Skip to main content
Log in

Modeling Pathways of Character Development across the First Three Decades of Life: An Application of Integrative Data Analysis Techniques to Understanding the Development of Hopeful Future Expectations

  • Empirical Research
  • Published:
Journal of Youth and Adolescence Aims and scope Submit manuscript

Abstract

There were two purposes of the present research: first, to add to scholarship about a key character virtue, hopeful future expectations; and second, to demonstrate a recent innovation in longitudinal methodology that may be especially useful in enhancing the understanding of the developmental course of hopeful future expectations and other character virtues that have been the focus of recent scholarship in youth development. Burgeoning interest in character development has led to a proliferation of short-term, longitudinal studies on character. These data sets are sometimes limited in their ability to model character development trajectories due to low power or relatively brief time spans assessed. However, the integrative data analysis approach allows researchers to pool raw data across studies in order to fit one model to an aggregated data set. The purpose of this article is to demonstrate the promises and challenges of this new tool for modeling character development. We used data from four studies evaluating youth character strengths in different settings to fit latent growth curve models of hopeful future expectations from participants aged 7 through 26 years. We describe the analytic strategy for pooling the data and modeling the growth curves. Implications for future research are discussed in regard to the advantages of integrative data analysis. Finally, we discuss issues researchers should consider when applying these techniques in their own work.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this article

Price excludes VAT (USA)
Tax calculation will be finalised during checkout.

Instant access to the full article PDF.

Fig. 1
Fig. 2

Similar content being viewed by others

Notes

  1. Curran and Hussong (2009) distinguish between measurement invariance, which applies to studies with the same items, and measurement comparability, which applies to studies with different but similar items. For this demonstration, we selected a construct that shares the same items across studies, and so we focus on measurement invariance here.

  2. Scale averages assume all items are exchangeable, meaning that they have equal factor loadings (DeShon, 2004). Although this assumption is usually not tested, we did examine whether it was feasible in our studies, to provide additional justification for the computation of scale scores. For this test, we began with the models assuming strong invariance and added the additional constraint of equality of factor loadings. The exchangeability constraint produced negligible decreases in model fit (based on the change in the Comparative Fit Index, ΔCFI ≤ .001) for the ACT/4-H and ACT/YES comparisons, but not for the CAMP/4-H comparisons (ΔCFI = .023); see Table 4.

References

  • Bainter, S. A., & Curran, P. J. (2015). Advantages of integrative data analysis for developmental research. Journal of Cognition and Development, 16, 1–10.

    Article  PubMed  Google Scholar 

  • Berkowitz, M. W. (2011). What works in values education. International Journal of Educational Research, 50(3), 153–158.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Berkowitz, M. W. (2012). Moral and character education. In K. R. Harris, S. Graham, & T. Urdan (Eds.), APA educational psychology handbook. vol. 2: Individual differences, cultural variations, and contextual factors in educational psychology (pp. 247–264). Washington, DC: American Psychological Association.

    Google Scholar 

  • Berkowitz, M. W., Bier, M. C., & McCauley, B. (2016). Effective features and practices that support character development. Paper presented at The National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine Workshop on Approaches to the Development of Character, Washington, DC.

  • Bornstein, M. H. (2017). The specificity principle in acculturation science. Perspectives in Psychological Science, 12(1), 3–45.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Bowers, E. P., Geldhof, G. J., Schmid, K. L., Napolitano, C. M., Minor, K., & Lerner, J. V. (2012). Relationships with important nonparental adults and positive youth development: An examination of youth self-regulatory strengths as mediators. Research in Human Development, 9(4), 298–316.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Bowers, E. P., Hilliard, L. J., Batanova, M., Stacey, D. C., Tirrell, J. M., Wartella, K., & Lerner, R. M. (2015). The arthur interactive media study: Initial findings from a cross-age peer mentoring and digital media-based character development program. Journal of Youth Development, 10(3), 46–63.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Bowers, E. B., & Johnson, S. K. (2013). The adult social milieu and character development: Potential mechanisms of influence. In N. Hurd (Chair), Mentoring and adolescent development: Assessing pathways and exploring complexities. Symposium conducted at the annual meeting of the Association of Psychological Science, Washington, DC.

  • Callina, K. S., Johnson, S., Buckingham, M., & Lerner, R. M. (2014a). Hope in context: Developmental profiles of trust, hopeful future expectations, and civic engagement across adolescence. Journal of Youth and Adolescence, 43(6), 869–883.

