Abstract
This study investigated the relations between numbers of older brothers, numbers of older sisters, and the odds of homosexuality in later-born males, including males who are most attracted sexually to prepubescent or early pubescent children (pedohebephiles) and males who are most attracted sexually to adults (teleiophiles). The authors meta-analyzed data from 24 samples of homosexual and heterosexual men, originally reported in 18 studies, and totaling 18,213 subjects. The results confirmed that older brothers increase the odds of same-sex preference in pedohebephiles as they do in teleiophiles. They also replicated the recent finding that older sisters have a similar but weaker statistical association with the odds of homosexuality. These findings have two theoretical implications. First, the findings for older brothers and older sisters indicate some commonality in the factors that influence sexual preference in teleiophiles and those that influence sexual preference in pedohebephiles. Second, the finding for older sisters confirms a prediction stemming from the hypothesis that male fetuses stimulate maternal antibodies that increase the odds of homosexuality in later-born males. Such immunization could result from miscarried as well as full-term fetuses, and number of older sisters should correlate with number of male fetuses miscarried before gestation of the subject.
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Notes
There are five Tanner stages of physical development, with Tanner Stage 1 indicating prepuberty and Tanner Stage 5 indicating full maturation (Marshall & Tanner, 1969, 1970; Tanner, 1978). Tanner stages pertain to breast development and pubic hair growth in females, and to genital development and pubic hair growth in males. The stages of relevance to pedophilia and hebephilia may be briefly described as follows: Tanner Stage 1: girls, no palpable breast tissue; boys, genitals similar to early childhood; both sexes, no pubic hair at all; Tanner Stage 2: girls, breast bud stage; boys, enlargement of scrotum and testes, with change in the color and texture of scrotal skin; both sexes, sparse growth of long, slightly pigmented downy hair, appearing mainly along the labia or base of the penis; and Tanner Stage 3: girls, further enlargement of breast and areola with no separation of their contours; boys, growth of the penis and testes to half adult size or less; both sexes, pubic hair is darker and coarser, but lesser in quantity and different in quality from adult type.
We use the initialism FBOE to refer to the natural phenomenon, that is, the association between older brothers and homosexuality, regardless of how it is quantified. We use the initialism OBOR to refer to one particular approach to quantifying the FBOE.
Blanchard and Sheridan (1992), Blanchard, Zucker, Bradley, and Hume (1995), Blanchard, Zucker, Cohen-Kettenis, Gooren, and Bailey (1996), Bozkurt et al. (2015), Gómez-Gil et al. (2011), Green (2000), Khorashad et al. (2020), Schagen et al. (2012), VanderLaan, Blanchard, Wood, and Zucker (2014), VanderLaan et al. (2017), VanderLaan and Vasey (2011), Vasey and VanderLaan (2007).
The “Blanchard subsample” from Blanchard, Cantor, Bogaert, Breedlove, and Ellis (2006).
Blanchard et al. (2000).
The OBOR was based on a derived variable originally created for individual-level data (Blanchard, 2014, Footnote 1). This variable, the Modified Ratio of Older Brothers, is computed as (older brothers + .33)/(older sisters + younger brothers + younger sisters + 1). The constants are necessary for individual-level data so that the variable can be computed when the denominator would otherwise equal zero for some subjects (e.g., only-children).
The Modified Ratio of Older Brothers was suggested as one of several alternatives for correcting fraternal birth order for sibship size. This was prompted by Blanchard’s (2014) finding that multivariate methods (specifically, logistic regression) can produce highly misleading results in FBOE research when the difference in family size between homosexual and heterosexual groups becomes too large. He also showed that derived variables can be more robust. Blanchard (2018a) subsequently created the aggregate data version of the Modified Ratio of Older Brothers, the OBOR, for the main purpose of meta-analysis.
The OBOR represents the difference between the ratio of older brothers to other siblings in homosexual men and the ratio of older brothers to other siblings in heterosexual men. Thus, the anchor point of the OBOR is the ratio of older brothers in heterosexual men, who constitute over 95% of men in the general population. That ratio may be calculated as follows. Consider an idealized population in which mean family size is neither increasing nor decreasing, the number of male births precisely equals the number of female births, and the probability of a male birth is uncorrelated with birth order. For a sample drawn at random from such a population, the probabilities of older brothers, older sisters, younger brothers, and younger sisters would all equal .25. Thus, the odds of an older brother would be .33; that is, .33 = .25 ÷ (.25 + .25 + .25). In real populations, the four probabilities do not precisely equal .25, which is why we compare homosexual men to empirical samples of heterosexual men rather than to the theoretical population value of .33. In fact, empirical research has shown that the ratio of older brothers to other siblings does closely approximate .33 for heterosexual control groups (Blanchard, 2018a, p. 6), so this value is useful for appreciating the magnitude of an observed OBOR.
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Appendix: Description of Unpublished Data from Krupp (2014)
Appendix: Description of Unpublished Data from Krupp (2014)
This dataset contains sibship information on 401 help-seeking, self-referred males who participated in a first clinical interview and assessment within the Prevention Project Dunkelfeld, a German program to prevent child sexual abuse offenses and the use of child sexual abuse images (Beier et al., 2015). The number of cases with required information for present purposes was 388. These had a mean age of 37.63 years (SD = 12.11). About half the sample, 52%, had 10 years of education or less, and 48% had 11 years or more.
Subjects reported, in clinical interviews, their erotic interests with regard to biological sex (male, female, or both) and were accordingly classified as homosexual, heterosexual, or bisexual. They also reported their erotic interests with regard to age (prepubertal, early pubertal, or physically mature persons) and could accordingly be classified as pedophilic, hebephilic, or teleiophilic. Erotic age preference was captured by three, partially overlapping variables, and there were more than three categories available for final classification. Thus, for example, a subject could be classified as a pedohebephile rather than a pedophile or hebephile if he indicated erotic interest in children who were either prepubertal or early pubertal.
In the present study, we excluded self-described bisexuals, because they did not fit into the research design and because we had no hypothesis about them, and we excluded teleiophiles, because hardly any of the teleiophiles were homosexual. We also excluded subjects who described themselves as attracted both to prepubertal children and to physically mature adults, because laboratory data suggest that individuals with strong attraction to both prepubertal children and physical mature adults are less common than the other groups of interest (see Blanchard et al., 2012, Fig. 1). However, we did include subjects who described themselves as sexually attracted to the adjacent groups, pubescents and physically mature adults. These selection criteria, the only ones we ever formulated or applied to these data, were also applied to these data, without modification, in a former study (Blanchard et al., 2020). Table 1 shows that there were 168 subjects after the foregoing exclusions.
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Blanchard, R., Beier, K.M., Gómez Jiménez, F.R. et al. Meta-Analyses of Fraternal and Sororal Birth Order Effects in Homosexual Pedophiles, Hebephiles, and Teleiophiles. Arch Sex Behav 50, 779–796 (2021). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10508-020-01819-3
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10508-020-01819-3