Abstract
Sustainable ecosystem management is an effective approach to prevent and tackle desertification on local and global scales. This study aims to determine and prioritize the main driving forces of desertification in northeastern Iran and to provide appropriate management strategies. This paper proposes effective policies and strategies using the multiple-criteria decision-making (MCDM)–drivers, pressures, states, impacts, responses (DPSIR) approach to reduce the impact of desertification risk in arid regions of northeastern Iran. The main driving forces of desertification were obtained and ranked in terms of significance using one of the most recent approaches in MCDM, i.e., the PROMETHEE method, based on the opinions of 113 experts, field studies, and previous research in the region. The results indicated the existence of 29 main driving forces of desertification. The PROMETHEE method calculates the significance of factors using the phi statistic. The top 15 driving forces, i.e., those with positive phi values (ranged between 0.0071 and 0.0714), were identified and ranked. These 15 driving forces included overgrazing, land-use change, improper land management, drought, reduced precipitation, soil salinity, overpopulation, erosion, waterlogging, overuse of pesticides and fertilizers, inappropriate tillage, improper irrigation, and decreased soil fertility. We found that sensitive biological and physical components are at risk of desertification in the western part of the study area. Such sensitive components can accelerate desertification processes in the places, where they are originated. Accordingly, five categories of policies and 25 strategies for long-term ecologically sustainable management were formulated and suggested based on the prevailing environmental factors, field surveys, and experts’ opinions.
Similar content being viewed by others
References
Acheampong, E. O., Macgregor, C. J., Sloan, S., & Sayer, J. (2019). Deforestation is driven by agricultural expansion in Ghana’s forest reserves. Scientific African. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.sciaf.2019.e00146.
Agyemang, I., McDonald, A., & Carver, S. (2007). Application of the DPSIR approach to environmental degradation assessment in northern Ghana. Natural Resources Forum, 31, 212–225. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1477-8947.2007.00152.x.
Akbari, M., Jafari Shalamzari, M., Memarian, H., & Gholami, A. (2020). Monitoring desertification processes using ecological indicators and providing management programs in arid regions of Iran. Ecological Indicators, 111, 106011. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolind.2019.106011.
Akbari, M., Neamatollahi, E., & Neamatollahi, P. (2019). Evaluating land suitability for spatial planning in arid regions of eastern Iran using fuzzy logic and multi-criteria analysis. Ecological Indicators, 98, 587–598. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolind.2018.11.035.
Akbari, M., Ownegh, M., Asgari, H., Sadoddin, A., & Khosravi, H. (2016a). Desertification risk assessment and management program. Global Journal of Environmental Science and Management, 2, 365–380. https://doi.org/10.22034/gjesm.2016.02.04.006.
Akbari, M., Ownegh, M., Asgari, H., Sadoddin, A., & Khosravi, H. (2016b). Drought monitoring based on the SPI and RDI indices under climate change scenarios (Case study: Semi-arid areas of west Golestan province). ECOPERSIA, 4, 1585–1602.
Ale-Mohammad, S., Yavari, A. R., Salehi, S., & Zebardast, L. (2014). Using the strategic environmental assessment for compilation polices of sustainable development plan in Lake Urmia. International Journal of Environment Studies, 40, 645–667.
Ammann, W. (2016). Early warning in disaster risk reduction- needs and potential. In 7th International conference on integrated natural disaster management- INDM, 15-16 Feb., Tehran-IRAN.
Atkins, J. P., Burdon, D., Elliott, M., & Gregory, A. J. (2011). Management of the marine environment: Integrating ecosystem services and societal benefits with the DPSIR approach in a systems approach. Marine Pollution Bulletin, 62, 215–226. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.marpolbul.2010.12.012.
Bakr, N., Weindorf, D. C., Bahnassy, M. H., & El-Badawi, M. M. (2012). Multi-temporal assessment of land sensitivity to desertification in a fragile agro-ecosystem: Environmental indicators. Ecological Indicators, 15, 271–280. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolind.2011.09.034.
Behzadian, M., Kazemzadeh, R., Albadvi, A., & Aghdasi, M. (2010). PROMETHEE: A comprehensive literature review on methodologies and applications. European Journal of Operational Research, 200(1), 198–215. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ejor.2009.01.021.
