Skip to main content
Log in

Zipf’s Law: A Viable Geological Paradigm?

  • Published:
Natural Resources Research Aims and scope Submit manuscript

Abstract

Zipf’s Law originally was proposed as a guide to a statistical distribution in social studies. The law describes a relationship between size and rank of discrete phenomena. It is a variant of Pareto’s 1927 Law known as the 80/20 rule and is similar to Bode’s Law in concept. The relationship described by Zipf’s Law is a succession of order data with the largest followed by half the size for the next largest, which in turn, the next is half that size, and so on. In geology, it has been used with moderate success in resource assessment of mining and petroleum. In essence, it predicts how many entities of a certain size may be left in a sequence of decreasing size assuming the largest has been ascertained. Examples of applications would be plotting the rank and size of ore deposits or oil fields to determine how many deposits remained undiscovered and their size. After a flurry of papers in the 1970s and 1980s, application of the law apparently either was successful and thus not reported in way the literature or was determined to be ineffectual and its use discontinued, but either way the law lapsed into obscurity. Examples of oil- and gas-field size in Kansas, the occurrence of historic earthquakes that affected the state, and size of anticlines (plains-type folds) are presented to illustrate application and limits of Zipf’s Law.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this article

Price excludes VAT (USA)
Tax calculation will be finalised during checkout.

Instant access to the full article PDF.

Similar content being viewed by others

References

  • Barker, R., 1994, Recent exploration in the Hauraki Goldfield, Coromandel Peninsula: New Zealand Mining, v. 13, p. 9–15.

    Google Scholar 

  • Bulkin, G. A., 1988, Simulated impossible quantitative appraisal in the prediction of resources with the help of Zipf’s Law: Razvedka i Okhrana Nedr., v. 4, p. 15–18 (in Russian).

    Google Scholar 

  • Dahlberg, E. C., 1980, Pros and cons of Zipf’s Law as a resource appraisal tool (abst.), in Miall, A.D., ed., 1980, Facts and Principles of World Petroleum Occurrence: Canadian Soc. Petroleum Geologists Mem., v. 6, p. 987.

  • Dou, L., 1991, Limitations in the application of Pareto law to resource evaluation and its revision: Petrol. Expl. and Devel., v. 18, Suppl., p. 21–27 (in Chinese).

    Google Scholar 

  • Drew, L. J., and Schuenemeyer, J. H., 1993, The evolution and use of discovery process models at the U.S. Geol. Survey: Am. Assoc. Petroleum Geologists Bull., v. 77, no. 3, p. 467–478.

    Google Scholar 

  • Folinsbee, R. E., 1977, World’s view—From Alph to Zipf: Geol. Soc. America Bull., v. 88, no. 7, p. 897–907.

    Google Scholar 

  • Guiter, H., and Arapov, M. V., eds., 1982, Studies on Zipf’s Law: Studienverlag Dr. N. Brockmeyer, Bochum, 262 p.

  • Howarth, R. J., White, C. M., and Koch, G. S., Jr., 1980, On Zipf’s law applied to resource prediction: Inst. Min. Metall. Trans., Sect. B, v. 89, p. B182&B190.

    Google Scholar 

  • Huang, J.-F., and Xu, D.-Y., 1990, Zipf’s law, Taiji distribution and application in geology: Proc. Intern. Workshop on Statistical Prediction of Mineral Resources, China Univ. Geosciences, preprint, 5 p.

  • Jinglin, Y., and Sheng, L., 1983, Tentative aplication (sic) of Zipfs law to prognosis of some mineral deposits in China: Geological Review, v. 29, no. 6, p. 574–575 (in Chinese with English abstract).

    Google Scholar 

  • Mandelbrot, B. B., 1953, An informational theory of the statistical structure of languages in communication theory, in Jackson, W., ed., Application of Communication Theory: Butterworths, London, p. 486–502.

    Google Scholar 

  • Merriam, D. F., 1956, History of earthquakes in Kansas: Seism. Soc. America Bull., v. 46, no. 2, p. 87–96.

    Google Scholar 

  • Merriam, D. F., 1963, The geologic history of Kansas: Kansas Geol. Survey Bull., v. 162, 317 p.

    Google Scholar 

  • Němec, V., 1970, the Law of Regular Structural Pattern: Its application with special regard to mathematical geology, in Merriam, D. F., ed., Geostatistics: A Colloquium: Plenum, New York, p. 63–78.

    Google Scholar 

  • Paliwal, H. V., Bhatnagar, S. N., and Haldar, S. K., 1986, Lead-zinc resource prediction in India: An application of Zipf’s Law: Math. Geology, v. 18, no. 6, p. 539–549.

    Google Scholar 

  • Pareto, V, 1927, Manuel d’economie politique (2nd edn.): M. Giard, Paris, 695 p.

  • Rowlands, N. J., and Sampey, D., 1977, Zipf’s Law&an aid to resource inventory prediction in partially explored areas: Math. Geology, v. 9, no. 4, p. 383–391.

    Google Scholar 

  • Scarrott, G., 1974, Will Zipf join Gauss?: New Scientist, v. 62, no. 896, p. 402–404.

    Google Scholar 

  • Schuenemeyer, J. H., and Drew, L. J., 1983, A procedure to estimate the parent population of the size of oil and gas fields as revealed by a study of economic truncation: Math. Geology, v. 15, no. 1, p. 145–161.

    Google Scholar 

  • Simon, W. A., 1972, The size of things, in Tanur, J. M., ed., Statistics. A Guide to the Unknown: Holden-Day, San Francisco, p. 195–202.

    Google Scholar 

  • Sornette, D., Knopoff, L., Kagan, Y. Y., and Vanneste, C., 1996, Rank-ordering statistics of extreme events: Application to the distribution of large earthquakes: Jour. Geophys. Research, v. 101, no. B6, p. 13883–13894.

    Google Scholar 

  • Tapp, B. A., and Koniuszko, V., 1978, Application of Zipf’s law to mineral distribution patterns in the northern Australian orogenic provinces: 11th Commonwealth Mineral and Metallurgical Congress, IMM Paper 35, 8 p.

  • Yang, B., and Sun, Z., 1989, The application of Zipf’s Law to oil and gas resource rediction (sic): Petrol. Expl. and Devel., v. 16, no. 2, p. 31–35 (in Chinese).

    Google Scholar 

  • Yu, J., and Li, S., 1983, Application of Zipf’s Law to the estimation of some mineral resources in China: Geol. Review, v. 29, no. 6, p. 573–574 (in Chinese).

    Google Scholar 

  • Zemtsov, A. N., 1995, Rank statistics, Zipf Law and geo-sciences objects (abst.): Intern. Union Geodesy and Geophysics, Gen. Assem., v. 21, Week B, p. 409.

    Google Scholar 

  • Zipf, G. K., 1949, Human Behavior and the Principle of Least Effort: An introduction to human ecology: Addison-Wesley, Reading, MA, 573 p.

    Google Scholar 

Download references

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Corresponding author

Correspondence to Daniel F. Merriam.

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

About this article

Cite this article

Merriam, D.F., Drew, L.J. & Schuenemeyer, J.H. Zipf’s Law: A Viable Geological Paradigm?. Nat Resour Res 13, 265–271 (2004). https://doi.org/10.1007/s11053-004-0134-5

Download citation

  • Received:

  • Accepted:

  • Issue Date:

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s11053-004-0134-5

Navigation