Abstract
We systematically quantified excess mortality in epilepsy patients by cause of death using the population-attributable fraction and epilepsy-attributable years of potential life lost (YPLL) by age 75 years at ages 15 and over. We updated and undertook a re-review of mortality studies from our previous systematic review following PRISMA guidelines to identify cohort studies of general epilepsy populations reporting a relative risk (RR) of death by cause relative to the background rates in the population. Studies on epilepsy prevalence were identified through published reviews. Country-specific mortality figures were obtained from the WHO World Mortality Database. We performed a pooled analysis with the DerSimonian–Laird random effects method. In countries with very high Human Development Indices, epilepsy contributed to 0.5–1.1 % of all deaths in the total population. Among external causes, suicides (RR 2.9, 95 % confidence interval 2.2–3.8; I2 52 %) were the major contributor to YPLL, corresponding to 6.7 % and 4.2 % of excess YPLL due to epilepsy in the United States (US) and in the United Kingdom (UK) in 2010, with 541 (346–792) and 44 (28–65) excess suicide cases, respectively. Fatal accidental falls were more common, with 813 (610–1064) and 95 (71–125) excess deaths in the US and in the UK, but these caused only 2.0 % of excess YPLL as they occurred in older age groups. Suicides were the most important external cause of death in epilepsy patients in terms of excess YPLL, whereas other external causes were either more common in older ages or caused less excess deaths.
Similar content being viewed by others
References
Murray CJ, Vos T, Lozano R, et al. Disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) for 291 diseases and injuries in 21 regions, 1990–2010: a systematic analysis for the global burden of disease study 2010. Lancet. 2012;380:2197–223.
Lozano R, Naghavi M, Foreman K, et al. Global and regional mortality from 235 causes of death for 20 age groups in 1990 and 2010: a systematic analysis for the global burden of disease study 2010. Lancet. 2012;380:2095–128.
Forsgren L, Hauser WA, Olafsson E, et al. Mortality of epilepsy in developed countries: a review. Epilepsia. 2010;46:18–27.
Nevalainen O, Ansakorpi H, Simola M, et al. Epilepsy-related clinical characteristics and mortality: a systematic review and meta-analysis. Neurology. 2014;83:1968–77.
Moher D, Liberati A, Tetzlaff J, et al. Preferred reporting items for systematic reviews and meta-analyses: the PRISMA statement. BMJ. 2009;339:b2535.
Nevalainen O, Auvinen A, Ansakorpi H, et al. Mortality by clinical characteristics in a tertiary care cohort of adult patients with chronic epilepsy. Epilepsia. 2012;53:e212–4.
Nevalainen O, Raitanen J, Ansakorpi H, et al. Long-term mortality risk by cause of death in newly diagnosed patients with epilepsy in Finland: a nationwide register-based study. Eur J Epidemiol. 2013;28:981–90.
Lunetta P, Lounamaa A, Sihvonen S. Surveillance of injury-related deaths: medicolegal autopsy rates and trends in Finland. Inj Prev. 2007;13:282–4.
Forsgren L, Beghi E, Oun A, et al. The epidemiology of epilepsy in Europe: a systematic review. Eur J Neurol. 2005;12:245–53.
Banerjee PN, Filippi D, Hauser WA. The descriptive epidemiology of epilepsy-a review. Epilepsy Res. 2009;85:31–45.
Ngugi AK, Bottomley C, Kleinschmidt I, et al. Estimation of the burden of active and life-time epilepsy: a meta-analytic approach. Epilepsia. 2010;51:883–90.
Bell GS, Neligan A, Sander JW. An unknown quantity–the worldwide prevalence of epilepsy. Epilepsia. 2014;55:958–62.
Thurman DJ, Beghi E, Begley CE, et al. Standards for epidemiologic studies and surveillance of epilepsy. Epilepsia. 2011;52(Suppl 7):2–26.
WHO. Mortality database documentation. 2013. http://www.who.int/healthinfo/mortality_data/en/. Accessed 1 Nov 2014.
Cohen J. A coefficient of agreement for nominal scales. Educ Psychol Meas. 1960;20:37–46.
Human Development Report 2010—20th Anniversary Edition. New York: United Nations Development Program, 2010.
Deeks JJ, Higgins JPT, Altman DG Chapter 9: Analysing data and undertaking meta-analyses. In: Higgins JPT, Green S. eds. Cochrane handbook for systematic reviews of interventions version 510 (updated March 2011) The Cochrane Collaboration, 2011 http://www.cochrane-handbook.org.
Higgins JP, Thompson SG. Quantifying heterogeneity in a meta-analysis. Stat Med. 2002;21:1539–58.