Bizikova, L., Metternicht, G., & Yarde, T. (2018). Environmental mainstreaming and policy coherence: Essential policy tools to link international agreements with national development—a case study of the Caribbean region. Environment, Development and Sustainable, 20, 975–995. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10668-017-9924-x.
Brans, J. P. (1982). Lingenierie de la decision. Elaboration dinstruments daide a ladecision. Methode PROMETHEE. In Nadeau, R., Landry, M. (Eds.), Laide a laDecision: Nature, Instruments et Perspectives Davenir. Presses de Universite Laval, Quebec.
Brans, J. P., & Mareschal, B. (1995). The PROMETHEE VI procedure. How to differentiate hard from soft multi-criteria problems. Journal of Decision Systems, 4, 213–223. https://doi.org/10.1080/12460125.1995.10511652.
Brans, J. P., Vincke, Ph, & Mareschal, B. (1986). How to select and how to rank projects: The PROMETHEE method. European Journal of Operational Research, 24(2), 228–238.
Carr, E. R., Wingard, P. M., Yorty, S. C., Thompson, M. C., Jensen, N. K., & Roberson, J. (2007). Applying DPSIR to sustainable development. International Journal of Sustainable Development, 14, 543–555. https://doi.org/10.1080/13504500709469753.
Demir, O., Inan, H. I., Biyik, C., & Uzun, B. (2015). Land management for erosion prevention: A case study for a Turkish nature reserve. Land Use Policy, 47, 394–400. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.landusepol.2015.01.036.
Department of Economic and Social Affairs. (2016). Transforming our world: The 2030 agenda for sustainable development. UN DESA. Retrieved August 26, 2015, https://www.un.org/development/desa/dspd/2015/08/transforming-our-world-the-2030-agenda-for-sustainable-development.
EEA. (1995). Europe’s environment: the Dobris assessment. European Environment Agency report, Copenhagen.
EEA. (1999). Environmental indicators: Typology and overview. Unpublished technical report, No. 25. European environment agency, Copenhagen.
EEA. (2003). Environmental indicators: Typology and use in reporting. Copenhagen: European Environment Agency report.
Ehara, M., Hyakumura, K., Sato, R., Kurosawa, K., Araya, K., Sokh, H., et al. (2018). Addressing maladaptive coping strategies of local communities to changes in ecosystem service provisions using the DPSIR framework. Ecological Economics, 149, 226–238. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolecon.2018.03.008.
Fan, M., Shibata, H., & Chen, L. (2017). Assessing high impacts of climate change: Spatial characteristics and relationships of hydrological ecosystem services in northern Japan (Teshio River watershed). Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change, 23(4), 525–552. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11027-017-9748-x.
Fang, L., Bai, Z., Wei, S., Yanfen, H., Zongming, W., Kaishan, S., et al. (2008). Sandy desertification change and its driving forces in western Jilin province, North China. Environmental Monitoring and Assessment, 136, 379–390. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10661-007-9693-3.
Farajzadeh, M., Servati, M. R., & Taheri, V. (2011). Analysis and zonation on of geomorphologic hazards of Golestan province. Journal of Physical Geography, 4(11), 45–62.
Ferrara, A., Salvati, L., Sateriano, A., & Nole, A. (2012). Performance evaluation and cost assessment of a key indicator system to monitor desertification vulnerability. Ecological Indicators, 23, 123–129. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolind.2012.03.015.
Gray, J. S., & Elliott, M. (2009). Ecology of marine sediments – from science to management, seconded. Oxford: Oxford University Press.
Henry, A. O. (2019). Natural resources curse: A reality in Africa. Resources Policy, 63, 101–406. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.resourpol.2019.101406.
Honardoust, F., Ownegh, M., & Sheikh, V. B. (2011). Assessment of the current state of desertification in the Soufikam-Mengal plain in the northwest of Golestan Province. Journal of Soil and Water Conservation, 18, 213–219.
Jafari, H., Akbari, M., Kashki, M. T., & Badiee Nameghi, S. H. (2019). An efficiency comparison of the IMDPA and ESAs models on desertification risk management in arid regions of southern Khorasan Razavi, Iran. Arid Biome, 9(1), 39–54. https://doi.org/10.29252/aridbiom.2019.1542.
