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Sample selection and outcome evaluation in primary prevention

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Abstract

The practical implementation of evidence-based prevention programmes is a major challenge that requires a sound scientific basis. This paper refers to statistical aspects that are relevant in the planning phase of a primary prevention programme. First, a stepwise approach using graphical models and CHAID decision trees is presented to select subgroups of the population suitable for targeted intervention. Second, adequate statistical methods for sample size determination and for outcome evaluation to be used in the planning phase of a study are described. The IDEFICS project is presented as an example to illustrate the way leading from the aetiology of a disease to the design of a primary prevention programme, its implementation and its evaluation. The practical implications of the presented approaches and their methodological caveats are discussed.

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Acknowledgement

The authors would like to thank an anonymous referee for his/her comments that improve the coherence of the paper. We thank the Bremen State Ministry of Labour, Women’s Rights, Health, Youth and Social Affairs for partially funding the analysis of the Bremen survey GESUNDHEIT!. Part of this work was done as part of the IDEFICS Project (http://www.idefics.eu). We gratefully acknowledge the financial support of the European Community within the Sixth RTD Framework Programme Contract No. 016181 (FOOD). The information in this document reflects the authors’ views and is provided as is. No guarantee or warranty is given that the information is fit for any particular purpose. The users thereof use the information at their sole risk and liability.

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The authors have disclosed any relevant associations that might pose a conflict of interest.

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Correspondence to Iris Pigeot.

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Pigeot, I., Ahrens, W., Foraita, R. et al. Sample selection and outcome evaluation in primary prevention. J Public Health 15, 93–99 (2007). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10389-006-0087-8

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