Abstract
We examine the effect of foreign bank presence on new firm entry in 83 economies over the 2005–2013 period. The empirical findings show that foreign bank presence exerts a positive and significant effect on firm entry. This effect subsides in countries with strong creditor rights, while it strengthens in economies with high depth of credit information sharing. In further analysis, we find that the type of credit information sharing provider matters. The positive effect of foreign bank presence on firm entry strengthens in the presence of a private credit bureau, whereas it is subdued in the presence of a public credit registry. Finally, we find some evidence that cultural and information sharing distance between home and host economies weakens the positive effect of foreign bank presence on firm entry. In terms of policy, attracting foreign banks while strengthening credit information sharing through private credit bureaus could benefit entrepreneurship in host economies.
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Notes
To the best our knowledge there is only one study (Havrylchyk 2012) that examines the impact of foreign bank presence on entrepreneurship for a sample of transition economies over the 2000–2005. However, there are some important differences between this paper and ours. The study of Havrylchyk (2012) focuses on few transition economies, whereas our paper uses a global sample of 83 economies. Secondly, we utilize the recent foreign bank ownership dataset of Claessens and van Horen (2014a, 2015). This dataset represent the most diligent effort to measure accurately cross-country foreign bank presence. Thirdly and more importantly, our study takes into account conditioning effects due to important institutional arrangements (creditor rights and credit information sharing) that aim to alleviate the information asymmetry between banks and candidate borrowers. Finally, the study of Havrylchyk (2012) is for the 2000–2005 period while the timeline of our study (2005–2013) is wider and also includes the crisis and some of the post-crisis period.
The analysis in this paper highlights the possible channels through which foreign bank presence could affect new firm entry. However, the use country-level data (i.e. we do not observe bank-firm relationships) renders beyond the scope of this paper to evaluate if new firm entrants could benefit directly from foreign bank lending or indirectly because foreign bank presence could alter the lending policies of domestic banks.
In robustness checks we also use an alternative measure of entrepreneurship: this is the nascent entrepreneurship sourced from the Global Entrepreneurship Monitor (GEM). We have extensively reviewed the literature on the determinants of new firm entry in a cross-country framework. The new firm entry rate from the World Bank Entrepreneurship Database together with the GEM measure of entrepreneurship are the most commonly employed variables in the literature to capture country-level entrepreneurship.
The first ratio, the number of foreign banks divided by the total number of banks in a country, may provide a better measure of foreign bank presence in terms of entry. The two ratios of foreign bank presence are highly correlated (correlation stands at around 0.8, see Table 8 in appendix) and estimations using either of these two ratios of foreign bank presence produce qualitatively similar results. Therefore, in our main analysis we present the results using the ratio of foreign banks assets over total bank assets (FBAST) as a measure of foreign bank presence. In the robustness checks section of this paper we also present results using the ratio of the number of foreign banks over total banks (FBNUM).
In alternative estimations we use as a measure of competition in the banking industry the Lerner index at the country level. The Lerner index is also available in the Global Financial Development Database of the World Bank but is available for fewer years than the C3 ratio. Thus, we report the estimations that employ the C3 ratio as a measure of bank competition. The results are qualitatively similar when we employ the Lerner index as a measure of competition.
Initially, we attempted to employ as endogenous variables just the lagged dependent variable (lnENTt-1) and the foreign bank presence variable (lnFBAST). In this case we obtain significant p-values for the Hansen J test. We find that by treating the lagged dependent variable (lnENTt-1), the foreign bank presence variable (lnFBAST) and the business freedom (BUSFREE) variable as endogenous we obtain insignificant p-values for the Hansen J test. This suggests that the instruments are acceptable and the business freedom (BUSFREE) variable is better modelled as endogenous in the dynamic panel models. This also makes sense from a theoretical standpoint. The business freedom (BUSFREE) is a measure of regulation of firm entry and therefore it is rational to consider it as endogenous to the entrepreneurship rate.
Note that since in the dynamic panel analysis we treat foreign bank presence (lnFBAST) as endogenous, we also treat as endogenous the interaction terms of this variable with creditor rights (CR) and information sharing (DEPTH) (Asiedu and Lien 2011).