Kairis, O., Karavitis, C., Salvati, L., Kounalaki, A., & Kosmas, K. (2015). Exploring the impact of overgrazing on soil erosion and land degradation in a dry mediterranean agro-forest landscape (Crete, Greece). Arid Land Research and Management, 29, 360–374. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1365-2664.2012.02193.x.
Kanianska, A. (2016). Agriculture and its impact on land-use, environment, and ecosystem services. Landscape ecology - the influences of land use and anthropogenic impacts of landscape creation, Amjad Almusaed, Intech Open. https://doi.org/10.5772/63719.
Khashtabeh, R., Akbari, M., Kolahi, M., Talebanfard, A., & Khashtabeh, R. (2019). Investigation of Participatory needs assessment to prioritize sustainable development indicators of rural communities using hierarchical analysis process. In 4th International conference on researches in science & engineering & international congress on civil, architecture and urbanism in Asia. http://www.4icrsie.com/en.
Klomp, J., & Hoogezand, B. (2018). Natural disasters and agricultural protection: A panel data analysis. World Development, 104, 404–417. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.worlddev.2017.11.013.
Kristiansen, P. (2004). The DPSIR Approach. In Paper presented at the 27–29 September 2004 workshop on a comprehensive/detailed assessment of the vulnerability of water resources to environmental change in Africa using river basin approach. UNEP Headquarters, Nairobi, Kenya.
Ladisa, G., Todorovic, M., & Trisorio Liuzzi, G. (2012). A GIS-based approach for desertification risk assessment in Apulia region, SE Italy. Physics and Chemistry of the Earth, 49, 103–113. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.pce.2011.05.007.
Leuween, C. E., Cammeraat, E. H., De Vente, J., & Boix-Fayos, C. (2019). The evolution of soil conservation policies targeting land abandonment and soil erosion in Spain: A review. Land Use Policy, 83, 174–186. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.landusepol.2019.01.018.
Magdy, M., El-Salam, A., & Elhakem, A. H. (2016). Desertification and its effect on the erosion of vegetation in the south-western region of Saudi Arabia. Environmental Monitoring and Assessment, 188(3), 164–173. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10661-016-5164-z.
Malekmohammadi, B., & Janahishakib, F. (2017). Vulnerability assessment of wetland landscape ecosystem services using driver-pressure-state-impact-response (DPSIR) model. Ecological Indicators, 82, 293–303. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolind.2017.06.060.
Martinez Valderrama, J., Ibanez, J., Dell Bario, G., Alcala, F. J., Sanjuan, M. E., Ruiz, A., et al. (2018). Doomed to collapse: Why Algerian steppe rangelands are overgrazed and some lessons to help land-use transitions. Science of the Total Environment, 614, 1489–1497. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2017.07.058.
Memarian, H., Komeh, Z., Tavasoli, A., Tajbakhsh, M., Abbasi, A., & Parsayi, L. (2016). Health and environmental considerations of rooftop catchment systems (Case study: Aq Gala, Golestan Province, Iran). Water Harvesting Research, 1, 1–11.
Mohammadi, R., Dastorani, M. T., Akbari, M., & Ahani, H. (2019). The impacts of magnetized water treatment on different morphological and physiological factors of plant species in arid regions. Water Supply, 19(6), 1587–1596. https://doi.org/10.2166/ws.2019.027.
Moradi, H. R., Mohammadi, M. H., & Pourghasemi, R. (2010). Landslide hazard analysis in Golestan province using Dempster–Shafer theory. Journal of Earth Science Research, 1(3), 1–14.
Nachtergaele, F. O. (2004). Land degradation assessment indicators and the LADA Project. SCAPE soil conservation and projection for Europe, land, and water development division, FAO report, Italy, 201-213.
Nasrian, A., Akbari, M., Faridhosseini, A., & Neamatollahi, E. (2019a). Spatio-temporal monitoring of groundwater changes on desertification intensity in agricultural areas in Dargaz plain, Khorasan Razavi Province. Desert Ecosystem Engineering Journal, 7(21), 75–90. https://doi.org/10.22052/deej.2018.7.21.49.
Nasrian, A., Akbari, M., Faridhosseini, A., Neamatollahi, E., & Davari, S. (2019b). Quantitative assessment of desertification intensity indices in the agricultural lands of Dargaz plain, Khorasan Razavi Province. Desert Management, 7(13), 149–170.
