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Adverse selection and financing of innovation: is there a need for R&D subsidies?

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Abstract

We study the interaction of private and public funding of innovative projects in the presence of adverse-selection based financing constraints. Government programs allocating direct subsidies are based on ex ante screening of the subsidy applications. This selection scheme may yield valuable information to market-based financiers. We find that under certain conditions, public R&D subsidies can reduce the financing constraints of technology-based entrepreneurial firms. First, the subsidy itself reduces the capital costs related to the innovation projects by reducing the amount of market-based capital required. Second, the observation that an entrepreneur has received a subsidy for an innovation project provides an informative signal to the market-based financiers. We also find that public screening works more efficiently if it is accompanied with subsidy allocation.

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Notes

  1. The majority of earlier studies are based on the view that government intervention in R&D is needed because social benefits of R&D are higher than their private returns. Subsidies and their allocation are taken as given and the focus is on analyzing how R&D subsidies affect firm behavior (e.g., Stenbacka and Tombak 1998; Maurer and Scotchmer 2004).

  2. On signaling, see Leland and Pyle (1977) and Bester (1985), on reputation see Diamond (1989), and on financial intermediation, see Diamond (1984) and Chan et al. (1986).

  3. Only a modest number of firms in specific sectors receive venture capital funding each year and venture capital investments tend to be too large for the smallest firms. A well-functioning venture capital market requires a well-functioning small and new firm stock market enabling viable exits from venture capital investments. Such exit opportunities for venture capital investors are limited in most countries. The threat of expropriation may also undermine screening activities (Bhattacharya and Ritter 1983; Ueda 2004). In addition, even venture capital organizations are likely to favor firms with some track records over pure start-ups (Amit et al. 1998).

  4. As usually, there is also some contradictory evidence. For example, Blass and Yosha (2003) do not find indication of financing constraints when studying publicly traded R&D-intensive manufacturing firms in Israel. However, publicly traded firms can be considered as relatively large and well-established, which are less likely to suffer from financing constraints.

  5. In particular, the R&D subsidy program we have in mind is the one operated by the Finnish Funding Agency for Technology and Innovation in Finland (Tekes). Georghiou et al. (2003) describe Tekes and the Finnish innovation policy, and Hyytinen and Pajarinen (2003) document the financing problems encountered by newly established technology-based firms in Finland. Some other examples of related R&D subsidy programs include the Advanced Technology Program (ATP) and the Small Business Innovation Research (SBIR) Program in U.S., R&D subsidy programs in Israel, R&D grants allocated by the Federal Ministry of Research and Education in Germany, and R&D subsidy program of the Institute for the Promotion of Innovation by Science and Technology in Flanders (IWT) in Belgium.

  6. In words, project return distributions are characterized by second-order stochastic dominance (but not mean preserving spread). The same assumption is also used, e.g., in De Meza and Webb (2000). The practical interpretation of project return distributions is that low-type entrepreneurs are overly optimistic or have unrealistic projects.

  7. In accordance with the pecking-order hypothesis (Myers and Majluf 1984), in equilibrium, it is cheaper for H-type entrepreneurs to use their own funds than raise funds from outside. As a result, L-type entrepreneurs have no other option but to follow and invest all their initial capital in their own projects. Since there is no outside collateral in the model, collateral requirements cannot be used as a screening device. As well-known, if potential entrepreneurs had non-liquid (outside) wealth, collateral requirements would facilitate emergence of a separating equilibrium (see, e.g., Bester 1985).

  8. This is without loss of generality. Note, however, that opportunity costs, too, show up in a balance sheet to the extent the application process requires hiring of specific personnel or outsourcing.

  9. While the assumptions of a fixed subsidy and the absence of Government’s budget constraint are used elsewhere in the literature (see, e.g., Maurer and Scotchmer 2004), they should clearly be relaxed in future research. However, the assumptions are perhaps not so strong as they may sound from the outset. For example, in practice subsidy per entrepreneur is often capped to a certain limit and such capping can be optimal in the presence of adverse selection (Fuest and Tillessen 2005).

