Abstract
Due to the urgent demand for thinning in planted forests and the tend towards sustainable forest resource management, the forest stand age class eligible for the thinning subsidy in Japan was expanded during the period from 2000 to 2004. Currently, further expansion is under consideration in line with meeting the Kyoto Protocol target of carbon sequestration. In this paper, we conducted evaluation analyses of carbon sequestration and subsidy effects within the optimization framework for the forest stand management. The optimal forest stand management model called Dynamic Programming model for Kyushu Stand Simulator (DP-KYSS) was utilized for the analysis of the target sugi (Cryptomeria japonia) forest stand in the Kyushu region, Japan. Our results showed that the thinning subsidy was effective to stimulate thinning activities at the eligible age class for the subsidy, and that 20% of the current or proposed payment was appropriate to give an incentive to forest owners for conducting the same optimal thinning regime. The amount of carbon sequestered in remaining trees at final harvest was not always shown to increase over time. Depending upon the subsidy condition, it could decrease. The average annual amount of carbon sequestered under no subsidy showed its maximum at age 35, while under the other subsidy conditions, it was shortened to age 25. The net present value of cost per unit carbon loss associated with subsidy became the highest for the rotation age of 35 years for all subsidy policies considered here.
Similar content being viewed by others
References
Adams DM, Ek AR (1974) Optimizing the management of uneven-aged forest stands. Can J Forest Res 4:274–287
Amidon EL, Akin GS (1968) Dynamic programming to determine optimum levels of growing stock. For Sci 14(3):287–291
Ando T (1962) Growth analysis on the natural stands of Japanese red pine (Pinus densiflora Sieb. et. Zucc.) II. Analysis of stand density and growth. Gov. For. Exp. Stn. Tokyo, Japan. Bull. No. 147 (in Japanese)
Ando T (1966) The stand density management diagram and its use (in Japanese). Norin Press, Tokyo
Ando T (1968) Ecological studies on the stand density control in even-aged pure stands (in Japanese). Gov. For. Exp. Stn. Tokyo, Japan. Bull. No. 210
Ando T, Hatiya K, Doi K, Kataoka H, Kato Y, Sakaguchi K (1968) Studies on the system of density control of sugi (Cryptomeria japonica) stand (in Japanese). Gov. For. Exp. Stn. Tokyo, Japan. Bull. No. 209, pp 1–76
Arimizu T (1958a) Regulation of the cut by dynamic programming. J Oper Res Soc Japan 1(4):175–182
Arimizu T (1958b) Working group matrix in dynamic model of forest management. J Jpn For Soc 40(5):185–190
Arthaud GJ, Klemperer WD (1988) Optimizing high and low thinnings in loblolly pine with dynamic programming. Can J For Res 18:1118–1122
Arthaud GJ, Pelkki MH (1996) A comparison of dynamic programming and A* in optimal forest stand management. For Sci 42:498–503
Backéus S, Wikström P, Lämås T (2005) A model for regional analysis of carbon sequestration and timber production. For Ecol Manag 216:28–40
Bare BB, Opalach D (1987) Optimizing species composition in uneven-aged forest stands. For Sci 33(4):958–970
Bettinger P, Graetz D, Sessions J (2005) A density-dependent stand-level optimization approach for deriving management prescriptions for interior northwest (USA) landscapes. For Ecol Manag 217(2–3):171–186
Brodie JD, Haight RG (1985) Optimization of silvicultural investment for several types of stand projection systems. Can J For Res 15:188–191
Brodie JD, Kao C (1979) Optimizing thinning in Douglas-fir with three descriptor dynamic programming to account for accelerated diameter growth. For Sci 25(4):665–672
Brodie JD, Adams DM, Kao C (1978) Analysis of economic impacts on thinning and rotation for Douglas-fir, using dynamic programming. For Sci 24(4):513–522
Bullard SH, Sherali HD, Klemperer WD (1985) Estimating optimal thinning and rotation for mixed-species timber stands using a random search algorithm. For Sci 31(2):303–315
Chen CM, Rose DW, Leary RA (1980) Derivation of optimal stand density over time—a discrete stage, continuous state dynamic programming solution. For Sci 26(2):217–227
Chiba Y (1998) Simulation of CO2 budget and ecological implications of sugi (Cryptomeria japonica) man-made forests in Japan. Ecol Modell 111:269–281
Diaz-Balteiro L, Rodriguez LCE (2006) Optimal rotations on Eucalyptus plantations including carbon sequestration—a comparison of results in Brazil and Spain. For Ecol Manag 229:247–258
Englin J, Callaway JM (1993) Global climate change and optimal forest management. Nat Resour Model 7:191–202