The correlation (see Table 8 in the appendix) between the depth of information sharing (DEPTH) and the presence of private credit bureau dummy (PVDUM) is around 0.7, while it is only 0.066 with the public credit registry dummy (PBDUM). This provides evidence that private credit bureaus are the main source of the depth of information sharing in a given country.
We source the data to construct the cultural proximity and geographic distance variables from CEPII. www.cepii.fr. Note that the cultural proximity and geographic distance variables we construct are time variant. The geographic distance and cultural proximity between two given countries is time invariant but the weights that we multiply these characteristics with (i.e. the share of each home country’s foreign bank assets over the total foreign bank assets in a given host economy) to construct the distance and proximity variables in this study are time variant.
In unreported estimations we also run model 8 of Table 4 with the inclusion of a distance measure in terms of the level of economic development (lnGDPcap) and its interaction with the foreign bank presence variable. Our results are robust to this exercise. This is to ensure that the significant and negative effect of the interaction term between distance in terms of depth of credit information sharing (DISDEPTH) and foreign bank presence (lnFBAST) does not reflect differences between the home and host economies in terms of the level of economic development.
Note that in model 9 of Table 4 we have instrument proliferation because we include all the interaction terms of the distance and proximity variables with the foreign bank presence variable in the same specification, and we have modelled these interactions as endogenous. Since the foreign bank presence variable is endogenous, its interaction term with other variables is also endogenous (Asiedu and Lien 2011), and this is the approach we have adopted in this paper. Roodman (2009) suggests that in dynamic panel models the ratio between instruments and cross-sections (i.e. countries in our case) should be smaller than unity. Model 9 of Table 4 is the only dynamic panel model in this study that the value of this ratio is higher than unity. Therefore, we have estimated again model 9 of Table 4 with the difference GMM estimator, which uses a lower number of instruments, rather than the system GMM estimator and we obtain qualitatively similar results. These estimations are available upon request.
Note that in the models of Table 5 that include interaction terms between the foreign bank presence variable (lnFBNUM) and other country characteristics, following Giannetti and Ongena (2009), we also instrument these interaction terms with the interactions between the instrumental variables RESFB and DENFB with the corresponding country characteristics. This procedure is important because the interaction between an endogenous variable and another variable is also endogenous (Asiedu and Lien 2011). However, not instrumenting for the interaction terms does not yield significant changes in our results.
The GEM database has less coverage in terms of countries in comparison with the World Bank Entrepreneurship Database.
We obtain critical values for the WIT from Stock and Yogo (2005).
We have also estimated 2SLS IV models that include the interaction terms between foreign banks presence and the other distance (proximity) variables (geographic distance, cultural proximity and creditor rights distance), but we did not find statistically significant effects.
As a first step in the panel VAR estimation we follow Lütkepohl (2006) and assume the optimal order of lags for the right-hand side variables of the system of equations. We compute for the first, second and third lag the Arellano-Bond GMM estimator. We confirm with the results of the Akaike Information Criterion (AIC) and with the results of the Arellano-Bond AR tests that the optimal lag is of order one. Furthermore, because we cannot have time effects, variables are time-demeaned to remove unwanted trends.
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Appendices
Appendix 1
Appendix 2
Appendix 3. Additional information on the validity of instrumental variables
The findings in Table 5 demonstrate that the instrumental variables that measure foreign bank regulatory restrictions (RESFB) and foreign bank denied applications (DENBFB) have a negative and significant at the 1% level effect on the foreign bank presence variable (lnFBNUM). Here we provide evidence from fixed effect models that these instrumental variables (RESFB and DENFB) do not exert a statistically significant direct effect on our measures of entrepreneurship (lnNewentry and lnNascent). The models in Table A3 include also the other explanatory variables of entrepreneurship that we do not report in this table to economize space. We further validate the weak and not statistically significant relationship between the two instrumental variables and the two measures of entrepreneurships in panel VAR models.
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Bermpei, T., Kalyvas, A.N., Neri, L. et al. Will Strangers Help you Enter? The Effect of Foreign Bank Presence on New Firm Entry. J Financ Serv Res 56, 1–38 (2019). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10693-017-0286-1
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10693-017-0286-1