Abstract
Cropland expansion has become a prominent feature in developing countries and regions. A comprehensive clarification of the causes of cropland expansion is conducive to the adoption of appropriate actions to intervene and adapt to climate change, support rational land use, and balance ecosystem services. Using the Pumqu River Basin (PRB) in the Tibetan Plateau as the study area, we constructed a conceptual model that emphasizes the role of households and explored the causes of cropland expansion based on field survey data. Our results indicate that households’ perception of climate change, families’ non-agricultural income, the numbers of agricultural labor force, and the population pressure faced were the causes of cropland expansion in the PRB. Based on these findings, corresponding policy recommendations to limit the spontaneous cropland expansion behaviors of local households and reduce the ecological loss caused by cropland expansion are proposed.
![](http://media.springernature.com/m312/springer-static/image/art%3A10.1007%2Fs10113-021-01752-8/MediaObjects/10113_2021_1752_Fig1_HTML.png)
![](http://media.springernature.com/m312/springer-static/image/art%3A10.1007%2Fs10113-021-01752-8/MediaObjects/10113_2021_1752_Fig2_HTML.png)
![](http://media.springernature.com/m312/springer-static/image/art%3A10.1007%2Fs10113-021-01752-8/MediaObjects/10113_2021_1752_Fig3_HTML.png)
![](http://media.springernature.com/m312/springer-static/image/art%3A10.1007%2Fs10113-021-01752-8/MediaObjects/10113_2021_1752_Fig4_HTML.png)
Similar content being viewed by others
Notes
The four models are the following: the Driving Force-Land Change model (DF-C), Driving Force-Actor-Land Change model (DF-A-C), Driving Force/Actor-Land Change model (DFA-C), and Actor-Land Change model (A-C).
Since most households in the TP are smallholders, cropland change in this area is often the cumulative result of smallholders’ decisions, and the underlying drivers constitute the factors that affect these decisions. Therefore, the conceptual model in this paper was based on the assumption of the following event chain: the driving forces affect actors and actors subsequently cause change.
In China, farmers only have the right to manage the cropland; the ownership of the cropland belongs to the village collective.
Two rounds of GTGP have been conducted in the Tibet Autonomous Region. The first round started in 2002 and ended in 2009, and the second round has been in enacted since 2015. According to statistics from the Tibet Forestry Information Network (http://www.xzly.gov.cn/article/4651), a total of 3.19 × 104 ha of cropland were converted to forest since the implementation of the GTGP in the Tibet Autonomous Region from 2002 to 2018.
References
Alexander P, Rounsevell MDA, Dislich C, Dodson JR, Engstrom K, et al. (2015) Drivers for global agricultural land use change: the nexus of diet, population, yield and bioenergy. Glob Environ Chang 35:138–147. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2015.08.011
Alijani Z, Hosseinali F, Biswas A (2020) Spatio-temporal evolution of agricultural land use change drivers: a case study from Chalous region. J Environ Manage 262:110326. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jenvman.2020.110326
Angelsen A, Kaimowitz D (2001) Agricultural technologies and tropical deforestation, vol Book. Whole, Wallingford. https://doi.org/10.1079/9780851994512.0000
Bai WQ, Yao LN, Zhang YL, Wang CL (2014) Spatial-temporal dynamics of cultivated land in recent 35 years in the Lhasa River Basin of Tibet. J Nat Resour 29(4): 623-632 (in Chinese with English abstract). https://doi.org/10.11849/zrzyxb.2014.04.007
Bakker MM, Hatna E, Kuhlman T, Mücher CA (2011) Changing environmental characteristics of European cropland. Agric Syst 104(7):522–532. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.agsy.2011.03.008
Barbier EB (2020) Long run agricultural land expansion, booms and busts. Land Use Policy 93:103808. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.landusepol.2019.01.011
Bren d’Amour C, Reitsma F, Baiocchi G, Barthel S, Guneralp B, et al. (2017) Future urban land expansion and implications for global croplands. Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A 114(34):8939–8944. https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1606036114