    Article  PubMed  Google Scholar 

  • Callina, K. S., Mueller, M. K., Buckingham, M. H., & Gutierrez, A. S. (2014b). Building hope for positive youth development: Research, policy, and practice. In E. P. Bowers, G. J. Geldhof, S. K. Johnson, L. J. Hilliard, R. M. Hershberg, J. V. Lerner, & R. M. Lerner (Eds.), Promoting Positive Youth Development: Lessons Learned from the 4-H Study (pp. 71–94). New York, NY: Springer.

    Google Scholar 

  • Callina, K. S., Mueller, M. K., Napolitano, C. M., Lerner, J. V., & Lerner, R. M. (2016). Positive youth development: Relational developmental systems approaches to thriving from childhood to early adulthood. In S. J. Lopez, L. M. Edwards, & S. C. Marques (Eds.), The Oxford handbook of positive psychology. 3rd edn New York, NY: Oxford University Press. doi:10.1093/oxfordhb/9780199396511.013.11.

    Google Scholar 

  • Callina, K. S., Ryan, D., Murray, E. D., Colby, A., Damon, W., Matthews, M., & Lerner, R. M. (2017). Developing leaders of character at the United States military academy: A relational developmental systems analysis. Journal of College and Character, 18(1), 9–27.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Callina, K. S., Snow, N., & Murray, E. D. (in press). The history of philosophical and psychological perspectives on hope: Toward defining hope for the science of positive human development. In M. Gallagher & S. J. Lopez (Eds.), The Oxford Handbook of Hope. New York, NY: Oxford University Press.

  • Card, N. A. (2011). Applied meta-analysis for social science research. New York, NY: Guilford Press.

  • Card, N. A. (in press). Methodological issues in measuring the development of character. Journal of Moral Education.

  • Carver, C. S., & Scheier, M. F. (2002). The hopeful optimist. Psychological Inquiry, 13(4), 288–290.

    Google Scholar 

  • Cheung, G. W., & Rensvold, R. B. (2002). Evaluating goodness-of-fit indexes for testing measurement invariance. Structural Equation Modeling, 9, 233–255.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Cooper, H., & Patall, E. A. (2009). The relative benefits of meta- analysis conducted with individual participant data ver- sus aggregated data. Psychological Methods, 14, 165–176.

    Article  PubMed  Google Scholar 

  • Cumming, G. (2013). The new statistics: Estimation for better research. Retrieved from www.thenewstatistics.com.

  • Curran, P. J. (2009). The seemingly quixotic pursuit of a cumulative psychological science: Introduction to the Special Issue. Psychological Methods, 14(2), 77–80.

  • Curran, P. J., & Hussong, A. M. (2009). Integrative data analysis: The simultaneous analysis of multiple data sets. Psychology Methods, 14, 81–100.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Curran, P. J., Hussong, A. M., Cai, L., Huang, W., Chassin, L., Sher, K. J., & Zucker, R. A. (2008). Pooling data from multiple longitudinal studies: The role of item response theory in integrative data analysis. Developmental Psychology, 44, 365–380.

    Article  PubMed  PubMed Central  Google Scholar 

  • DeShon, R. P. (2004). Measures are not invariant across groups without error variance homogeneity. Psychology Science, 46(1), 137–149.

    Google Scholar 

  • Erikson, E. H. (1959). Identity and the life cycle. Psychological Issues, 1, 50–100.

    Google Scholar 

  • Ettekal, A. V., Callina, K. S., & Lerner, R. M. (2015). The promotion of character through youth development programs. Journal of Youth Development, 10(3), 6–13.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Ferris, K. A., Vest Ettekal, A., Agans, J. P., Burkhard, B. M., & Lerner, R. M. (2016). Character development through youth sport: High school coaches’ perspectives about a character-based education program. Journal of Youth Development, 10(3), 127–140.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Geldhof, G. J., Bowers, E. P., & Lerner, R. M. (2013). Special section introduction: Thriving in context: Findings from the 4-H study of positive youth development. Journal of Youth and Adolescence, 42(1), 1–5.

