Skip to main content

Advertisement

Log in

Adaptation to climate change in the Northeast United States: opportunities, processes, constraints

  • Original Article
  • Published:
Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change Aims and scope Submit manuscript

Abstract

Scientific evidence accumulating over the past decade documents that climate change impacts are already being experienced in the US Northeast. Policy-makers and resource managers must now prepare for the impacts from climate change and support implementing such plans on the ground. In this paper we argue that climate change challenges the region to maintain its economic viability, but also holds some opportunities that may enhance economic development, human well-being, and social justice. To face these challenges and seize these opportunities effectively we must better understand adaptation capacities, opportunities and constraints, the social processes of adaptation, approaches for engaging critical players and the broader public in informed debate, decision-making, and conscious interventions in the adaptation process. This paper offers a preliminary qualitative assessment, in which we emphasize the need for (1) assessing the feasibility and side effects of technological adaptation options, (2) increasing available resources and improving equitable access to them, (3) increasing institutional flexibility, fit, cooperation and decision-making authority, (4) using and enhancing human and social capital, (5) improving access to insurance and other risk-spreading mechanisms, and (6) linking scientific information more effectively to decision-makers while engaging the public. Throughout, we explore these issues through illustrative sectoral examples. We conclude with a number of principles that may guide the preparation of future adaptation plans for the Northeast.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this article

Price excludes VAT (USA)
Tax calculation will be finalised during checkout.

Instant access to the full article PDF.

Similar content being viewed by others

References

  • ABC News et al (2006) ABC News/TIME Magazine/Stanford Poll: global warming. ABC News, Washington, DC

  • Adger WN (2003) Social capital, collective action and adaptation to climate change. Econ Geogr 79(4):387–404

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Adger WN (2006) Vulnerability. Glob Environ Change 16:268–281

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Adger WN, Vincent K (2004) Uncertainty in adaptive capacity. In: Manning M et al (eds) IPCC workshop on describing uncertainties in climate change to support analysis of risk and options. Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, Geneva, pp 49–51

    Google Scholar 

  • Adger WN et al (2006) Fairness in adaptation to climate change. The MIT Press, Cambridge, MA

    Google Scholar 

  • Ashton A et al (2007) A discussion of the potential impacts of climate change on the shorelines of the Northeastern USA. Technical Paper prepared for the Northeast Climate Impacts Assessment. Union of Concerned Scientists, Cambridge, MA

    Google Scholar 

  • Berkhout F, Hertin J, Gann DM (2004) Learning to adapt: organisational adaptation to climate change impacts. Tyndall Centre Working Paper 47

  • Brewer TL (2006) U.S. public opinion on climate change issues: update for 2005. Available at: http://faculty.msb.edu/brewert/documents/USPublicOpinionupdatefor2005.doc; accessed January 12, 2006

  • Bulatao R, Anderson N (eds) (2004) Understanding racial and ethnic differences in health in late life: a research agenda. National Academies Press, Washington, DC

  • Burton I (1992) Adapt and thrive. Canadian Climate Centre, Downsview, Ontario, unpublished manuscript

  • CBCF (Congressional Black Caucus Foundation) (2004) African Americans and climate change: an unequal burden. Redefining Progress, San Francisco, CA

    Google Scholar 

  • Chase L (2006). Climate change impacts in dairy cattle. Available at http://www.climateandfarming.org/pdfs/FactSheets/III.3Cattle.pdf, accessed on 20 July 2006

  • Clark GE et al (1998) Assessing the vulnerability of coastal communities to extreme storms: the case of Revere, MA, USA. Mitig Adapt Strategies Glob Chang 3:59–82

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Collins K et al (2002) Quality of health care for African Americans: findings from the Commonwealth Fund 2001 Health Care Quality Survey. The Commonwealth Fund, New York, NY

    Google Scholar 

  • Collins K et al (2003) On the edge: low wage workers and their health insurance coverage. The Commonwealth Fund, New York, NY