Bürgi M, Hersperger AM, Schneeberger N (2005) Driving forces of landscape change - current and new directions. Landsc Ecol 19(8):857–868. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10980-005-0245-3
Chen C, Qian C, Deng A, Zhang W (2012) Progressive and active adaptations of cropping system to climate change in Northeast China. Eur J Agron 38:94–103. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eja.2011.07.003
da Silva JMC, Prasad S, Diniz-Filho JAF (2017) The impact of deforestation, urbanization, public investments, and agriculture on human welfare in the Brazilian Amazonia. Land Use Policy 65:135–142. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.landusepol.2017.04.003
Davis KF, Gephart JA, Emery KA, Leach AM, Galloway JN, et al. (2016) Meeting future food demand with current agricultural resources. Glob Environ Chang 39:125–132. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2016.05.004
Delzeit R, Zabel F, Meyer C, Václavík T (2017) Addressing future trade-offs between biodiversity and cropland expansion to improve food security. Reg Environ Chang 17(5):1429–1441. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10113-016-0927-1
Dong JW, Liu JY, Tao FL, Xu XL, Wang JB (2009) Spatio-temporal changes in annual accumulated temperature in China and the effects on cropping systems, 1980s to 2000. Clim Res 40(1):37–48. https://doi.org/10.3354/cr00823
Eitelberg DA, van Vliet J, Verburg PH (2015) A review of global potentially available cropland estimates and their consequences for model-based assessments. Glob Chang Biol 21(3):1236–1248. https://doi.org/10.1111/gcb.12733
Gibbs HK, Ruesch AS, Achard F, Clayton MK, Holmgren P et al. (2010) Tropical forests were the primary sources of new agricultural land in the 1980s and 1990s. Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A 107(38):16732–16737. https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.0910275107
Godfray HCJ, Beddington JR, Crute IR, Haddad L, Lawrence D et al. (2010) Food security: the challenge of feeding 9 billion people. Science 327(5967):812–818. https://doi.org/10.1126/science.1185383
Goldstein MC, Childs G, Wangdui P (2008) “Going for income” in village Tibet: a longitudinal analysis of change and adaptation, 1997–2007. Asian Surv 48(3):514–534. https://doi.org/10.1525/as.2008.48.3.514
Hersperger AM, Bürgi M (2009) Going beyond landscape change description: quantifying the importance of driving forces of landscape change in a Central Europe case study. Land Use Policy 26(3):640–648. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.landusepol.2008.08.015
Hersperger AM, Gennaio M, Verburg P, Bürgi M (2010) Linking land change with driving forces and actors: four conceptual models. Ecol Soc 15(4):1. https://doi.org/10.5751/ES-03562-150401
Holden S, Shiferaw B, Pender J (2004) Non-farm income, household welfare, and sustainable land management in a less-favoured area in the Ethiopian highlands. Food Policy 29(4):369–392. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.foodpol.2004.07.007
Hu QL, Yang YH, Han SM, Wang JS (2019) Degradation of agricultural drainage water quantity and quality due to farmland expansion and water-saving operations in arid basins. Agr Water Manage 213:185–192. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.agwat.2018.10.019
Hua XB, Yan J, Zhang Y (2017) Evaluating the role of livelihood assets in suitable livelihood strategies: protocol for anti-poverty policy in the Eastern Tibetan Plateau, China. Ecol Indic 78:62–74. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolind.2017.03.009
Ickowitz A, Powell B, Rowland D, Jones A, Sunderland T (2019) Agricultural intensification, dietary diversity, and markets in the global food security narrative. Glob Food Secur 20:9–16. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gfs.2018.11.002
Kehoe L, Beddington JR, Crute IR, Haddad L, Lawrence D et al. (2017) Biodiversity at risk under future cropland expansion and intensification. Nat Ecol Evol 1(8):1129–1135. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41559-017-0234-3
Lambin EF, Meyfroidt P (2011) Global land use change, economic globalization, and the looming land scarcity. Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A 108(9):3465–3472. https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1100480108