    Article  PubMed  Google Scholar 

  • Geldhof, G. J., Pornprasertmanit, S., Schoemann, A., & Little, T. D. (2013). Orthogonalizing through residual centering: Applications and caveats. Educational and Psychological Measurement, 73, 27–46.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Geldhof, G. J., Porter, T., Weiner, M. B., Malin, H., Bronk, K. C., Agans, J. P., Mueller, M., Damon, W., & Lerner, R. M. (2014). Fostering youth entrepreneurship: Preliminary findings from the Young Entrepreneurs Study. Journal of Research on Adolescence, 24, 431–446.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Grimm, K. J., & Ram, N. (2012). Growth curve modeling from a structural equation modeling perspective. In B. Laursen, T. D. Little, & N. A. Card (Eds.), Handbook of developmental research methods (pp. 411–431). New York, NY: Guilford Press.

  • Hilliard, L. J., Hershberg, R. M., Wang, J., Bowers, E. P., Chase, P. A., Champine, R. B., & Lerner, R. M. (2014). Program innovations and character in Cub Scouts: Findings from year 1 of a mixed-methods, longitudinal study. Journal of Youth Development, 9(4), 4–30.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Hofer, S. M., & Piccinin, A. M. (2009). Integrative data analysis through coordination of measurement and analysis protocol across independent longitudinal studies. Psychological Methods, 14, 150–164.

    Article  PubMed  PubMed Central  Google Scholar 

  • Johnson, S. K., Hershberg, R. M., Arbeit, M. R., DeSouza, L. M., Callina, K. S., & Gutierrez, A. S., et al. (2014). Exploring characteristics of young adult men: Initial findings from a mixed methods evaluation of an all-male character-focused trade school. Journal of Character Education, 10(2), 129–154.

    Google Scholar 

  • Lapsley, D. K., & Narvaez, D. (2006). Character education. In A. Renninger, & I. Siegel (Eds.), Child psychology in practice. Volume 4 of the Handbook of Child Psychology. 6th edn. (pp. 248–296). New York: Wiley.

    Google Scholar 

  • Lerner, R. M. (2015). Preface. In R. M. Lerner (Ed.), Handbook of child psychology and developmental science. 7th edn. (pp. xv–xxi). Hoboken, NJ: Wiley.

    Google Scholar 

  • Lerner, R. M., & Callina, K. S. (2014). Relational developmental systems theories and the ecological validity of experimental designs. Human Development, 56(6), 372–380.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Lerner, R. M., Lerner, J. V., Almerigi, J., Theokas, C., Phelps, E., & Gestsdóttir, S., et al. (2005). Positive youth development, participation in community youth development programs, and community contributions of fifth-grade adolescents: Findings from the first wave of the 4-H study of positive youth development. Journal of Early Adolescence, 25(1), 17–71.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Lerner, R. M., Lerner, J. V., Bowers, E., & Geldhof, G. J. (2015). Positive youth development and relational developmental systems. In W. F. Overton, & P. C. Molenaar (Eds.), Theory and Method. Volume 1 of the Handbook of child psychology and developmental science. 7th edn. (pp. 607–651). Hoboken, NJ: Wiley.

    Google Scholar 

  • Lerner, R. M., Schwartz, S. J., & Phelps, E. (2009). Problematics of time and timing in the longitudinal study of human development: Theoretical and methodological issues. Human Development, 52(1), 44–68.

    Article  PubMed  PubMed Central  Google Scholar 

  • Lerner, R. M., Vandell, D. L., & Tirrell, J. M. (in press). Approaches to the development of character: Meanings, methods, and measures. Journal of Character Education.

  • Little, T. D. (2013). Longitudinal structural equation modeling. New York: Guilford Press.

    Google Scholar 

  • Lopez, S. J., Rose, S., Robinson, C., Marques, S. C., & Pais-Ribeiro, J. L. (2009). Measuring and promoting hope in school children. In R. Gilman, E. S. Huebner, & M. J. Furlong (Eds.), Handbook of positive psychology in the schools (pp. 37–51). Mahwah, NJ: Lawrence Erlbaum.

    Chapter  Google Scholar 

  • Markus, H., & Nurius, P. (1986). Possible selves. The American Psychologist, 41(9), 954–969.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Mascolo, M. F., & Fischer, K. W. (2015). Dynamic development of thinking, feeling, and acting. In W. F. Overton, & P. C. Molenaar (Eds.), Theory and method. Volume 1 of the Handbook of Child Psychology and Developmental Science. 7th edn. (pp. 113–161). Hoboken, NJ: Wiley.