    Google Scholar 

  • Cox JR et al (2007) Social vulnerability to climate change: a neighborhood analysis of the Northeast U.S. megaregion. Technical paper prepared for the Northeast Climate Impacts Assessment. Union of Concerned Scientists, Cambridge, MA

    Google Scholar 

  • Daniel B et al (2003) Social capital in virtual learning and distributed communities of practice. Canadian Journal of Learning and Technology 29(3), available at: http://www.cjlt.ca/content/vol29.3/cjlt29-3_art7.html

  • Doty M, Ives B (2002) Quality of health care for Hispanic populations: findings from the Commonwealth Fund 2001 Health Care Quality Survey. The Commonwealth Fund, New York, NY

    Google Scholar 

  • Dow K et al (2006) Exploring the social justice implications of adaptation and vulnerability. In: Adger WN et al (eds) Fairness in adaptation to climate change. The MIT Press, Cambridge, MA, pp 79–96

    Google Scholar 

  • Easterling DR et al (2000a) Observed variability and trends in extreme climate events: a brief review. Bull Amer Meteor Soc 81(3):417–425

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Easterling DR et al (2000b) Climate extremes: observations, modeling, and impacts. Science 289:2068–2074

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Easterling W et al (2004) Coping with global climate change: the role of adaptation in the United States. Pew Center on Global Climate Change, Washington, DC

    Google Scholar 

  • Ebi KL et al (2006) Some lessons learned from public health on the process of adaptation. Mitig Adapt Strategies Glob Chang 11(3):607–620

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • EPA (2006). Excessive heat events guidebook. EPA 430-B-06-005. Environmental Protection Agency. Office of Atmospheric Programs, Washington, DC

    Google Scholar 

  • Epstein P (1994) Framework for an integrated assessment of health, climate change, and ecosystem vulnerability. Ann NY Acad Sci 740:423–435

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Folke C (2006). Resilience: the emergence of a perspective for social–ecological systems analyses. Glob Environ Change 16:253–267

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Frank KT et al (2005) Trophic cascade in a formerly cod-dominated ecosystem. Science 308:1621–1623

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Gallopín GC (2006) Linkages between vulnerability, resilience, and adaptive capacity. Glob Environ Change 16:293–303

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Hayhoe K et al (2006) Climate change in the U.S. Northeast: a report of the Northeast Climate Impacts Assessment. Union of Concerned Scientists, Cambridge, MA

    Google Scholar 

  • Hayhoe K et al (2007a) Past and future changes in climate and hydrological indicators in the U.S. Northeast. Clim Dyn 28(4):381–407

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Hayhoe K et al (2007b). Quantifying the regional impacts of global climate change: evaluating AOGCM simulations of past and future trends in temperature, precipitation, and atmospheric circulation in the Northeast U.S. Bull Am Meteor Soc (in press).

  • Holmes TP et al (2005) The economic impacts of hemlock woolly adelgid on residential landscape values: Sparta, New Jersey case study. Proceedings of the Third Symposium on Hemlock Woolly Adelgid in the Eastern United States, Asheville, NC, February 1–3, 2005. In: Onken B, Reardon R (eds), FHTET 2005-01, pp 15–23

  • Jordan A, O’Riordan T (1995) Institutional adaptation to global environmental change (I): social institutions, policy change and social learning. CSERGE Working Paper GEC 95-20, Centre for Social and Economic Research on the Global Environment (CSERGE). University of East Anglia, Norwich, UK

    Google Scholar 

  • Kalkstein L (1998) Climate and human mortality: relationships and mitigating measures. In: Auliciems A (ed) Advances in bioclimatology: human bioclimatology. Springer, New York, pp 161–177

    Google Scholar 

  • Kalkstein L, Greene J (1997) An evaluation of climate/mortality relationships in large U.S. cities and the possible impacts of a climate change. Environ Health Perspect 105:75–102

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Karl TR, Knight RW (1998) Secular trends of precipitation amount and frequency in the United States. Bull Amer Meteor Soc 79:231–242