  10. In other words, we assume imperfect commitment to screen but perfect screening technology. Assuming perfect commitment but imperfect technology would yield identical results. From a more practical point of view, the assumption of perfect screening technology only means that Government can identify the prospects of projects according to its own predetermined criteria. Such criteria of the public R&D funding policies are generally related to expected social and private returns of the innovation projects.

  11. We could assume that market-based financiers have a better screening technology than Government or that receiving a subsidy from Government offers a negative signal of the entrepreneur’s type. The assumptions we have done now are the simplest that allow Government’s screening to provide valuable information to the market.

  12. The free-riding problem among investors is traditionally given as a rationale for the existence of financial intermediaries (e.g., Diamond 1984) who monitor or screen entrepreneurs on the behalf of small, dispersed investors. However, the literature has overlooked the possibility that large governmental investments in screening do not leave room for a private sector solution to emerge. We emphasize that private incentives to screen deteriorate even if the public screening is of poor quality or there is negative correlation between public and private funding objectives.

  13. The existence of competition-stability tradeoff is of course debatable but it may especially apply for project-level financing (Hauswald and Marquez 2006).

  14. Equivalently, project returns are verifiable up to R H as, e.g., in Bolton and Sharfstein (1990). In this case, the distinction between debt and equity becomes moot. Following, e.g., De Meza and Webb (2000), we could also assume that instead of verifiable project success, only payments are verifiable and that entrepreneurs cannot hide income in case they default.

  15. Further, we rule out the unrealistic possibility that entrepreneurs could publicly destroy their initial wealth.

  16. Optimal security design with full contracting opportunities in the presence of incomplete information and a public funding agency is an intriguing topic for future research.

  17. This assumption is qualitatively in line with reality, since in practice R&D subsidies are paid against incurred costs. If a project does not get market-based financing, the project cannot be launched and the subsidy will not be paid.

  18. It can be shown that with the exception of the trivial equilibrium where no-one applies and Government does not grant subsidies, high types always apply in the parameter region we focus on. Intuitively, in this region the market-based financiers interpret all entrepreneurs without subsidies as low types and do not give them the additional funding required to implement the project.

  19. In a working paper version (Takalo and Tanayama 2008), we characterize what will happen when Proposition 2 does not hold and \(\underline{\mu}> \bar{\mu}.\)

  20. This parameter restriction also rules out the unrealistic case that if all entrepreneurs apply it is optimal for Government to just grant subsidies to all. To see this, substitute p for θ in Eqs. 19 and 20 to get that (SC) is better than (NSC, S) if  σ < (1 − p)(I + gS − λ L R L ) and that (NSC, NS) is better than \((NSC, S)\, \hbox{if}\, p< {\frac{I+gS-\lambda_{L}R_{L}} {\lambda_{H}\left(R_{H}+W\right)-\lambda_{L}R_{L}}}.\)

  21. Clearly, it would be equivalent to assume that Government can commit to screen all applications but makes mistakes in screening.

  22. Instead of \(\sigma\leq{\frac{(I+gS-\lambda_{L}R_{L})(\lambda_{H}\left(R_{H}+W\right)-I-gS)} {\lambda_{H}\left(R_{H}+W\right)-\lambda_{L}R_{L}}}\), we need to have \(\sigma\leq{\frac{(I+gS-\lambda_{L}R_{L})(\lambda_{H}\left(R_{H}+W\right)-I-gS-c)} {\lambda_{H}\left(R_{H}+W\right)-\lambda_{L}R_{L}}}.\)

  23. Note that this restriction on σ is the same as the one derived by taking into account the possibility that Government can close down the program, see footnote 22.

