Abstract
This analysis evaluates the impact of corporate debt in influencing mergers of local exchange companies in the United States telecommunications industry between 1988 and 2001. Firms’ financial structures significantly affect behavior and performance; yet no evidence has shown how firms’ financial structures influence their merger activities. The impact of corporate debt levels on the various mergers that took place during the merger wave in the sector is significantly negative for the first set of mergers carried out, and significantly negative, but with smaller impact, for the second set of mergers. The results support the idea that firms with high debt levels can be monitored carefully, precluding engagement in potentially-risky mergers so as to not engender negative financial outcomes.
Similar content being viewed by others
Notes
Given rapid industry changes, sequential mergers can increase market power and permit firms to obtain performance-enhancing economies of scale (Farrell and Shapiro 1990). Nevertheless, the participation of firms in several successive mergers compounds the positive and negative expectations that providers of debt associate with mergers.
AT&T, the long-distance company, purchased the cable companies, TCI, Media One and Lenfest by 1999. It purchased the downtown Boston assets of Cable Vision, all for over $100 billion. The AT&T cable business could provide major competition to the local exchange carriers.
The treatment effects model is described in Guo and Fraser (2010).
References
Adrian T, Shin HS (2010) Liquidity and leverage. J Financ Intermed 19:418–437
Allen F (1990) The market for information and the origin of financial intermediation. J Financ Intermed 1:3–30
Ambrosini V, Bowman C, Collier N (2009) Dynamic capabilities: an exploration of how firms renew their resource base. Br J Manag 20(S1):S9–S24
Amihud Y, Lev B (1981) Risk reduction as a managerial motive for conglomerate mergers. Bell J Econ 12(2):605–617
Anderson CW, Makhija AK (1999) Deregulation, disintermediation, and agency costs of debt: evidence from Japan. J Financ Econ 51:309–339
Andrade G, Mitchell M, Stafford E (2001) New evidence and perspective on mergers. J Econ Perspect 15:103–120
Angrist J, Krueger A (2001) Instrumental variables and the search for identification: from supply and demand to natural experiments. J Econ Perspect 15(4):69–85
Balakrishnan S, Fox I (1993) Asset specificity, firm heterogeneity and capital structure. Strateg Manag J 14:3–16
Barclay MJ, Marx L, Smith C (2003) The joint determination of leverage and maturity. J Corp Finan 9:149–167
Berger A, Udell GF (1995) Relationship lending and lines of credit in small firm finance. J Bus 68:351–381
Bernanke BS, Blinder A (1992) The Federal Funds Rate and the channels of monetary transmission. Am Econ Rev 82:901–921
Bernanke BS, Gertler M (1995) Inside the black box: the credit channel of monetary policy transmission. J Econ Perspect 9(4):27–48
Bessler W, Drobetz W, Zimmerman J (2011) Financing corporate mergers and acquisitions. In: Baker HK, Martin GS (eds) Capital structure and corporate financing decisions: theory, evidence, and practice. Wiley, New York, pp 419–444
Bhattacharya S, Boot AWA, Thakor A (2004) Credit, intermediation and the macro economy: models and perspectives. Oxford University Press, Oxford
Boot AWA, Thakor A (2000) Can relationship banking survive competition? J Financ 55:679–713
Bortolotti B, Cambini C, Rondi L, Spiegel Y (2011) Capital structure and regulation: do ownership and regulatory independence matter? J Econ Manag Strateg 20(2):517–564
Brander JA, Lewis TR (1986) Oligopoly and financial structure: the limited liability effect. Am Econ Rev 76:956–970
Brodley J (1987) The economic goals of antitrust: efficiency, consumer welfare and technological progress. New York University Law Review 62:1020–1053
Brown KS, Zimmerman PR (2004) The effect of section 271 on competitive entry into local telecommunications markets: an initial evaluation. Inf Econ Policy 16:215–233
