Abstract
Objectives
Despite theoretical interest in how dimensions of the built environment can help explain the location of crime in micro−geographic units, measuring this is difficult.
Methods
This study adopts a strategy that first scrapes images from Google Street View every 20 meters in every street segment in the city of Santa Ana, CA, and then uses machine learning to detect features of the environment. We capture eleven different features across four main dimensions, and demonstrate that their relative presence across street segments considerably increases the explanatory power of models of five different Part 1 crimes.
Results
The presence of more persons in the environment is associated with higher levels of crime. The auto−oriented measures—vehicles and pavement—were positively associated with crime rates. For the defensible space measures, the presence of walls has a slowing negative relationship with most crime types, whereas fences did not. And for our two greenspace measures, although terrain was positively associated with crime rates, vegetation exhibited an inverted−U relationship with two crime types.
Conclusions
The results demonstrate the efficacy of this approach for measuring the built environment.
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Notes
The python code for implementing this algorithm can be obtained here: https://github.com/lexfridman/mit-deep-learning.
Source: Cityscapes website, https://www.cityscapes-dataset.com/dataset-overview/#labeling-policy (accessed on Jan. 28, 2020)
Deeplab3+ extracts 19 elements, although there were no trains in our images and therefore we had 18 elements. Further, “person” and “rider” are collapsed into the category of humans. And “car”, “truck”, “bus”, “motorcycle”, and “bicycle” are collapsed into vehicles. And “poles”, “traffic signs”, and “traffic lights” are collapsed into objects.
GSV images acquired from wide roads can be distorted when viewing the other side of the street, as the google vehicle only travels in one direction. However, our medium-sized city has major streets that only rarely have three lanes in each direction, and thus this is a less salient problem in our case study area. Furthermore, this distortion problem is mitigated to some extent by our strategy of computing the average of images taken in four different directions when measuring the features.
These measures were constructed based on blocks and the exponential decay of blocks around a focal block. We then average the values for blocks adjacent to a particular segment. Of course, the buffer values in these adjacent blocks are extremely highly correlated, so this strategy does not introduce problems.
The logged alpha term capturing overdispersion was highly significant in all models, indicating the need to use a negative binomial regression rather than a Poisson model.
For example, in our study site, about 60% of robberies occur after dark, and about 50% of aggravated assaults, 45% of burglaries and motor vehicle thefts, and 40% of larcenies occur after dark.
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Funding
This research is supported in part by the Metropolitan Futures Initiative (MFI) at the University of California, Irvine and the Korea Research Foundation (NRF − 2018R1A2A2A05023583).
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Hipp, J.R., Lee, S., Ki, D. et al. Measuring the Built Environment with Google Street View and Machine Learning: Consequences for Crime on Street Segments. J Quant Criminol 38, 537–565 (2022). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10940-021-09506-9
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10940-021-09506-9