Skip to main content

Advertisement

Log in

Tomorrow’s Forests: Adapting to A Changing Climate

  • Published:
Climatic Change Aims and scope Submit manuscript

Abstract

Today’s forests are largely viewed as a natural asset, growing in a climate envelope, which favors natural regeneration of species that have adapted and survived the variability’s of past climates. However, human-induced climate change, variability and extremes are no longer a theoretical concept. It is a real issue affecting all biological systems. Atmospheric scientists, using global climate models, have developed scenarios of the future climate that far exceed the traditional climate envelope and their associated forest management practices. Not all forests are alike, nor do they share the same adaptive life cycles, feedbacks and threats. Much of tomorrow’s forests will become farmed forests, managed in a pro-active, designed and adaptive envelope, to sustain multiple products, values and services. Given the life cycle of most forest species, forest management systems will need to radically adjust their limits of knowledge and adaptive strategies to initiate, enhance and plan forests in relative harmony with the future climate. Protected Areas (IUCN), Global Biosphere Reserves (UNESCO) and Smithsonian Institution sites provide an effective community-based platform to monitor changes in forest species, ecosystems and biodiversity under changing climatic conditions.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this article

Price excludes VAT (USA)
Tax calculation will be finalised during checkout.

Instant access to the full article PDF.

Similar content being viewed by others

References

  • Carter, T., Parry, M., Nishioka, S. and Harasawa, H., and Contributing Authors.: 1996, Technical Guidelines for Assessing Climate Change Impacts and Adaptations, in Watson et al., 1996 op. cit.

  • Carter, T., Parry, M., Harasawa, H., and Nishioka, N.: 1994, IPCC Technical Guidelines for Assessing Climate Change Impacts and Adaptations, University College, London.

    Google Scholar 

  • Charles, C.: 1998, ‘The ends of an era’, Nature 394, 422–423.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Dallmeier, F.: 1992, Long-Term Monitoring of Biological Diversity in Tropical Forest Areas, MAB Digest, UNESCO.

    Google Scholar 

  • Ebbesmeyer, C. C. et al.: 1990, 1976, ‘Step in Pacific climate: Forty environmental changes between 1968–1975 and 1977—1984’, in Proceedings of the 7th Annual Pacific Climate Workshop, California Department of Water Resources Technical Report, Vol. 26, 115–126.

  • Gedalof, Z. and Smith, D.:1999, ‘Interdecadal Climate Variability in the Northeast pacific Interpreted from Tree-Rings’, in MacIver (ed.), Adaptation Lessons based on Changing Trends and Extremes in Climate and Biodiversity, Environment Canada, Toronto, pp. 49–58.

  • Gould, S. J.: 1977, Ever Since Darwin, Norton Press.

  • Holling, C. S., Gunderson, L. H., and Walters, C. J.: 1994, ‘The Structure and Dynamics of the Everglades System: Guidelines for Ecosystem Restoration’, in S. Davis and J. Ogden (eds.), Everglades: The Ecosystem and Its Restoration, St. Lucie Press, Dalray Beach, Florida, pp. 741–757.

    Google Scholar 

  • Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC): 1997, ‘IPCC Adaptation Experts’, Meeting Report, 20–22 March 1997, Amsterdam, The Netherlands.

  • MacIver, D. C.: 1998, ‘Atmospheric change and biodiversity’, Environ. Monit. Assess. 49, 177–189.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • MacIver, D. C. and Auld, H.: 2000, ‘The changing atmosphere, forest biodiversity and productivity in Ontario, Canada’, in Proceedings of the 14th AMS Conference on Biometeorology and Aerobiology, Davis, California.

  • Smit, B. Burton, I., and Klein, R. J. T.: 1999, ‘The Science of Adaptation: A Framework for Assessment’, Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies to Global Change 4.

  • Smithers, J. and Smit, B.: 1997, ‘Human adaptation to climatic variability and change’, Global Environ. Change 7(2), 129–146.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Stankey, G. H.: 2001, Too Early to Tell, or Too Late to Rescue? Adaptive management under Scrutiny, U.S. Forest Service, PNW, Science Findings, April 2001.

  • Watson, R., Zinyowera, M. and Moss, R. (eds.): 1998, ‘The regional impacts of climate change’, A Special Report of IPCC Working Group II, Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, +517 pp.

  • Watson, R. T., Zinyowera, M. C. and Moss, R. H. (eds.): 1996, ‘Climate change 1995: Impacts, adaptations and mitigation of climate change: Scientific-technical analyses’, Contribution of Working Group II to the Second Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, Cambridge University Press, Cambridge. +878 pp.

  • Wheaton, E., and MacIver, D. C.: 1999, ‘A framework and key questions for adapting to climate variability and change’, Mitig. Adapt. Strateg. Global Change 4, 215–225.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • UNESCO (MAB): 2002, Retreived from Biosphere Reserves at www.unesco.org.

Download references

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Corresponding author

Correspondence to Don C. Maciver.

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

About this article

Cite this article

Maciver, D.C., Wheaton, E. Tomorrow’s Forests: Adapting to A Changing Climate. Climatic Change 70, 273–282 (2005). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-005-5950-z

Download citation

  • Received:

  • Revised:

  • Issue Date:

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-005-5950-z

Keywords

Navigation