    Google Scholar 

  • McArdle, J. J. (2009). Latent variable modeling of differences and changes with longitudinal data. The Annual Review of Psychology, 60, 577–605.

    Article  PubMed  Google Scholar 

  • McArdle, J. J., & Nesselroade, J. R. (2003). Growth cure analyses in contemporary psychological research. In S. H. Cohen, W. Velicer (Eds.), Comprehensive handbook of psychology: Vol. 2 Research methods in psychology (pp. 447–480). New York: Pergamon Press.

    Google Scholar 

  • Molenaar, P. C. M., & Nesselroade, J. R. (2015). Systems methods for developmental research. In W. F. Overton, & P. C. Molenaar (Eds.), Handbook of child psychology and developmental science. Vol. 1: Theory and method. 7th edn. (pp. 652–682). Hoboken, NJ: Wiley.

    Google Scholar 

  • Muthén, L. K., & Muthén, B. O. (1998–2010). Mplus user’s guide. 6th edn. Los Angeles, CA: Muthén & Muthén.

    Google Scholar 

  • Nurmi, J. E. (1991). How do adolescents see their future? A review of the development of future orientation and planning. Developmental Review, 11, 1–59.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Nucci (in press). Character: A multi-faceted developmental system. Journal of Character Education.

  • Overton, W. F. (2015). Process and relational developmental systems. In W. F. Overton, & P. C. Molenaar (Eds.), Handbook of child psychology and developmental science. Vol. 1: Theory and method. 7th edn. (pp. 9–62). Hoboken, NJ: Wiley.

    Google Scholar 

  • Raeff, C. (2016). Exploring the dynamics of human development: An integrative approach. London, England: Oxford University Press.

    Book  Google Scholar 

  • Rose, T. (2015). The end of average: How we succeed in a world that values sameness. New York, NY: HarperCollins Publishers.

    Google Scholar 

  • Schaie, K. W. (1965). A general model for the study of developmental problems. Psychological Bulletin, 64(2), 92–107.

    Article  PubMed  Google Scholar 

  • Schmid, K. L., & Lopez, S. (2011). Positive pathways to adulthood: The role of hope in adolescents’ constructions of their futures. In R. M. Lerner, J. V. Lerner, & J. B. Benson (Eds.), Advances in child development and behavior: Positive youth development 41, (72–89). London, England: Academic Press.

    Google Scholar 

  • Schmid, K. L., Phelps, E., & Lerner, R. M. (2011a). Constructing positive futures: Modeling the relationship between adolescents’ hopeful future expectations and intentional self-regulation in predicting positive youth development. Journal of Adolescence, 34(6), 1127–1135.

    Article  PubMed  Google Scholar 

  • Schmid, K. L., Phelps, E., Kiely, M. K., Napolitano, C. M., Boyd, M. J., & Lerner, R. M. (2011b). The role of adolescents’ hopeful futures in predicting positive and negative developmental trajectories: Findings from the 4-H study of positive youth development. Journal of Positive Psychology, 6(1), 45–56.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Seginer, R. (2009). Future orientation: Developmental and ecological perspectives. New York: Springer Series.

    Book  Google Scholar 

  • Seligman, M. E. P. (1991). Learned optimism: How to change your mind and your life. New York: Random House.

    Google Scholar 

  • Seligman, M. E., Railton, P., Baumeister, R. F., & Sripada, C. (2013). Navigating into the future or driven by the past. Perspectives on Psychological Science, 8(2), 119–141.

    Article  PubMed  Google Scholar 

  • Shrout, P. E. (2009). Short and long views of integrative data analysis: comments on contributions to the special issue. Psychological Methods, 14(2), 177–181.

    Article  PubMed  Google Scholar 

  • Snyder, C. R. (1994). The psychology of hope: You can get there from here. New York: Free Press.

  • Snyder, C. R., Harris, C., Anderson, J. R., Holleran, S. A., Irving, L. M., Sigmon, S. T., Yoshinobu, L., Gibb, J., Langelle, C., & Harney, P. (1991). The will and the ways: Development and validation of an individual-differences measure of hope. Journal of Personality and Social Psychology, 60(4), 570–585.

    Article  PubMed  Google Scholar 

  • Sokol, B. W., Hammond, S. I., & Berkowitz, M. W. (2010). The developmental contours of character. In T. Lovat, R. Toomey, N. Clement (Eds.), International research handbook on values education and student wellbeing (pp. 579–603). Dordrecht, Netherlands: Springer.