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Acknowledgements

We thank four anonymous referees for extensive comments. We also thank Ari Hyytinen, Saul Lach, Mikko Leppämäki, Pere Ortín Ángel, Petri Rouvinen, Javier Suarez, Otto Toivanen, John Van Reenen, Timo Vesala, Juuso Välimäki and seminar audiences at the University of Jyväskylä, conference on the Dynamics of SBEFs in Sestri Levante, the 34th EARIE conference in Sevilla, Bank of Finland and Helsinki School of Economics for comments. We gratefully acknowledge financial support from Tekes. Tanayama also thankfully acknowledges funding from the Foundation of Finnish Cooperative Banks.

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Appendices

Appendix: Proofs of the results

Proof

(Proposition 1) Since a low-type entrepreneur never wants to reveal her type, both types offer the same repayment to the financier when (6) holds, and so either all entrepre-neurs get funding or no-one gets when \(A \, < \, \hat{A}.\) As (5) gives the threshold value of initial capital needed to get financing, when the financier anticipates all the entrepreneurs to seek financing, the entrepreneurs with \(A \,< \, {\min}\{ \hat{A},\bar{A}\} \) do not receive funding. From (6) and (5) we observe that \(\hat{A}\) is independent of p whereas \(\bar{A}\) is decreasing in p. Solving \(\hat{A} \, < \, \bar{A}\) for p gives \(p<{\frac{I-\lambda_{L}R_{L}} {\lambda_{H}R_{H}-\lambda_{L}R_{L}}},\) i.e., for \(p\geq{\frac{I-\lambda_{L}R_{L}} {\lambda_{H}R_{H}-\lambda_{L}R_{L}}}\) (5) is the binding constraint. From (5) we obtain that \(\bar{A}\geq0\) when \(p\leq{\frac{I-\lambda_{L}R_{H}} {\left(\lambda_{H}-\lambda_{L}\right)R_{H}}}.\)

Proof

(Lemma 1) High-type entrepreneurs always apply if \(E(\Uppi_{AP}^{E,H}) > 0\) holds in equilibrium. Substituting (15) and (16) (with i = H) for (17) shows that \(E(\Uppi_{AP}^{E,H})> 0\) if \(\alpha_{SC}+\alpha_{NSC,S}> {\frac{c} {\lambda_{H}(R_{H}-F^{S})-A+c}}.\) Similarly, low-type entrepreneurs always apply (μ = 1) if \(E(\Uppi_{AP}^{E,L})> 0,\) which can be rewritten after substituting (15) and (16) (with i = L) for (18) as \(\alpha_{NSC,S}> {\frac{c} {\lambda_{L}(R_{L}-F^{S})-A+c}}.\) Correspondingly, low types never apply (μ = 0) if \(E(\Uppi_{AP}^{E,L})<0,\) i.e., if \(\alpha_{NSC,S}< {\frac{c}{\lambda_{L}(R_{L}-F^{S})-A+c}}.\) It immediately follows that if \(\alpha_{NSC,S}={\frac{c} {\lambda_{L}(R_{L}-F^{S})-A+c}},\) low-types are indifferent between applying and not \((E(\Uppi_{AP}^{E,L})=0)\) and use a mixed strategy (μ, 1 − μ). □