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Kasperson RE et al (1999) Trust, risk, and democratic theory. In: Cvetkovich G, Lofsted R (eds) Social trust and the management of risk. Earthscan, London, pp 22–44

    Google Scholar 

  • Kates RW et al (2006) Reconstruction of New Orleans following Hurricane Katrina. Proc Natl Acad Sci 103:14653–14660

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Keen M et al (2005) Social learning in environmental management: towards a sustainable future. Earthscan, London, Sterling, VA

    Google Scholar 

  • Kok M et al (2002) Global warming and social innovation: the challenge of a climate-neutral society. Earthscan, London, Sterling, VA

    Google Scholar 

  • Kunreuther HC (2006a) Disaster mitigation and insurance: learning from Katrina. Ann Am Acad Polit Soc Sci 604:208–227, March

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Kunreuther HC (2006b) Reflections on U.S. disaster insurance policy for the 21st century. In: Quigley JM, Rosenthal LA (eds) Risking house and home: disasters, cities, public policy. Berkeley Public Policy Press, Berkeley, CA; also available at: http://opim.wharton.upenn.edu/risk/library/06-19.pdf

  • Kunreuther HC, Michel-Kerjan EO (2006) Climate change, insurability of large-scale disasters and the emerging liability challenge. Paper presented at the University of Pennsylvania, Law Review conference on climate change, Philadelphia, 16–17 November 2006

  • Lehtonen M (2004) The environmental–social interface of sustainable development: capabilities, social capital, institutions. Ecol Econ 49(2):199–214

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Luers, AL, Moser, SC (2006) Preparing for the impacts of climate change in California: opportunities and constraints for adaptation. Report prepared for the California Energy Commission (CEC) and California Environmental Protection Agency, CEC-5000-198-SF, CEC, Sacramento, CA

  • McCarthy JJ et al (eds) (2001) Climate change 2001: impacts, adaptation, and vulnerability. Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC). Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK

  • March JG, Olsen JP (1989) Rediscovering institutions: the organizational basis of politics. Free Press, New York, NY

    Google Scholar 

  • McGeehin M, Mirabelli M (2001) The potential impacts of climate variability and change on temperature related morbidity and mortality in the United States. Environ Health Perspect 109(Supplement):85–189

    Google Scholar 

  • Mirza MMQ (2003) Climate change and extreme weather events: can developing countries adapt? Climate Policy 3:233–248

    Google Scholar 

  • Moser SC (1994) Wheels of misfortune: a 34-year record of winter storms and their impacts on Massachusetts, USA. Diplom thesis. University of Trier, Germany

    Google Scholar 

  • Moser SC (2005) Impacts assessments and policy responses to sea-level rise in three U.S. states: an exploration of human dimension uncertainties. Glob Environ Change 15:353–369

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Moser SC (2006) Communicating climate change-motivating civic action: opportunity for democratic renewal? In: VanDeveer S, Selin H (eds) Climate Change Politics in North America. Wilson Center Occasional Papers No.2, Wilson Center, Washington, DC, pp 109–118

    Google Scholar 

  • Mulvaney K (2005) Waterfront properties losing insurance. The Providence Journal, February 6, 2005; available at: http://www.projo.com/news/content/projo_20050206_ins6.222b755.html

  • NEG/ECP Climate Change Steering Committee (2005) Climate change in New England and Eastern Canada: natural resource impacts and adaptation response. Symposium Proceedings, Boston, March 15–16, 2004; available at: http://www.neg-ecp-environment.org/newsletters/News_Adaptation_Symposium_Report.pdf

  • NOAA-NMFS (National Marine Fisheries Service) (2005) Report on the status of the U.S. fisheries for 2005. NMFS, Department of Commerce, Washington, DC; available at: http://www.nmfs.noaa.gov/docs/Report_text_FINAL3.pdf