Brown JR, Fazzari SM, Petersen BC (2009) Financing innovation and growth: cash flow, external equity, and the 1990s R&D boom. Journal of Finance, LXIV 1:151–185
Capron L, Mitchell W (1998) The role of acquisitions in reshaping business capabilities in the international telecommunications industry. Ind Corp Chang 7(4):715–730
Carey M, Post M, Sharpe SA (1998) Does corporate lending by banks and finance companies differ? Evidence on specialization in private debt contracting. J Financ 53:845–878
Carlton DW (2009) Why we need to measure the effect of merger policy and how to do it. Competition Policy International 5(1):77–90
Cave ME, Majumdar SK, Vogelsang I (2002) Structure, regulation and competition in the telecommunications industry. In: Cave ME, Majumdar SK, Vogelsang I (eds) Handbook of telecommunications economics. North-Holland, Amsterdam, pp 1–40
Chevalier JA (1995) Capital structure and product-market competition: empirical evidence from the supermarket industry. Am Econ Rev 85:415–435
Chirinko R, Elston JA (2006) Finance, control and profitability: the influence of German banks. J Econ Behav Organ 59(1):69–88
Corbett J, Jenkinson T (1997) How is investment financed? A study of Germany, Japan, the United Kingdom and the United States. The Manchester school, 65(Supplement), 69-93
Cornett MM, Tehranian H (1992) Changes in corporate performance associated with Bank acquisitions. J Financ Econ 31:211–234
Dasgupta S, Nanda V (1993) Bargaining and brinkmanship: capital structure choice by regulated firms. Int J Ind Organ 11:475–497
Datta DK, Pinches GP, Narayanan VK (1992) Factors influencing wealth creation from mergers and acquisitions: a meta-analysis. Strateg Manag J 13(1):67–84
David P, O’Brien J, Yoshikawa T, (2008): The implications of debt heterogeneity for R&D investment and firm performance, Acad Manag J, 51, 165-181.
Denis DJ, Mihov VT (2003) The choice among bank debt, non-bank private debt and public debt: evidence from new corporate borrowings. J Financ Econ 70:3–28
Dranove D, Shanley M (1995) Cost reductions or reputation enhancement as motives for mergers: the logic of multihospital systems. Strateg Manag J 16(1):55–74
Economides N (1999) The telecommunications act of 1996 and its impact. Jpn World Econ 11(4):455–483
Estrella A, Hardouvelis G (1991) The term structure as a predictor of real economic activity. J Financ 46:555–576
Fama E (1986) Term premiums and default premiums in money markets. J Financ Econ 17:175–196
Farrell J, Shapiro C (1990) Horizontal mergers: an equilibrium analysis. Am Econ Rev 80(1):107–126
Fauli-Oller R (2000) Takeover waves. J Econ Manag Strateg 9:189–210
Ferguson C (2004) The broadband problem: anatomy of a market failure and a policy dilemma. Brookings Institution Press, Washington
Frank MZ, Goyal VK (2009) Capital structure decisions: which factors are reliably important? Financ Manag 38:1–37
Friedman M, Schwartz AJ (1963) A monetary history of the United States, 1867–1960. Princeton University Press, Princeton
Goldman C, Gotts I, Piaskoski M (2003) The role of efficiencies in telecommunications merger review. Federal Communications Law Journal 56(1):87–144
Greenbaum SI, Thakor AV (1995) Contemporary financial intermediation. Dryden Press, New York
Grinblatt M, Titman S (2001) Financial markets and corporate strategy. McGraw-Hill, New York
Gugler K, Yurtoglu B (2004) The effects of mergers on company employment in the USA and Europe. Int J Ind Organ 22:481–502
Guo S, Fraser MW (2010) Propensity score analysis: statistical methods and applications. Sage Publications, Inc, Thousand Oaks
Harris M, Raviv A (1991) The theory of capital structure. J Financ 46:297–356
Harvey CR (1988) The real term structure and consumption growth. J Financ Econ 22:305–333
Hazlett T (2000) Economic and political consequences of the 1996 telecommunications act. Regulation 23(3):36–45
Heckman JJ (2005) The scientific model of causality. Sociol Methodol 35:1–97
Hicks JR (1935) Annual survey of economic theory: the theory of monopoly. Econometrica 3:1–20