Fang Z, Bailey RL (2001) Nonlinear mixed effects modeling for slash pine dominant height growth following intensive silvicultural treatments. For Sci 47:287–300
Fukuda M, Iehara T, Matsumoto M (2003) Carbon stock estimates for sugi and hinoki forests in Japan. For Ecol Manag 184:1–16
Garber SM, Maguire DA (2003) Modeling stem taper of three central Oregon species using nonlinear mixed effects models and autoregressive error structures. For Ecol Manag 179:507–522
Gutiérrez VH, Zapata M, Sierra C, Laguado W, Santacruz A (2006) Maximizing the profitability of forestry projects under the Clean Development Mechanism using a forest management optimization model. For Ecol Manag 226:341–350
Haight RG, Monserud RA (1990a) Optimizing any-aged management of mixed species stands. I. Performance of a coordinate search process. Can J For Res 20:15–25
Haight RG, Monserud RA (1990b) Optimizing any-aged management of mixed species stands. II. Effects of decision criteria. For Sci 36(1):125–144
Haight RG, Brodie JD, Dahms WG (1985) A dynamic programming algorithm for optimization of lodgepole pine management. For Sci 31(2):321–330
Hall DB, Bailey RL (2001) Modeling and prediction of forest growth variables based on multilevel nonlinear mixed models. For Sci 47:311–321
Hann DW, Brodie JD (1980) Even-aged management: basic managerial questions and available or potential techniques for answering them. USDA Forest Service. Intermountain Forest and Range Experiment Station, General Technical Report INT-83. 29 p
Hiller FS, Lieberman GJ (1990) Introduction to operations research. McGraw-Hill, New York
Hiroshima T (2004) Strategy for implementing silvicultural practices in Japanese plantation forests to meet a carbon sequestration goal. J For Res 9:141–146
Hoen HF, Solberg B (1994) Potential and economic efficiency of carbon sequestration in forset biomass through silvicultural management. For Sci 40:429–451
Intriligator MD (1971) Mathematical optimization and economic thoery. Prentice Hall, Englewood Cliffs
Kilkki P, Väisänen U (1970) Determination of the optimum cutting policy for the forest stand by means of dynamic programming. Seloste: Metsikön optimihakkuuohjelman määrittäminen dynaamisen ohjelmoinnin avulla. Acta For Fenn 102:1–23
van Kooten GC, Binkley CS, Delcourt G (1995) Effect of carbon taxes and subsidies on optimal forest rotation age and supply of carbon services. Am J Agric Econ 77:365–374
van Kooten GC, Eagle AJ, Manley J, Smolak T (2004) How costly are carbon offsets? A meta-analysis of carbon forest sinks. Environ Sci Policy 7:239–251
Leites LP, Robinson AP (2004) Improving taper equations of loblolly pine with crown dimensions in a mixed-effects modeling framework. For Sci 50:204–212
Lindstrom MJ, Bates DM (1990) Nonlinear mixed effects models for repeated measures data. Biometrics 46:673–687
Lubowski RN, Plantinga AJ, Stavins RN (2006) Land-use change and carbon sinks: Econometric estimation of the carbon sequestration supply function. J Environ Econ Manage 51:135–152
Martin GL, Ek AR (1981) A dynamic programming analysis of silvicultural alternatives for red pine plantations in Wisconsin. Can J For Res 11:370–379
Matsumoto M (2001) The amount of carbon storage and sequestrated by Japanese forest (in Japanese). Shinrin Kagaku 33:30–36
McKenney DW, Yemshanov D, Fox G, Ramlal E (2004) Cost estimates for carbon sequestration from fast growing poplar plantations in Canada. For Policy Econ 6:345–358
Newell RG, Stavins RN (2000) Climate change and forest sinks: Factors affecting the costs of carbon sequestration. J Environ Econ Manage 40:211–235
Paredes V GL, Brodie JD (1987) Efficient specification and solution of the evenaged rotation and thinning problem. For Sci 33(1):14–29
Perez-Garcia J, Joyce LA, McGuire AD, Xiao X (2002) Impacts of climate change on the global forest sector. Clim Change 54:439–461
Pinheiro JC, Bates DM (1996) Unconstrained parametrizations for variance–covariance matrices. Stat Comput 6:289–296
Pinheiro JC, Bates DM (2000) Mixed-effects models in S and S-PLUS. Springer, Berlin Heidelberg New York
Plantinga AJ, Birdsey RA (1994) Optimal forest stand management when benefits are derived from carbon. Nat Resour Model 8:373–387
Plantinga AJ, Mauldin T (2001) A method for estimating the cost of CO2 mitigation through afforestation. Clim Change 49:21–40
Reineke LH (1933) Perfecting a stand density index for even-aged forests. J Agric Res 46:627–638
Richards FJ (1958) A flexible growth function to empirical use. J Exp Bot 10:290–300
Richards KR, Stokes C (2004) A review of forest carbon sequestration cost studies: a dozen years of research. Clim Change 63:1–48
Riitters K, Brodie JD, Hann DW (1982) Dynamic programming for optimization of timber production and grazing in ponderosa pine. For Sci 28(3):517–526