Li SC, Wang ZF, Zhang YL (2017) Crop cover reconstruction and its effects on sediment retention in the Tibetan Plateau for 1900–2000. J Geogr Sci 27(7):786–800. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11442-017-1406-4
Liu F, Zhang Z, Zhao X, Wang X, Zuo L et al. (2019) Chinese cropland losses due to urban expansion in the past four decades. Sci Total Environ 650:847–857. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2018.09.091
Ma LG, Yang ST, Gu Q, Li JD, Yang XD et al. (2019) Spatial and temporal mapping of cropland expansion in northwestern China with multisource remotely sensed data. Catena 183:104192. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.catena.2019.104192
Meyfroidt P (2013) Environmental cognitions, land change, and social-ecological feedbacks: an overview. J Land Use Sci 8(3):341–367. https://doi.org/10.1080/1747423x.2012.667452
Najmuddin O, Deng XZ, Bhattacharya R (2018) The dynamics of land use/cover and the statistical assessment of cropland change drivers in the Kabul River Basin, Afghanistan. Sustainability 10(2):423. https://doi.org/10.3390/su10020423
Napton DE, Auch RF, Headley R, Taylor JL (2010) Land changes and their driving forces in the Southeastern United States. Reg Environ Chang 10(1):37–53. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10113-009-0084-x
Newbold T, Hudson LN, Hill SLL, Contu S, Lysenko I et al. (2015) Global effects of land use on local terrestrial biodiversity. Nature 520(7545):45–50. https://doi.org/10.1038/nature14324
Newman ME, McLaren KP, Wilson BS (2014) Long-term socio-economic and spatial pattern drivers of land cover change in a Caribbean tropical moist forest, the Cockpit Country, Jamaica. Agric Ecosyst Environ 186:185–200. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.agee.2014.01.030
Paudel B, Gao J, Zhang Y, Wu X, Li S, Yan J (2016) Changes in cropland status and their driving factors in the Koshi River Basin of the Central Himalayas, Nepal. Sustainability 8(9):933. https://doi.org/10.3390/su8090933
Pretty J, Bharucha ZP (2014) Sustainable intensification in agricultural systems. Ann Bot 114(8):1571–1596. https://doi.org/10.1093/aob/mcu205
Pröbstl-Haider U, Mostegl NM, Kelemen-Finan J, Haider W, Formayer H et al. (2016) Farmers’ preferences for future agricultural land use under the consideration of climate change. Environ Manag 58(3):446–464. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00267-016-0720-4
Qian FK, Wang WT, Liu YH (2014) Research of adaptive countermeasures of addressing climate change in agriculture field. Chin Popul Environ 24(5):19–24 (in Chinese with English abstract). https://doi.org/10.3969/j.issn.1002-2104.2014.05.004
Rojas C, Pino J, Basnou C, Vivanco M (2013) Assessing land-use and -cover changes in relation to geographic factors and urban planning in the metropolitan area of Concepción (Chile). Implications for biodiversity conservation. Appl Geogr 39:93–103. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.apgeog.2012.12.007
Shi XL, Wang W, Shi WJ (2016) Progress on quantitative assessment of the impacts of climate change and human activities on cropland change. J Geogr Sci 26(3):339–354. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11442-016-1272-5
Tilman D, Balzer C, Hill J, Befort BL (2011) Global food demand and the sustainable intensification of agriculture. Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A 108(50):20260. https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1116437108
van Vliet N, Reenberg A, Rasmussen LV (2013) Scientific documentation of crop land changes in the Sahel: a half empty box of knowledge to support policy? J Arid Environ 95:1–13. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jaridenv.2013.03.010
van Vliet J, de Groot HLF, Rietveld P, Verburg PH (2015) Manifestations and underlying drivers of agricultural land use change in Europe. Landsc Urban Plan 133:24–36. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.landurbplan.2014.09.001
van Vliet J, Magliocca NR, Büchner B, Cook E, Rey Benayas JM et al. (2016) Meta-studies in land use science: current coverage and prospects. Ambio 45(1):15–28. https://doi.org/10.1007/s13280-015-0699-8
