Abstract
In this paper, I assess what we have learned about tax evasion since Michael Allingham and Agnar Sandmo launched the modern analysis of tax evasion in 1972. I focus on three specific questions and the answers to these questions that have emerged over the years. First, how do we measure the extent of evasion? Second, how can we explain these patterns of behavior? Third, how can we use these insights to control evasion? In the process, I illustrate my own answers to these questions by highlighting various specific examples of research. My main conclusion is that we have learned many things but that we also still have many gaps in our understanding of how to measure, explain, and control tax evasion. I also give some suggestions—and some predictions—about where promising avenues of future research may lie.
Similar content being viewed by others
References
Akerlof, G. A., & Kranton, R. E. (2000). Economics and identity. The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 115(3), 715–753.
Akerlof, G. A., & Shiller, R. J. (2009). Animal spirits: how human psychology drives the economy and why it matters. Princeton: Princeton University Press.
Allingham, M. G., & Sandmo, A. (1972). Income tax evasion: a theoretical analysis. Journal of Public Economics, 1(3–4), 323–338.
Alm, J. (1987). Uncertain tax policies, individual behavior, and welfare. The American Economic Review, 78(1), 237–245.
Alm, J., Bahl, R., & Murray, M. N. (1990). Tax structure and tax compliance. Review of Economics and Statistics, 72(4), 603–613.
Alm, J., Bahl, R., & Murray, M. N. (1991). Tax base erosion in developing countries. Economic Development and Cultural Change, 39(4), 849–872.
Alm, J., Bahl, R., & Murray, M. N. (1993a). Audit selection and income tax underreporting in the tax compliance game. Journal of Development Economics, 42(1), 1–33.
Alm, J., Jackson, B. R., & McKee, M. (1993b). Fiscal exchange, collective decision institutions, and tax compliance. Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, 22(4), 285–303.
Alm, J., Bloomquist, K., & McKee, M. (2010a). On the external validity of tax compliance experiments. Tulane University Working Paper. New Orleans, LA.
Alm, J., Cherry, T., Jones, M., & McKee, M. (2010b). Taxpayer information assistance services and tax reporting behavior. Journal of Economic Psychology, 31(4), 577–586.
Alm, J., & Embaye, A. (2011). Using panel methods to estimate shadow economies around the world, 1984–1986. Tulane University Working Paper. New Orleans, LA.
Alm, J., & Jacobson, S. (2007). Using laboratory experiments in public economics. National Tax Journal, 60(1), 129–152.
Alm, J., & Melnik, M. I. (2010). Do eBay sellers comply with state sales taxes? National Tax Journal, 63(2), 215–236.
Alm, J., & Yunus, M. (2009). Spatiality and persistence in U.S. individual income tax compliance. National Tax Journal, 62(1), 101–124.
Andreoni, J., Erard, B., & Feinstein, J. (1998). Tax compliance. The Journal of Economic Literature, 36(2), 818–860.
Beck, P. J., Davis, J. S., & Jung, W. (1991). Experimental evidence on taxpayer reporting behavior. The Accounting Review, 66(3), 535–558.
Becker, W., Buchner, H., & Sleeking, S. (1987). The impact of public transfer expenditures on tax evasion: an experimental approach. Journal of Public Economics, 34(2), 243–252.
Bernasconi, M., & Zanardi, A. (2004). Tax evasion, tax rates and reference dependence. FinanzArchiv, 60(4), 422–445.
Braithwaite, V. (2009). Defiance in taxation and governance—resisting and dismissing authority in a democracy. Cheltenham: Edward Elgar.
Camerer, C. F., Loewenstein, G. F., & Rabin, M. (Eds.) (2004). Advances in behavioral economics. Princeton: Russell Sage Foundation and Princeton University Press.
Chernick, H., & Merriman, D. (2009). Using littered pack data to estimate cigarette tax avoidance in NYC. CUNY Working Paper. New York, NY.
Clotfelter, C. T. (1983). Tax evasion and tax rates: an analysis of individual returns. Review of Economics and Statistics, 65(3), 363–373.
Cowell, F. A. (1990). Cheating the government: the economics of evasion. Cambridge: The MIT Press.
