1016/j.jaridenv.2005.09.005

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Zhou LM, Dickinson RE, Tian YH, Fang JY, Li QX, Kaufmann RK, Tucker CJ, Myneni RB (2004) Evidence for a significant urbanization effect on climate in China. Proc Natl Acad Sci USA 101(26):9540–9544

    Article  Google Scholar 

Download references

Acknowledgments

The research is supported by the National Basic Research Program of China (973 Program: 2010CB951003). Assistance on data processing and paper writing from Yongbo LIU is greatly appreciated. The authors thank the National Climate Central, China Meteorological Administration, for providing the meteorological data for this study.

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Corresponding author

Correspondence to Yaning Chen.

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

About this article

Cite this article

Wang, H., Chen, Y., Chen, Z. et al. Changes in annual and seasonal temperature extremes in the arid region of China, 1960–2010. Nat Hazards 65, 1913–1930 (2013). https://doi.org/10.1007/s11069-012-0454-4

Download citation

  • Received:

  • Accepted:

  • Published:

  • Issue Date:

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s11069-012-0454-4

Keywords

Navigation