Proof

(Lemma 2) If \(E(\Uppi_{SC}^{G})> \max\{ E(\Uppi_{NSC,S}^{G}),-c\},\) it is optimal for Government to choose pure strategy SC SC  = 1). If \(E(\Uppi_{NSC,S}^{G})> \max\{ E(\Uppi_{SC}^{G}),-c\},\) then s G = (NSC, S) (αNSC,S = 1) is optimal for Government and if both \(E(\Uppi_{SC}^{G})\) and \(E(\Uppi_{NSC,S}^{G})\) are smaller than −c, pure strategy \(s^{G}=(NSC,NS) \left(\alpha_{SC}=\alpha_{NSC,S}=0\right)\) is optimal. Inserting (19) into (20) and (21) shows that \(E(\Uppi_{SC}^{G}) > E(\Uppi_{NSC,S}^{G})\) if \(\mu>\underline{\mu}\equiv\left({\frac{p} {1-p}}\right)\left({\frac{\sigma} {I+gS-\lambda_{L}R_{L}-\sigma}}\right).\) Similarly, by using (19) and (20) it turns out that \(E(\Uppi_{SC}^{G})>-c\) if \(\mu \,< \,\overline{\mu}\equiv\left({\frac{p} {1-p}}\right)\left({\frac{\lambda_{H}\left(R_{H}+W\right)-I-gS-\sigma} {\sigma}}\right).\) As a result, Government sets α SC  = 1 if \(\mu\in\left(\underline{\mu},\overline{\mu}\right).\) It immediately follows that if \(\mu \, < \, \underline{\mu} \,< \, \overline{\mu}, E(\Uppi_{NSC,S}^{G}) > E(\Uppi_{SC}^{G})>-c,\) meaning that Government chooses αNSC,S = 1, and that if \(\mu>\overline{\mu}>\underline{\mu}, E(\Uppi_{NSC,S}^{G}) \,< \, E(\Uppi_{SC}^{G})< -c,\) implying α SC  = αNSC,S = 0.

Government is indifferent between pure strategy SC and pure strategy (NSC, NS) and hence uses a mixed strategy α SC and 1 − α SC when \(E(\Uppi_{SC}^{G})=-c,\) i.e., when \(\mu=\overline{\mu}.\) In turn, Government randomizes between SC and (NSC, S) with probabilities α SC and αNSC,S = 1−α SC when \(E(\Uppi_{SC}^{G})=E(\Uppi_{NSC,S}^{G}),\) i.e., when \(\mu=\underline{\mu}.\)

Proof

(Proposition 2) Lemma 2 implies that screening is a plausible strategy if \(\mu\in\left[\underline{\mu},\overline{\mu}\right].\) This is a non-empty set if \(\sigma\leq{\frac{(I+gS-\lambda_{L}R_{L})(\lambda_{H}\left(R_{H}+W\right)-I-gS)} {\lambda_{H}\left(R_{H}+W\right)-\lambda_{L}R_{L}}}.\) We also need to make sure that \(\underline{\mu}\leq1,\) i.e., that σ ≤ (1 − p)(I + gS − λ L R L ). □

Proof

(Proposition 3) Let’s first prove that there is no pure strategy equilibrium in this game. Note from (15) that \(\Uppi_{S}^{E,i}>0\) implies that \({\frac{c} {\lambda_{i}(R_{i}-F^{S})-A+c}}\in(0,1).\) If a low-type entrepreneur always applied (μ = 1), Lemma 1 shows that \(\alpha_{NSC,S}>{\frac{c}{\lambda_{L}(R_{L}-F^{S})-A+c}}\) should hold. However, Lemma 2 suggests that if μ = 1, it would be optimal for Government either to choose (NSC, NS) or (SC) implying that αNSC,S = 0. If a low-type entrepreneur never applied (μ = 0), Lemma 1 implies \(\alpha_{NSC,S}< {\frac{c} {\lambda_{L}(R_{L}-F^{S})-A+c}}\) should hold. But if μ = 0, it would be optimal for Government to set αNSC,S = 1 (Lemma 2), which is larger than \({\frac{c}{\lambda_{L}(R_{L}-F^{S})-A+c}}.\) A similar argument shows that an equilibrium where Government randomizes between (NSC, NS) and (SC), implying that low types will not apply, does not exists.