Cowell, F. A., & Gordon, J. P. F. (1988). Unwillingness to pay. Journal of Public Economics, 36(3), 305–321.
Crane, S. E., & Nourzad, F. (1992). Analyzing income tax evasion using amnesty data with self-selection correction: the case of the Michigan tax amnesty program. In J. Slemrod (Ed.), Why people pay taxes (pp. 167–189). Ann Arbor: University of Michigan Press.
DePaula, R., & Schneider, J. (2010). The informal sector: an equilibrium model and some evidence from Brazil. Penn Institute for Economic Research Working Paper 10-024. Philadelphia, PA.
Dhami, S., & al-Nowaihi, A. (2007). Why do people pay taxes? Prospect theory versus expected utility theory. Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, 64(1), 171–192.
Dubin, J. A. (2007). Criminal investigation enforcement activities and taxpayer noncompliance. Public Finance Review, 35(4), 500–529.
Dubin, J. A., Graetz, M. J., & Wilde, L. L. (1990). The effect of audit rates on the federal individual income tax, 1977–1986. National Tax Journal, 43(4), 395–409.
Elster, J. (1989). The cement of society—a study of social order. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.
Feinstein, J. (1991). An econometric model of income tax evasion and its detection. The Rand Journal of Economics, 22(1), 14–35.
Feldman, N., & Slemrod, J. (2007). Estimating tax compliance with evidence from unaudited tax returns. The Economic Journal, 117(518), 327–352.
Fisher, R. C., Goddeeris, J. H., & Young, J. C. (1989). Participation in tax amnesties: the individual income tax. National Tax Journal, 42(1), 15–27.
Fortin, B., Lacroix, G., & Villeval, M.-C. (2007). Tax evasion and social interactions. Journal of Public Economics, 91(8), 2089–2112.
Frey, B. (1997). Not just for the money—an economic theory of personal motivation. Cheltenham: Edward Elgar Publishing Limited.
Friedland, N., Maital, S., & Rutenberg, A. (1978). A simulation study of income tax evasion. Journal of Public Economics, 10(1), 107–116.
Gerxhani, K., & Schram, A. (2006). Tax evasion and income source: a comparative experimental study. Journal of Economic Psychology, 27(3), 402–422.
Gordon, J. P. F. (1989). Individual morality and reputation costs as deterrents to tax evasion. European Economic Review, 33(4), 797–805.
Gruber, J., & Saez, E. (2002). The elasticity of taxable income: evidence and implications. Journal of Public Economics, 84(1), 1–32.
Henderson, J. V., Storeygard, A., & Weil, D. N. (2009). Measuring economic growth from outer space. NBER Working Paper 15199. Cambridge, MA.
Iyer, G. S., Reckers, P. M. J., & Sanders, D. L. (2010). Increasing tax compliance in Washington state: a field experiment. National Tax Journal, 63(1), 7–32.
Johannesen, N. (2010). Tax evasion and Swiss bank accounts. University of Copenhagen Working Paper. Copenhagen, Denmark.
Kim, Y. (2003). Income distribution and equilibrium multiplicity in a stigma-based model of tax evasion. Journal of Public Economics, 87(9), 1591–1616.
Kirchler, E. (2007). The economic psychology of tax behavior. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.
Kirchler, E., Hoelzl, E., & Wahl, I. (2008). Enforced versus voluntary tax compliance: the “slippery slope” framework. Journal of Economic Psychology, 29(2), 210–225.
Kleven, H. J., Knudsen, M. B., Kreiner, K. T., Pedersen, S., & Saez, E. (2010). Unwilling or unable to cheat? Evidence from a randomized tax audit experiment in Denmark. NBER Working Paper 15769. Cambridge, MA.
LeMieux, T., Fortin, B., & Frechette, P. (1994). The effect of taxes on labor supply in the underground economy. The American Economic Review, 84(1), 231–254.
Lewis, A. (1982). The psychology of taxation. Oxford: Martin Robertson.
Levitt, S. D., & List, J. A. (2007). What do laboratory experiments tell us about the real world? The Journal of Economic Perspectives, 21(2), 153–174.
McBarnet, D. (2004). Crime, compliance, and control. Burlington: Ashgate/Dartmouth Publishers Ltd.