  • O’Riordan T et al (1998) Institutional frameworks for political action. In: Rayner S, Malone EL (eds), Human choice and climate change, vol 1. Batelle Press, Columbus, OH, pp 345–440

    Google Scholar 

  • Pahl-Wostl C (2002) Towards sustainability in the water sector: the importance of human actors and processes of social learning. Aquat Sci 64:394–411

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Parmesan C, Yohe G (2003) A globally coherent fingerprint of climate change impacts across natural systems. Nature 421:37–42

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Pelling M, High C (2005) Understanding adaptation: what can social capital offer assessments of adaptive capacity? Glob Environ Change 15(4):308–319

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Putnam J, Allshouse J (2003) Trends in U.S. per capita consumption of dairy products, 1909–2001. Amber Waves 1(3), available at: http://www.ers.usda.gov/Amberwaves/June03/DataFeature/; accessed 1 August 2006

  • Rogers EM (2003) Diffusion of innovations, 5th edn. (1962). Free Press, New York

  • Rosenzweig C, Solecki WD (2001) Climate change and a global city: the potential consequences of climate variability and change. Metro East Coast. Report for the U.S. Global Change Research Program’s U.S. National Assessment. Columbia Earth Institute, New York, NY

    Google Scholar 

  • Ross RM et al (2003) Influence of eastern hemlock (Tsuga canadensis L.) on fish community structure and function in headwater streams of the Delaware River basin. Ecology of Freshwater Fish 12:60–65

  • Sagar A, Banuri T (1999) In fairness to current generations: lost voices in the climate debate. Energy Policy 27:509–514

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Sheridan SC, Kalkstein LS (2004) Progress in heat watch-warning system technology. Bull Am Meteor Soc 85(12):1931–1941

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Smit B, Wandel J (2006) Adaptation, adaptive capacity and vulnerability. Glob Environ Change 16:282–292

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Smit B et al (2001) Adaptation to climate change in the context of sustainable development and equity. In: McCarthy, JJ et al (eds). Climate change 2001: impacts, adaptation and vulnerability. Contribution of Working Group II to the Third Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Cambridge Univ. Press, Cambridge, UK, pp 877–912

    Google Scholar 

  • Smith JB et al (2001) Vulnerability to climate change and reasons for concern: a synthesis. In: McCarthy, JJ et al (eds). Climate change 2001: impacts, adaptation and vulnerability. Contribution of Working Group II to the Third Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Cambridge Univ. Press, Cambridge, UK, pp 913–967

    Google Scholar 

  • Vogel C et al (2007) Linking vulnerability, adaptation, and resilience science to practice: pathways, players, and partnerships. Global Environmental Change (in press)

  • Williams R (1999) Environmental injustice in America and its politics of scale. Polit Geogr 18:49–73

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Wroblewski J (2006) Local management of local stocks. The Navigator: the voice of the marine industry 9(1):74–76

  • Yohe G, Tol R (2002) Indicators for social and economic coping capacity—moving toward a working definition of adaptive capacity. Global Environmental Change 12:25–40

    Google Scholar 

Download references

Acknowledgements

The authors would like to thank members of the NECIA sector impacts assessment teams and other informants for their time and thoughtful input in identifying adaptation opportunities and obstacles in the US Northeast. Professor Howard Kunreuther provided substantial input to Section 3.5 of this report. We are also grateful for the review comments of two anonymous reviewers as well as the editors of this special issue, which have greatly improved our paper. The mistakes that may remain and the interpretations of the information we obtained, however, are ours alone.

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Corresponding author

Correspondence to Susanne C. Moser.

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

About this article

Cite this article

Moser, S.C., Kasperson, R.E., Yohe, G. et al. Adaptation to climate change in the Northeast United States: opportunities, processes, constraints. Mitig Adapt Strateg Glob Change 13, 643–659 (2008). https://doi.org/10.1007/s11027-007-9132-3

Download citation

  • Received:

  • Revised:

  • Accepted:

  • Published:

  • Issue Date:

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s11027-007-9132-3

Keywords

Navigation