Knapp G, Hartung J. Improved tests for a random effects meta-regression with a single covariate. Stat Med. 2003;22:2693–710.
Wells GA, Shea B, O’Connell D, et al. The Newcastle-Ottawa Scale (NOS) for assessing the quality of nonrandomised studies in meta-analyses. http://www.medicine.mcgill.ca/rtamblyn/Readings%5CThe%20Newcastle%20-%20Scale%20for%20assessing%20the%20quality%20of%20nonrandomised%20studies%20in%20meta-analyses.pdf. Accessed 14 Dec 2014.
Egger M, Davey Smith G, Schneider M, et al. Bias in meta-analysis detected by a simple, graphical test. BMJ. 1997;315:629–34.
Levin ML. The occurrence of lung cancer in man. Acta Unio Int Contra Cancrum. 1953;9:531–41.
Steenland K, Armstrong B. An overview of methods for calculating the burden of disease due to specific risk factors. Epidemiology. 2006;17:512–9.
Barendregt JJ, Doi SA, Lee YY. Meta-analysis of prevalence. J Epidemiol Community Health. 2013;67:974–8.
Hauser WA, Annegers JF, Elveback LR. Mortality in patients with epilepsy. Epilepsia. 1980;21:399–412.
Annegers JF, Hauser WA, Shirts SB. Heart disease mortality and morbidity in patients with epilepsy. Epilepsia. 1984;25:699–704.
Nilsson L, Tomson T, Farahmand BY, et al. Cause-specific mortality in epilepsy: a cohort study of more than 9000 patients once hospitalized for epilepsy. Epilepsia. 1997;38:1062–8.
Shackleton DP, Westendorp RGJ, Kasteleijn-Nolst Trenité DGA, et al. Mortality in patients with epilepsy: 40 years of follow up in a Dutch cohort study. J Neurol Neurosurg Psychiatry. 1999;66:636–40.
Lindsten H, Nyström L, Forsgren L. Mortality risk in an adult cohort with a newly diagnosed unprovoked epileptic seizure: a population-based study. Epilepsia. 2000;41:1469–73.
Rafnsson V, Olafsson E, Hauser WA, et al. Cause-specific mortality in adults with unprovoked seizures: a population-based incidence cohort study. Neuroepidemiology. 2001;20:232–6.
Morgan CL, Kerr MP. Epilepsy and mortality: a record linkage study in a U.K. population. Epilepsia. 2002;43:1251–5.
Mohanraj R, Norrie J, Stephen LJ, et al. Mortality in adults with newly diagnosed and chronic epilepsy: a retrospective comparative study. Lancet Neurol. 2006;5:481–7.
Lhatoo SD, Johnson AL, Goodridge DM, et al. Mortality in epilepsy in the first 11 to 14 years after diagnosis: multivariate analysis of a long-term, prospective, population- based cohort. Ann Neurol. 2001;49:336–44.
Neligan A, Bell GS, Johnson AL, et al. The long-term risk of premature mortality in people with epilepsy. Brain. 2011;134:388–95.
Mu J, Liu L, Zhang Q, et al. Causes of death among people with convulsive epilepsy in rural West China: a prospective study. Neurology. 2011;77:132–7.
Olesen JB, Abildstrøm SZ, Erdal J, et al. Effects of epilepsy and selected antiepileptic drugs on risk of myocardial infarction, stroke, and death in patients with or without previous stroke: a nationwide cohort study. Pharmacoepidemiol Drug Saf. 2011;20:964–71.
Chang YH, Ho WC, Tsai JJ, et al. Risk of mortality among patients with epilepsy in southern Taiwan. Seizure. 2012;21:254–9.
Ding D, Wang W, Wu J, et al. Premature mortality risk in people with convulsive epilepsy: long follow-up of a cohort in rural China. Epilepsia. 2013;54:512–7.
Trinka E, Bauer G, Oberaigner W, et al. Cause-specific mortality among patients with epilepsy: results from a 30-year cohort study. Epilepsia. 2013;54:495–501.
Wang WZ, Wu JZ, Wang DS, et al. The prevalence and treatment gap in epilepsy in China: an ILAE/IBE/WHO study. Neurology. 2003;60:1544–5.
World Health Organization. Preventing suicide: a global imperative. (2014) http://www.who.int/mental_health/suicide-prevention/World_report_2014/en/. Accessed 28 May 2015.
Scott KM, Hwang I, Chiu WT, et al. Chronic physical conditions and their association with first onset of suicidal behavior in the world mental health surveys. Psychosom Med. 2010;72(7):712–9.