McCaffery, E. J., & Slemrod, J. (Eds.) (2006). Behavioral public finance. New York: Russell Sage Foundation.
Murray, M. N. (1995). Sales tax compliance and audit selection. National Tax Journal, 48(4), 515–530.
Myles, G. D., & Naylor, R. A. (1996). A model of tax evasion with group conformity and social customs. European Journal of Political Economy, 12(1), 49–66.
Myles, G., Tran-Nam, B., & Hashimzade, N. (2010). New approaches to the economics of tax evasion. University of Exeter Working Paper. Exeter, UK.
Pissarides, C. A., & Weber, G. (1989). An expenditure-based estimate of Britain’s black economy. Journal of Public Economics, 39(1), 17–32.
Rice, E. M. (1992). The corporate tax gap: evidence on tax compliance by small corporations. In J. Slemord (Ed.), Why people pay taxes (pp. 125–162). Ann Arbor: The University of Michigan Press.
Roth, A. E. (1987). Laboratory experimentation in economics. In T. Bewley (Ed.), Advances in economic theory, fifth world congress (pp. 269–299). Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.
Sandmo, A. (2005). The theory of tax evasion: a retrospective view. National Tax Journal, 58(4), 643–663.
Schneider, F. (2005). Shadow economies around the world: what do we really know? European Journal of Political Economy, 21(4), 598–642.
Schneider, F., & Enste, D. H. (2000). Shadow economies: size, causes, and consequences. The Journal of Economic Literature, 38(1), 77–114.
Schneider, F., & Enste, D. H. (2002). The shadow economy—an international survey. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.
Slemrod, J. (2007). Cheating ourselves: the economics of tax evasion. The Journal of Economic Perspectives, 21(1), 25–48.
Slemrod, J., Blumenthal, M., & Christian, C. (2001). Taxpayer response to an increase probability of audit: evidence from a controlled field experiment in Minnesota. Journal of Public Economics, 79(3), 455–483.
Slemrod, J., & Weber, C. (2010). Evidence of the invisible: toward a credibility revolution in the empirical analysis of tax evasion and the informal economy. Keynote address at the 66th Annual Congress of the International Institute of Public Finance, “Tax Evasion, Tax Avoidance, and the Shadow Economy”, Uppsala, Sweden (August 2010).
Slemrod, J., & Yitzhaki, S. (2002). Tax avoidance, evasion, and administration. In A. J. Auerbach & M. Feldstein (Eds.), Handbook of public economics (pp. 1423–1470). Amsterdam: Elsevier.
Snow, A., & Warren, R. S., Jr. (2005). Ambiguity about audit probability, tax compliance, and taxpayer welfare. Economic Inquiry, 43(4), 865–871.
Torgler, B. (2007). Tax compliance and tax morale: a theoretical and empirical analysis. Cheltenham: Edward Elgar Publishing.
Traxler, C. (2010). Social corms and conditional cooperative taxpayers. European Journal of Political Economy, 26(1), 89–103.
Webley, P., Robben, P., Elffers, H., & Hessing, D. (1991). Tax evasion: an experimental approach. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.
Witte, A. D., & Woodbury, D. F. (1985). The effect of tax laws and tax administration on tax compliance. National Tax Journal, 38(1), 1–13.
Yaniv, G. (1999). Tax compliance and advanced tax payments: a prospect theory analysis. National Tax Journal, 52(4), 753–764.
Yitzhaki, S. (1974). A note on “Income tax evasion: a theoretical analysis”. Journal of Public Economics, 3(2), 201–202.
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Corresponding author
Additional information
This paper is based on my keynote address at the 66th Annual Congress of the International Institute of Public Finance (IIPF), “Tax Evasion, Tax Avoidance, and the Shadow Economy”, held at Uppsala University in Uppsala, Sweden in August 2010. I am greatly indebted to Friedrich Schneider for many helpful discussions.
Rights and permissions
About this article
Cite this article
Alm, J. Measuring, explaining, and controlling tax evasion: lessons from theory, experiments, and field studies. Int Tax Public Finance 19, 54–77 (2012). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10797-011-9171-2
Published:
Issue Date:
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10797-011-9171-2