Wang X, Zheng D, Shen Y (2008) Land use change and its driving forces on the Tibetan Plateau during 1990–2000. Catena 72(1):56–66. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.catena.2007.04.003
Wang P, Yan JZ, Hua XB, Yang L (2019) Determinants of livelihood choice and implications for targeted poverty reduction policies: a case study in the YNL river region, Tibetan Plateau. Ecol Indic 101:1055–1063. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolind.2019.02.007
Wu WB, Yu QY, You LZ, Chen K, Tang HJ et al. (2018) Global cropping intensity gaps: increasing food production without cropland expansion. Land Use Policy 76:515–525. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.landusepol.2018.02.032
Xin LJ, Li XB (2018) China should not massively reclaim new farmland. Land Use Policy 72:12–15. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.landusepol.2017.12.023
Xu XL (2017) Data set of population spatial distribution kilometer grid in China. Data registration and publishing system of data center of resources and environment science, Chinese Academy of Sciences. https://doi.org/10.12078/2017121101
Yan JZ, Wu YY, Zhang YL, Zhou SB (2010) Livelihood diversification of farmers and nomads of eastern transect in Tibetan plateau. J Geogr Sci 20(5):757–770. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11442-010-0809-2
Yang CY, Shen WS (2015) Spatial-temporal characteristics of cultivated land in Tibet in recent 30 years. Trans Chin Soc Agric Eng 31(01):264-271(in Chinese with English abstract).https://doi.org/10.3969/j.issn.1002-6819.2015.01.035
Yu Q, Verburg PH, Wu W (2018) Environmental cognitions mediate the causal explanation of land change. J Land Use Sci 13(5):535–548. https://doi.org/10.1080/1747423x.2019.1567837
Zabel F, Delzeit R, Schneider JM, Seppelt R, Mauser W, Vaclavik T (2019) Global impacts of future cropland expansion and intensification on agricultural markets and biodiversity. Nat Commun 10(1):2844. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-019-10775-z
Zhang LP, Zhang YL, Yan JZ, Wu YY (2008) Livelihood diversification and cropland use pattern in agro-pastoral mountainous region of eastern Tibetan Plateau. J Geogr Sci 18(4):499–509. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11442-008-0499-1
Zhang GL, Dong JW, Zhou CP, Xu XL, Wang M et al. (2013) Increasing cropping intensity in response to climate warming in Tibetan Plateau, China. Field Crop Res 142:36–46. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.fcr.2012.11.021
Zhang YL, Liu LS, Wang ZF, Bai WQ, Ding MJ, Wang XH, Yan JZ, Xu EQ, Wu X, Zhang BH, Liu QH, Zhao ZL, Liu FG, Zheng D (2019) Spatial and temporal characteristics of land use and cover changes in the Tibetan Plateau. Chin Sci Bull 64(27):2865-2875(in Chinese with English abstract). https://doi.org/10.1360/TB-2019-0046
Zhu HY (2013) Underlying motivation for land use change: a case study on the variation of agricultural factor productivity in Xinjiang, China. J Geogr Sci 23(6):1041–1051. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11442-013-1061-3
Acknowledgements
We are grateful to the editors and two anonymous reviewers for the valuable comments and suggestions on an earlier version of this paper.
Funding
This work was supported by the Second Tibetan Plateau Scientific Expedition and Research (No. 2019QZKK0603), the National Natural Science Foundation of China (No. 41761144081 and 41601089), the Open Foundation of Hebei Key Laboratory of Wetland Ecology and Conservation (No. hklk201909), and the Fundamental Research Funds for the Central Universities (No. SWU119037).
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Corresponding author
Additional information
Communicated by Jasper van Vliet
Publisher’s note
Springer Nature remains neutral with regard to jurisdictional claims in published maps and institutional affiliations.
Supplementary information
ESM 1
(PDF 199 kb)
Rights and permissions
About this article
Cite this article
He, X., Yan, J. & Cheng, X. Household perspective on cropland expansion on the Tibetan Plateau. Reg Environ Change 21, 21 (2021). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10113-021-01752-8
Received:
Accepted:
Published:
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10113-021-01752-8