Lemma 1 shows that for a low-type to be willing to use a mixed strategy 0 < μ < 1, αNSC,S must be equal to \({\frac{c}{\lambda_{L}(R_{L}-F^{S})-A+c}}.\) Given that αNSC,S > 0, Lemma 2 shows that the only possible mixed strategy for Government is to randomize between SC and (NSC, S) with probabilities \(\alpha_{NSC,S}={\frac{c} {\lambda_{L}(R_{L}-F^{S})-A+c}}\) and \(\alpha_{SC}=1-\alpha_{NSC,S}={\frac{\lambda_{L}(R_{L}-F^{S})-A} {\lambda_{L}(R_{L}-F^{S})-A+c}}.\) This Government strategy satisfies \(\alpha_{SC}+\alpha_{NSC,S}>{\frac{c} {\lambda_{H}(R_{H}-F^{S})-A+c}},\) which prompts high-type entrepreneurs always apply by Lemma 1. When Government randomizes between SC and (NSC, S), Lemma 2 dictates that a low-type entrepreneur applies with probability \(\mu=\underline{\mu}=\left({\frac{p} {1-p}}\right)\left({\frac{\sigma} {I+gS-\lambda_{L}R_{L}-\sigma}}\right).\) Inserting this into (19) shows that Government’s belief is given by \(\theta={\frac{I+gS-\lambda_{L}R_{L}-\sigma} {I+gS-\lambda_{L}R_{L}}}.\)

Proof

(Proposition 4)

  1. (i)

    \(\bar{A}> \bar{A}^{S}\Leftrightarrow\left({\frac{\lambda_{H}} {\lambda_{H}-\bar{\lambda}}}\right)(I-\bar{\lambda}R_{H})> \left({\frac{\lambda_{H}} {\lambda_{H}-\hat{\lambda}}}\right)(I-S+c-\hat{\lambda}R_{H}) \Leftrightarrow(\hat{\lambda}-\bar{\lambda})(\lambda_{H}R_{H}-I) +(\lambda_{H}+\bar{\lambda})(S-c)> 0.\) From the last inequality, we can see that it holds if \(\hat{\lambda}\geq\bar{\lambda}.\) High-type projects are economically viable, therefore λ H R H  − I > 0. Since we are analyzing entrepreneurs that have been granted an R&D subsidy, \((\lambda_{H}+\bar{\lambda})(S-c)> 0,\) if S > c and \(\bar{A}> \bar{A}^{S}\) even if \(\hat{\lambda}=\bar{\lambda}.\)

  2. (ii)

    \(\hat{\lambda}=\hat{p}\lambda_{H}+(1-\hat{p})\lambda_{L}> \bar{\lambda},\) if \(\hat{p}> p.\) Knowing that \(\hat{p}=\alpha_{SC}+(1-\alpha_{SC})\theta\) gives us that for \(\hat{p}> p, \alpha_{SC}\) must satisfy \(\alpha_{SC}>{\frac{p-\theta}{1-\theta}}.\) This is true since \(p< \theta={\frac{p}{p+\mu(1-p)}}< 1\; \left(0 < p < 1\, \hbox{and}\, 0 < \mu < 1\right).\)

Proof

(Proposition 5) \(\bar{A}> \bar{A}^{S}\) must hold for a specific value of \(\hat{p},\) if the subsidy program reduces financial constraints. It can be shown that \(\bar{A}> \bar{A}^{S}\Leftrightarrow\hat{p}\geq{\frac{I-S+c-\lambda_{L}R_{L}} {\lambda_{H}R_{H}-\lambda_{L}R_{L}}}=\underline{\hat{p}}.\) Proposition 1 gives that in the funding gap region \(p< {\frac{I-\lambda_{L}R_{H}} {\left(\lambda_{H}-\lambda_{L}\right)R_{H}}}=\bar{p}.\) It can be shown that \(\bar{p}> \underline{\hat{p}}.\) In addition, we know from Proposition 4 that for a given \(p, \hat{p}> p,\) so the lower bound of p is smaller than \(\underline{\hat{p}}.\) Substituting \({\frac{p}{p+\mu(1-p)}}\) for θ in \(\hat{p}=\alpha_{SC}+(1-\alpha_{SC})\theta\) gives the implicit form for p as a function of \(\hat{p,\alpha_{SC}}\) and μ that is \(p={\frac{(\hat{p}-\alpha_{SC})\mu} {(1-\hat{p})+(\hat{p}-\alpha_{SC})\mu}}.\) Substituting \(\underline{\hat{p}}\) for \(\hat{p}\) gives the lower bound of p in the implicit form and the interval in Proposition 5.□