Ownegh, M. (2009). Landslide hazard and risk zonation in Ziarat watershed, Gorgan, research project, Gorgan University of agriculture sciences and natural resources, Iran.
Pirrone, N., Trombino, G., Cinnirella, S., Algieri, A., Bendoricchio, G., & Palmeri, L. (2005). The driver-pressure-state-impact-response (DPSIR) approach for integrated catchment-coastal zone management: Preliminary application to the PO catchment-Adriatic sea coastal zone system. Regional Environmental Change, 5, 111–137.
Rubio, J. L., & Bochet, E. (1998). Desertification indicators as diagnosis criteria for desertification risk assessment in Europe. Journal of Arid Environments, 39, 113–120. https://doi.org/10.1006/jare.1998.0402.
Sadeghi Ravesh, M. H., Ahmadi, H., & Zehtabian, G. R. (2010). Application of sensitivity analysis for assessment of de-desertification alternatives in central Iran by using Delphi and AHP method. Environmental Monitoring and Assessment, 179, 31–46. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10661-010-1717-8.
Salvati, L., & Toward, A. (2014). ‘Sustainable’ land degradation? Vulnerability degree and component balance in a rapidly changing environment. Environment, Development and Sustainability, 16, 239–254. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10668-013-9463-z.
Sekovski, I., Newton, A., & Dennison, W. C. (2012). Megacities in the coastal zone: Using a driver-pressure-state-impact-response approach to address complex environmental problems. Estuarine, Coastal and Shelf Science, 96, 48–59. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecss.2011.07.011.
Shahsavari, A., & Akbari, M. (2018). Potential of solar energy in developing countries for reducing energy-related emissions. Renewable & Sustainable Energy Reviews, 90, 275–291. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.rser.2018.03.065.
Spano, M., Gentile, F., Davies, C., & Lafortezza, R. (2017). The DPSIR framework in support of green infrastructure planning: A case study in Southern Italy. Land Use Policy, 61, 242–250. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.landusepol.2016.10.051.
Svarstad, H., Petersen, L. K., Rothman, D., Siepel, H., & Watzold, F. (2008). Discursive biases of the environmental research approach DPSIR. Land Use Policy, 25(1), 116–125. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.landusepol.2007.03.005.
Tomić Vojislav, T., Marinković Zoran, M., & Janošević Dragoslav, J. (2011). PROMETHEE Method Implementation with multi-criteria decision. Mechanical Engineering, 9, 193–202.
Topographic analysis report. (2013). The land use plan studies in Golestan province, Iran. P 112.
UNEP’s Strategy on Land Use Management and Soil Conservation. (2004). UNEP’s strategy was prepared by the UNEP division of policy development and law. UNEP.
United Nations Convention to Combat Desertification (UNCCD). (2014). United Nations Convention to Combat Desertification. UNCCD.
United Nations Economic and Social Council. (2017). Progress towards the Sustainable Development Goals. High-level political forum on sustainable development, convened under the auspices of the Economic and Social Council. 28 July 2016–27 July 2017.
Varghese, N., & Singh, N. P. (2016). Linkages between land use changes, desertification and human development in the Thar Desert Region of India. Land Use Policy, 51, 18–25. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.landusepol.2015.11.001.
Vincke, J. P., & Brans, Ph. (1985). A preference ranking organization method. The PROMETHEE method for MCDM. Management Science, 31, 641–656.
Xue, J., Gui, D., Lei, J., Sun, H., Zeng, F., Mao, D., et al. (2019). Ossification: An unable evasive process in fighting against desertification for the sustainable development of arid and semiarid regions of China. CATENA, 179, 197–209. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.catena.2019.03.029.
Acknowledgements
The authors thank all those who have contributed and collaborated on this research, with scientific advice or by procuring the original data.
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Corresponding author
Ethics declarations
Conflict of interest
The authors declare no conflict of interest.
Additional information
Publisher's Note
Springer Nature remains neutral with regard to jurisdictional claims in published maps and institutional affiliations.
Rights and permissions
About this article
Cite this article
Akbari, M., Memarian, H., Neamatollahi, E. et al. Prioritizing policies and strategies for desertification risk management using MCDM–DPSIR approach in northeastern Iran. Environ Dev Sustain 23, 2503–2523 (2021). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10668-020-00684-3
Received:
Accepted:
Published:
Issue Date:
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10668-020-00684-3