Rinyacho (1980) A user guide for stand density management diagram for planted sugi (Criptomeria japonica) forest stands (in Japanese). Japanese Forestry Agency, Tokyo
Roise JP (1986a) A nonlinear programming approach to stand optimization. For Sci 32(3):735–748
Roise JP (1986b) An approach for optimizing residual diameter class distributions when thinning even-aged stands. For Sci 32(4):871–881
Sakata K, Konohira Y (2003) Difference in cutting age for highest profit by methods for calculating CO2 emission trading and the price of CO2. J For Res 8:111–115
Schreuder GF (1971) The simultaneous determination of optimal thinning schedule and rotation for an even-aged forest. For Sci 17(3):333–339
Sohngen B, Alig R (2000) Mitigation, adaptation, and climate change: Results from recent research on US timber markets. Environ Sci Policy 3:235–248
Sohngen B, Mendelsohn R, Sedjo R (2001) A global model of climate change impacts on timber markets. J Agric Resour Econ 26:326–343
Stainback GA, Alavalapati JRR (2002) Economic analysis of slash pine forest carbon sequestration in the southern US. J For Econ 8(2):105–117
Sullivan J, Aggett J, Amacher G, Burger J (2006) Financial viability of reforesting reclaimed surface mined lands, the burden of site conversion costs, and carbon payments as reforestration incentives. Resour Policy 30:247–258
Tassone VC, Wesseler J, Nesci FS (2004) Diverging incentives for afforestation from carbon sequestration: an economic analysis of the EU afforestration program in the south of Italy. For Policy Econ 6:567–578
Torres-Rojo JM, Brodie JD (1990) Demonstration of benefits from an optimization approach to the economic analysis of natural pine stands in Central Mexico. Forest Ecol Manag 36(2–4):267–278
UNFCC (2005) Kyoto protocol to the United Nations framework convention on climate change, http://unfccc.int/resource/docs/convkp/kpeng.pdf, 23p
Valsta LT, Brodie JD (1985) An economic analysis of hardwood treatment in loblolly pine plantations—a whole rotation dynamic programming approach. In: Dress PE, Field RC (eds) The 1985 symposium on system analysis in forest resources. Georgia Center for Continuing Education, Athens, pp 201–214
Yanagihara H, Yoshimoto A (2005) Statistical procedure for assessing the amount of carbon sequestered by sugi (Criptomeria japonica) plantation. In: Nobori Y, Takahashi N, Yoshitmoto A (eds) Multipurpose inventory for the aged artificial forest. Japan Society of Forest Planning Press, Utsunomiya, pp 125–140
Yoda K, Kira T, Ogawa H, Hozumi K (1963) Self-thinning in overcrowded pure stands under cultivated and natural conditions. J Biol (Osaka City University, Japan) 14:107–129
Yoshimoto A (2003) A dynamic programming model for forest stand management using MSPATH algorithm (in Japanese). Proc Inst Stat Math 51:73–94
Yoshimoto A, Paredes VGL, Brodie JD (1988) Efficient optimization of an individual tree growth model. In: Kent BM, Davis LS (eds) The 1988 symposium on systems analysis in forest resources. USDA Forest Service. General Technical Report RM-161, pp 154–162
Yoshimoto A, Haight RG, Brodie JD (1990) A comparison of the pattern search algorithm and modified path algorithm for optimizing an individual tree model. For Sci 36(2):394–412
Yoshimoto A, Yanagihara H, Ninomiya Y (2005) Finding factors affecting a forest stand growth through multivariate linear modeling (in Japanese). J Jpn For Res 87:504–512
Acknowledgments
We are thankful to Dr. Miho Nomoto at Kyushu University, Japan, for gathering information on subsidy from the Fukuoka prefecture office, Japan. We also appreciate the assistance from Dr. Hirokazu Yanagihara at Hiroshima University, Dr. Yoshiyuki Ninomiya at Kyushu University, Dr. Kiyoshi Yukutake at University of Miyazaki, and Hoshino Village forest officers in conducting a field survey at Hoshino Village, Fukuoka, Japan. We also thank Dr. B. Jeyadevan at Tohoku University for his editorial comments. This research was supported partly by a Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (No. 15330048) from the Ministry of Education, Culture, Sports, Science and Technology of Japan, and by Global Environment Research Fund (No. S-4).
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Corresponding author
Additional information
Communicated by Martin Moog.
Rights and permissions
About this article
Cite this article
Yoshimoto, A., Marušák, R. Evaluation of carbon sequestration and thinning regimes within the optimization framework for forest stand management. Eur J Forest Res 126, 315–329 (2007). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10342-006-0150-6
Received:
Accepted:
Published:
Issue Date:
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10342-006-0150-6