Christensen J, Vestergaard M, Mortensen PB, et al. Epilepsy and risk of suicide: a population-based case-control study. Lancet Neurol. 2007;6:693–8.
Bell GS, Gaitatzis A, Bell CL, et al. Suicide in people with epilepsy: how great is the risk? Epilepsia. 2009;50(8):1933–42.
Fazel S, Wolf A, Langstrom N, et al. Premature mortality in epilepsy and the role of psychiatric comorbidity: a total population study. Lancet. 2013;382:1646–54.
Craven R. Antiepileptic drugs and suicidality: finding ways forward. Lancet Neurol. 2010;9:568–9.
Arana A, Wentworth CE, Ayuso-Mateos JL, et al. Suicide-related events in patients treated with antiepileptic drugs. N Engl J Med. 2010;363:542–51.
Pugh MJ, Hesdorffer D, Wang CP, et al. Temporal trends in new exposure to antiepileptic drug monotherapy and suicide-related behavior. Neurology. 2013;81:1900–6.
Ferrer P, Ballarin E, Sabate M, et al. Antiepileptic drugs and suicide: a systematic review of adverse effects. Neuroepidemiology. 2014;42:107–20.
Roulson J, Benbow EW, Hasleton PS. Discrepancies between clinical and autopsy diagnosis and the value of post mortem histology; a meta-analysis and review. Histopathology. 2005;47:551–9.
Lu TH, Walker S, Anderson RN, et al. Proportion of injury deaths with unspecified external cause codes: a comparison of Australia, Sweden, Taiwan and the US. Inj Prev. 2007;13:276–81.
Bell GS, Gaitatzis A, Bell CL, et al. Drowning in people with epilepsy: how great is the risk? Neurology. 2008;71(8):578–82.
Kaiporiboon K, Schiltz NK, Bakaki PM, et al. Premature mortality in poor health and low income adults with epilepsy. Epilepsia. 2014;55(11):1781–8.
Rockhill B, Newman B, Weinberg C. Use and misuse of population attributable fractions. Am J Public Health. 1998;88:15–9.
Barnes DE, Yaffe K. The projected effect of risk factor reduction on Alzheimer’s disease prevalence. Lancet Neurol. 2011;10:819–28.
Norton S, Matthews FE, Barnes DE, et al. Potential for primary prevention of Alzheimer’s disease: an analysis of population-based data. Lancet Neurol. 2014;13:788–94.
Sillanpää M, Shinnar S. Long-term mortality in childhood-onset epilepsy. N Engl J Med. 2010;363:2522–9.
Thurman DJ, Hesdorffer DC, French JA. Sudden unexpected death in epilepsy: assessing the public health burden. Epilepsia. 2014;55:1479–85.
Shorvon S, Tomson T. Sudden unexpected death in epilepsy. Lancet. 2011;378:2028–38.
Acknowledgments
There was no specific funding for this study. Previous funding sources of the study authors had no role in the design and conduct of the study.
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Corresponding author
Ethics declarations
Conflict of interest
Olli Nevalainen: O.N. reports grants from the Vaajasalo foundation, Eka-apuraha from the Finnish Medical Foundation, Finnish Epilepsy Research Foundation and Maire Taponen Research Foundation, a travel bursary to the 11th European Congress on Epileptology with assistance in travel expenses and accommodation (ILAE 2014), travel expenses and accommodation to an epilepsy-related teaching course organized in Finland in 2013 and 2014 (UCB Pharma). Mikko Simola:Disclosure: M.S. reports no disclosures. Hanna Ansakorpi: H.A. is a board member of the Finnish Epilepsy Association since 2010 and reports personal fees from lectures (Eisai AB, UCB, Ratiopharm Teva), travel expenses to European Congress of Epileptology 2011, Rome (Eisai AB), World Congress of Neurology 2013, Wien (Novartis Oy), and expert opinion on epilepsy treatment to the Finnish Medicines Agency in 2012. Jani Raitanen: J.R. reports no disclosures. Jouko lsojärvi: J.I. is an employee of Lundbeck, LLC. Miia Artama: M.A. reports no disclosures. Anssi Auvinen: A.A. reports no disclosures.
Additional information
Olli Nevalainen and Mikko Simola have contributed equally to this work.
Electronic supplementary material
Below is the link to the electronic supplementary material.
Rights and permissions
About this article
Cite this article
Nevalainen, O., Simola, M., Ansakorpi, H. et al. Epilepsy, excess deaths and years of life lost from external causes. Eur J Epidemiol 31, 445–453 (2016). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10654-015-0095-5
Received:
Accepted:
Published:
Issue Date:
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10654-015-0095-5