Hirano KG, Imbens G, Ridder G (2003) Efficient estimation of average treatment effects using the estimated propensity score. Econometrica 71:1161–1189
Houston J, James C (1996) Bank information monopolies and the mix of private and public debt claims. J Financ 51:1863–1889
Hunter G, Leonard GK, Olley GS (2008) Merger retrospective studies: a review. Antitrust 23(1):34–41
Ivashina V, Nair V, Saunders A, Massoud N, Stover R (2009) Bank debt and corporate governance. Rev Financ Stud 22(1):41–77
Kayhan A, Titman S (2007) Firms’ histories and their capital structures. J Financ Econ 83:1–32
Korajczyk RA, Levy A (2003) Capital structure choice: macroeconomic conditions and financial constraints. J Financ Econ 68:75–109
Kovacic WE (2006) Using ex post evaluations to improve the performance of competition policy authorities. Journal of Corporation Law 31(2):503–547
Kwoka JE Jr (2013) Does merger control work? A retrospective on U. S. Enforcement actions and merger outcomes. Antitrust Law Journal 78(3):619–650
La Porta R, Lopez-de-Silanes F, Shleifer A, Vishny RW (1998) Law and finance. J Polit Econ 106(6):1113–1155
Laffont J-J, Tirole J (1993) A theory of incentives in procurement and regulation. MIT Press, Cambridge
Lambrecht B (2001) The impact of debt financing on entry and exit in a duopoly. Rev Financ Stud 14:765–804
Laurent RD (1988) An interest rate-based indicator of monetary policy. Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago. Econ Perspect 12:3–14
Leeper EM, Sims CA, Zha T (1996) What does monetary policy do? Brook Pap Econ Act 27(2):1–78
Levy H, Sarnat M (1970) Diversification, portfolio analysis, and the uneasy case for conglomerate mergers. J Financ 25:795–802
Loomis DG, Swann CM (2005) Inter-modal competition in local exchange markets. Inf Econ Policy 17:97–113
MacKay P, Phillips GM (2005) How Does Industry Affect Firm Financial Structure? Rev Financ Stud, 18, 4, 1433–1466
Majumdar SK (2016) Debt and communications technology diffusion: retrospective evidence. Res Policy 45(2):458–474
Majumdar SK, Moussawi R, Yaylacicegi U (2012) Mergers and synergy: lessons from contemporary telecommunications history. Telecommun Policy 36(2):140–154
Majumdar SK, Moussawi R, Yaylacicegi U (2014) Do incumbents’ mergers influence entrepreneurial entry? An evaluation. Enterp Theory Pract 38(3):601–633
Marris R (1964) The economic theory of managerial capitalism. Macmillan, London
Mayer C (1990) Financial systems, corporate finance and economic development. In: Hubbard RG (ed) Asymmetric information, corporate finance and investment. University of Chicago Press, Chicago
McKinnon RI (1973) Money and Capital in Economic Development. Brookings Institution, Washington, DC
Morellec E, Zhdanov A (2005) The dynamics of mergers and acquisitions. J Financ Econ 77:649–672
Mueller D (1969) A theory of conglomerate mergers. Q J Econ 83:643–651
Myers SC (1977) Determinants of corporate borrowing. J Financ Econ 5:147–175
Myers SC (2003) Financing of corporations. In: Constantinides G, Harris M, Stulz R (eds) Handbook of the economics of finance: corporate finance Vol 1A. North Holland, Amsterdam, pp 215–253
Myers SC, Majluf N (1984) Corporate financing and investment decisions when firms have information investors do not have. J Financ Econ 131:187–221
Nelson RR, Winter SG (1982) The evolutionary theory of economic change. Belknap Press of the Harvard University Press, Cambridge
Ovtchinnikov A (2010) Capital structure decisions: evidence from deregulated industries. J Financ Econ 95(2):249–274
Parsons C, Titman S (2008) Capital structure and corporate strategy, handbook of corporate finance: empirical corporate finance, volume 2. In Espen Eckbo B. (ed),Amsterdam: North-Holland, pp 203-234
Pautler PA (2003) Evidence on mergers and acquisitions. Antitrust Bulletin 48:119–221
Phillips GM (1995) Increased debt and industry product markets: an empirical analysis. J Financ Econ 37:189–238