    Chapter  Google Scholar 

  • Steinberg, L., Graham, S., O’Brien, L., Woolard, J., Cauffman, E., & Banich, M. (2009). Age differences in future orientation and delay discounting. Child Development, 80(1), 28–44.

    Article  PubMed  Google Scholar 

  • Templeton, J. M. (1998). The humble approach: Scientists discover God. Radnor, PA: Templeton Press.

    Google Scholar 

  • Templeton, J. M. (2000). Worldwide laws of life: 200 Eternal spiritual principles. Radnor, PA: Templeton Press.

    Google Scholar 

  • Trommsdorff, G. (1983). Future orientation and socialization. International Journal of Psychology, 18, 381–406.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Trommsdorff, G., Lamm, H., & Schmidt, R. W. (1979). A longitudinal study of adolescents’ future orientation (time perspective). Journal of Youth and Adolescence, 8(2), 131–147.

    Article  PubMed  Google Scholar 

  • van de Schoot, R., Lugtig, P., & Hox, J. (2012). A checklist for testing measurement invariance. European Journal of Developmental Psychology, 9(4), 486–492.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Wang, J., Batanova, M., Ferris, K. A., & Lerner, R. M. (2016). Character development within the relational developmental systems metamodel: A view of the issues. Research in Human Development, 13(2), 91–96.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Wang, J., Ferris, K. A., Hershberg, R. M., & Lerner, R. M. (2015). Developmental trajectories of youth character: A five-wave longitudinal study of cub scouts and non-scout boys. Journal of Youth and Adolescence, 44, 2359–2373.

    Article  PubMed  Google Scholar 

  • Widaman, K. F., Grimm, K. J., Early, D. R., Robins, R. W., & Conger, R. D. (2013). Investigating factorial invariance of latent variables across populations when manifest variables are missing completely. Structural Equation Modeling, 20, 384–408.

    Article  PubMed  PubMed Central  Google Scholar 

  • Widaman, K. F., & Thompson, J. S. (2003). On specifying the null model for incremental fit indices in structural equation modeling. Psychological Methods, 8, 16–37.

    Article  PubMed  Google Scholar 

Download references

Acknowledgements

The authors gratefully acknowledge the work of additional principal investigators, project directors, and other staff (including graduate and undergraduate students) to conduct the studies used in the present research. The authors also gratefully acknowledge the participation of schools and youth across the four studies, which made the present research possible. This research was supported in part by grants from the John Templeton Foundation, the Templeton Religion Trust, the National 4-H Council, and the Altria Corporation.

Author Contributions

K.S.C. conceived of the study, spearheaded its design and coordination, prepared the data and performed and interpreted statistical analyses, and had primary responsibility for writing the full manuscript; S.K.J. conceived of the study, participated in the study design and coordination, performed and interpreted statistical analyses, and contributed to writing the manuscript; J.M.T. helped to prepare, manage, and analyze the data, and contributed to writing in the manuscript; M.B. contributed to writing the manuscript; M.B.W. contributed to writing the manuscript; and R.M.L. conceived of the study and contributed to writing the manuscript. All authors read and approved the final manuscript.

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Corresponding author

Correspondence to Kristina Schmid Callina.

Ethics declarations

Conflict of Interest

The authors declare that they have no competing interests.

Ethical Approval

This research used secondary data based on studies conducted at the Institute for Applied Research in Youth Development, all of which received approval from the Internal Review Board at Tufts University.

Informed Consent

All eligible students for the studies used in the current research were fully informed about their voluntary participation. If students wished to refrain from participation, or if their parents disagreed with their children’s participation (as in the cases of the CAMP and 4-H studies), they were free to do so. Only students who provided permission or assent to participate, and who had parental permission to participate, were involved in the studies.

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

About this article

Check for updates. Verify currency and authenticity via CrossMark

Cite this article

Callina, K.S., Johnson, S.K., Tirrell, J.M. et al. Modeling Pathways of Character Development across the First Three Decades of Life: An Application of Integrative Data Analysis Techniques to Understanding the Development of Hopeful Future Expectations. J Youth Adolescence 46, 1216–1237 (2017). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10964-017-0660-1

Download citation

  • Received:

  • Accepted:

  • Published:

  • Issue Date:

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10964-017-0660-1

Keywords

Navigation