Comparative statics of government screening

We briefly sketch the comparative statics of Government screening probability α SC in the full game where the entrepreneur’s repayment obligation F S is endogenous. After tedious algebra, it turns out that the partial derivatives of α SC with respect to σ, c, A, and S are given by

$$ {\frac{\partial\alpha_{SC}} {\partial\sigma}}={\frac{\lambda_{L}\left({\frac{(\lambda_{H}-\lambda_{L})\alpha_{SC}} {I^{S}-\lambda_{L}R_{L}}}\right)(I-A-S+c)c} {[\hat{\lambda}(\lambda_{L}(R_{L}-F^{S})-A+c)]^{2}-(\lambda_{H} -\lambda_{L})(1-\theta)(I-A-S+c)c}}, $$
$$ {\frac{\partial\alpha_{SC}}{\partial c}}=-{\frac{\hat{\lambda}^{2}\lambda_{L}\left(\hat{\lambda}(R_{L}-F^{S})+c\right)} {[\hat{\lambda}(\lambda_{L}(R_{L}-F^{S})-A+c)]^{2}-(\lambda_{H}- \lambda_{L})(1-\theta)(I-A-S+c)c}}, $$
$$ {\frac{\partial\alpha_{SC}}{\partial A}}=-{\frac{\hat{\lambda}\left(\lambda_{L}+\hat{\lambda}\right)c} {[\hat{\lambda}(\lambda_{L}(R_{L}-F^{S})-A+c)]^{2}-(\lambda_{H} -\lambda_{L})(1-\theta)(I-A-S+c)c}}, $$

and

$$ {\frac{\partial\alpha_{SC}}{\partial S}}=-{\frac{\lambda_{L}\left[\hat{\lambda}+(\lambda_{H}- \lambda_{L})(1-\alpha_{SC})\left({\frac{g\sigma} {(I_{S}-\lambda_{L}R_{L})^{2}}}\right)(I-A-S-c)\right]c} {[\hat{\lambda}(\lambda_{L}(R_{L}-F^{S})-A+c)]^{2}-(\lambda_{H} -\lambda_{L})(1-\theta)(I-A-S+c)c}}. $$

If the denominator is positive then \({\frac{\partial\alpha_{SC}} {\partial\sigma}}< 0, {\frac{\partial\alpha_{SC}}{\partial c}}< 0, {\frac{\partial\alpha_{SC}}{A}}< 0\) and \({\frac{\partial\alpha_{SC}}{S}}> 0.\) Note first that in equilibrium θ is given by the exogenous parameters as \(\theta=1-{\frac{\sigma}{I+gS-\lambda_{L}R_{L}}}.\) It can then be shown that when θ = 1 the denominator is positive. Moreover, it can be shown that the denominator reaches it’s minimum, which is negative, at a negative value of θ. As a function of θ, the denominator is an upward opening parabola, so by continuity there must be an interval of \(\theta\in[\hat{\theta},1],\) where the denominator is positive. The restrictions imposed on σ and p imply that in the funding gap region \(\theta\in\left[{\frac{I-gS-\lambda_{L}R_{L}} {\lambda_{H}(R_{H}+W)-\lambda_{L}R_{L}}},1\right].\) Consequently, if θ is sufficiently close to unity, there are financially constrained high-type entrepreneurs and the denominator of the partial derivatives is positive.

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Takalo, T., Tanayama, T. Adverse selection and financing of innovation: is there a need for R&D subsidies?. J Technol Transf 35, 16–41 (2010). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10961-009-9112-8

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