Pleatsikas C, Teece D (2001) The analysis of market definition and market power in the context of rapid innovation. Int J Ind Organ 19:665–693
Poitevin M (1989) Financial signaling and the deep pocket argument. RAND J Econ 20:26–40
Rajan RG, Zingales L (1995) What do we know about capital structure? Some evidence from international data. J Financ 50(5):1421–1460
Roll R (1986) The hubris hypothesis of corporate takeovers. J Bus 59(2):197–216
Ross S (1977) The determination of financial structure: the incentive signaling approach. Bell J Econ 8:1–32
Rubin D (1974) Estimating causal effects of treatments in randomized and non-randomized studies. J Educ Psychol 66:688–701
Sappington D (2002) Price Regulation. In: Cave ME, Majumdar SK, Vogelsang I (eds) Handbook of telecommunications economics. North-Holland, Amsterdam
Sharkey WW (2002) Representation of technology and production. In: Cave ME, Majumdar SK, Vogelsang I (eds) Handbook of telecommunications economics. North-Holland, Amsterdam
Sharpe S (1990) Asymmetric information, bank lending and implicit contracts: a stylized model of customer relationships. J Financ 45:1069–1087
Showalter DM (1995) Oligopoly and financial structure: comment. Am Econ Rev 85:647–653
Simerly RL, Li M (2000) Environmental dynamism, capital structure and performance: a theoretical integration and an empirical test. Strateg Manag J 21(1):31–49
Socorro MP (2007) Mergers under uncertainty: the effects of debt financing. Manchester School 75(5):580–597
Spiegel Y (1996) The choice of technology and capital structure under rate regulation. Int J Ind Organ 15:191–216
Spiegel Y, Spulber DF (1994) The capital structure of a regulated firm. RAND J Econ 25:424–440
Spulber D (2002) Competition policy in telecommunications. In: Cave ME, Majumdar SK, Vogelsang I (eds) Handbook of telecommunications economics. North-Holland, Amsterdam
Steiner PO (1975) Mergers: motives, effects, policies. University of Michigan Press, Ann Arbor
Stigler GJ (1964) A theory of oligopoly. J Polit Econ 72:55–59
Teece DJ, Pisano G, Shuen A (1997) Dynamic capabilities and strategic management. Strateg Manag J 18:509–533
Telser LG (1966) Cutthroat competition and the long purse. J Law Econ 9:259–277
Titman S (1984) The effect of capital structure on a firm’s liquidation decision. J Financ Econ 13:137–151
Titman S, Wessels R (1988) The determinants of capital structure choice, J. Financ, 43, 1–19
Tremblay VJ, Tremblay CH (1988) The determinants of horizontal acquisitions: evidence from the US brewing industry. J Ind Econ 37:21–45
Vincente-Lorente JD (2001) Specificity and opacity as resource-based determinants of capital structure: evidence for Spanish manufacturing firms. Strateg Manag J 22(2):157–177
White H (2006) Time series estimation of the effects of natural experiments. J Econ 135:527–566
Woodford M (2003) Interest and prices: foundations of a theory of monetary policy. Princeton University Press, Princeton
Woroch GA (2002) Local network competition. In: Cave ME, Majumdar SK, Vogelsang I (eds) Handbook of telecommunications economics. North Holland, Amsterdam, pp 641–716
Zingales L (1998) Survival of the fittest or the fattest? Exit and financing in the trucking industry. J Financ 53:905–938
Acknowledgements
Useful comments from the discussant and participants at the IIOC 2017 and CRESSE 2017 meetings and an anonymous reviewer are acknowledged.
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Corresponding author
Rights and permissions
About this article
Cite this article
Majumdar, S.K., Moussawi, R. & Yaylacicegi, U. Capital Structure and Mergers: Retrospective Evidence from a Natural Experiment. J Ind Compet Trade 18, 449–472 (2018). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10842-017-0266-z
Received:
Revised:
Accepted:
Published:
Issue Date:
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10842-017-0266-z
Keywords
- Competition policy
- Corporate debt
- Industry consolidation
- Leverage
- Mergers
- Local exchange carriers
- Retrospective evaluation
- United States telecommunications industry