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Future Scenarios of Environmental Vulnerability Mapping Using Grey Analytic Hierarchy Process

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Abstract

Any sustainable resource utilization plan requires evaluation of the present and future environmental impact. The present research focuses on future scenario generation of environmental vulnerability zones based on grey analytic hierarchy process (grey-AHP). Grey-AHP combines the advantages of grey clustering method and the classical analytic hierarchy process (AHP). Environmental vulnerability index (EVI) considers twenty-five natural, environmental and anthropogenic parameters, e.g. soil, geology, aspect, elevation, slope, rainfall, maximum and minimum temperature, normalized difference vegetation index, drainage density, groundwater recharge, groundwater level, groundwater potential, water yield, evapotranspiration, land use/land cover, soil moisture, sediment yield, water stress, water quality, storage capacity, land suitability, population density, road density and normalized difference built-up index. Nine futuristic parameters were used for EVI calculation from the Dynamic Conversion of Land-Use and its Effects, Model for Interdisciplinary Research on Climate 5 and Soil and Water Assessment Tool. The resulting maps were classified into three classes: “high”, “moderate” and “low”. The result shows that the upstream portion of the river basin comes under the high vulnerability zone for the years 2010 and 2030, 2050. The effectiveness of zonation approach was between “better” and “common” classes. Sensitivity analysis was performed for EVI. Field-based soil moisture point data were utilized for validation purpose. The resulting maps provide a guideline for planning of detailed hydrogeological studies.

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Acknowledgment

The authors thank Irrigation and Waterways Directorate, Government of West Bengal, India, for providing necessary support for this research work. The authors also would like to thank the anonymous reviewer for providing valuable comments and suggestions to improve the quality of the paper.

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Authors and Affiliations

  1. Faculty of Interdisciplinary Studies, Law and Management, Jadavpur University, Kolkata, WB, 700032, India

    Satiprasad Sahoo

  2. Department of Civil Engineering, Indian Institute of Technology, Kharagpur, India

    Anirban Dhar

  3. Department of Civil Engineering, Jadavpur University, Kolkata, India

    Anupam Debsarkar

  4. Central Ground Water Board, Kolkata, India

    Amlanjyoti Kar

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  1. Satiprasad Sahoo
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  2. Anirban Dhar
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  3. Anupam Debsarkar
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  4. Amlanjyoti Kar
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Correspondence to Satiprasad Sahoo.

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Sahoo, S., Dhar, A., Debsarkar, A. et al. Future Scenarios of Environmental Vulnerability Mapping Using Grey Analytic Hierarchy Process. Nat Resour Res 28, 1461–1483 (2019). https://doi.org/10.1007/s11053-019-09462-z

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  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s11053-019-09462-z

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