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A Spatially-Explicit Reconstruction of Historical Fire Occurrence in the Ponderosa Pine Zone of the Colorado Front Range

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Abstract

A key issue in ecosystem management in the western U.S. is the determination of the historic range of variability of fire and its ecological significance prior to major land-use changes associated with Euro-American settlement. The present study relates spatial variation in historical fire occurrence to variation in abiotic and biotic predictors of fire frequency and severity across the elevational range of ponderosa pine in northern Colorado. Logistic regression was used to relate fire frequency to environmental predictors and to derive a probability surface for mapping purposes. These results indicate that less than 20% of the ponderosa pine zone had an historic fire regime (pre-1915) of relatively frequent fires (mean fire intervals, MFI, <30 years). More than 80% is reconstructed to have had a lower frequency (MFI ≥ 30 years), more variable severity fire regime. High fire frequency is clearly associated with low elevations. Lower and more variable fire frequencies, associated with high and moderate severities, occur across a broad range of elevation and are related to variations in other environmental variables. Only a small part of the ponderosa pine zone fits the widespread view that the historic fire regime was characterized mainly by frequent, low-severity that maintained open conditions. Management attempts to restore historic forest structures and/or fire conditions must recognize that infrequent severe fires were an important component of the historic fire regime in this cover type in northern Colorado.

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Acknowledgments

Research was funded by the City of Boulder Department of Open Space, Boulder County Open Space, the U.S.G.S Division of Biological Resources, the National Science Foundation (awards DEB-0314305 and BCS-0221493), the Biogeography Specialty Group (AAG), the Colorado Mountain Club Foundation, the SURE and UROP Programs of CU, the G.F. White Fellowship Program, the M. Duncan Memorial Scholarship Program, the E.B. Sussman Environmental Internship Program, the J.W. Marr Memorial Ecology Fund, the CU Graduate School and the Herbarium. For commenting on drafts of the manuscript we thank B. Buttenfield, R. Platt and T. Schoennagel, J. Clark, M. Turner and two anonymous reviewers. For field assistance we thank E. Brignull, M. Chatham, S. Dykes, B. Easley, K. Eisenhart, D. Goldstein, D. Heigele, D. Kulakowski, K. League, D. Manthorne, T. Overton, S. Rynders, D. Seidman, J. Sibold, and A. Whitmer.

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Correspondence to Rosemary L. Sherriff.

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Sherriff, R.L., Veblen, T.T. A Spatially-Explicit Reconstruction of Historical Fire Occurrence in the Ponderosa Pine Zone of the Colorado Front Range. Ecosystems 10, 311–323 (2007). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10021-007-9022-2

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