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Optimal strategic regulations in international emissions trading under imperfect competition

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Abstract

This paper analyzes governments’ strategic regulations in an imperfectly competitive market of international emissions trading (IET). Whether and how governments intervene in IET is explored. If regulations are decided, it is optimal for price-influencing countries to subsidize but for price-taking countries to tax permit trading. Conducting simulations of the Annex-1 emissions trading, we discover that no-intervention of all countries cannot be supported by any equilibrium. In contrast, all or some countries would regulate at equilibrium. In the latter case, price-influencing countries would not regulate but price-taking countries would. This justifies the necessity of considering no-intervention as a policy choice, and shows that a country’s decisions about strategically regulating IET may be affected by other countries’ intervention resolutions.

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Notes

  1. Strategic trade policy is an important topic in international economics. Relevant literature usually focuses on governments’ intervention policy that could affect firms’ interactions in an international oligopolistic market. The policy’s central idea is to shift profits from foreign to domestic firms, i.e., a strategic profit-shifting policy. Early contributors in this field include Brander and Spencer (1981, 1985), Spencer and Brander (1983), Dixit (1984), Brander (1986), Eaton and Grossman (1986), etc.

  2. In other words, in each stage of our game, acting governments or firms adopt the Cournot–Nash equilibrium by solving the first-order-condition systems simultaneously. We thank the referee for pointing out this issue, so that our game structure becomes more clearly.

  3. According to the numerical results from the GTAP-E model, the rest of the Annex-1 countries account for small portion of permit purchase.

  4. Countries’ statuses of being price setters or price takers depend on their permit trading amounts, instead of their emission levels. This fact can be justified by Eqs. (9) and (10), which show that price-influencing countries will consider marginal price effect due to market power, \( (\frac{\partial \, p}{{\partial \, e_{m} }})(e_{m}^{*} - \bar{w}_{m} ) \), in determining their respective optimal permit trading amounts. Because the EU and Japan are two major permit buyers under the Kyoto Protocol framework, we consider cases of the EU having market power in group B and Japan having market power in group C.

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Acknowledgments

We would like to thank Editor Ken-Ichi Akao and an anonymous referee for their helpful comments and suggestions. Funding from the National Science Council of Taiwan, ROC (Project No.: NSC 99-2410-H-305-078) is gratefully acknowledged by Tsung-Chen Lee.

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Appendix

Appendix

Proof of Eq. (11)

Denote H the Hessian matrix of L equations in Eqs. (9) and (10) with

$$ H = \left[ {\begin{array}{*{20}c} {C^{\prime\prime}_{1} (e_{1}^{*} ) + 2A} & A & \cdots & A \\ A & {C^{\prime\prime}_{2} (e_{2}^{*} ) + 2A} & \cdots & A \\ \vdots & \vdots & \cdots & \vdots \\ A & A & \cdots & {C^{\prime\prime}_{L} (e_{L}^{*} ) + 2A} \\ \end{array} } \right] = A \, \left[ {\begin{array}{*{20}c} {K_{1} } & 1 & \cdots & 1 \\ 1 & {K_{2} } & \cdots & 1 \\ \vdots & \vdots & \cdots & \vdots \\ 1 & 1 & \cdots & {K_{L} } \\ \end{array} } \right], $$

where \( A = \frac{\partial \, p}{{\partial \, e_{m} }} = \frac{ - 1}{{\sum\nolimits_{n = L + 1}^{N} {(\partial \, e_{n}^{*} /\partial \, p)} }} > 0 \) and \( K_{m} = \frac{{C^{\prime\prime}_{m} (e_{m}^{*} ) + 2A}}{A} \) with K m  > 2 given \( C^{\prime\prime}_{m} (e_{m}^{*} ) > 0 \), m = 1, …, L.

Letting \( \hat{H} = \, \left[ {\begin{array}{*{20}c} {K_{1} } & 1 & \cdots & 1 \\ 1 & {K_{2} } & \cdots & 1 \\ \vdots & \vdots & \cdots & \vdots \\ 1 & 1 & \cdots & {K_{L} } \\ \end{array} } \right] \), we can show \( \left| {\hat{H}} \right| = [\prod\nolimits_{m = 1}^{L} {(K_{m} - 1} ][1 + \sum\nolimits_{m = 1}^{L} { \, \frac{1}{{K_{m} - 1}}} ] > 1 \) by K m  > 2. Applying Cramer’s rule, we acquire

$$ \frac{{\partial e_{r}^{*} }}{{\partial t_{r} }} = \frac{ - 1}{{A\left| {\hat{H}} \right|}}C_{r\,r} < 0, $$

where \( C_{r\,r} = ( - 1)^{r + r} [\prod\nolimits_{m \ne r}^{L} {(K_{m} - 1)} ][1 + \sum\nolimits_{m \ne r}^{L} { \, \frac{1}{{K_{m} - 1}}} ] > 0 \) is the (rr)th cofactor of \( \hat{H} \).

On the other hand, the market-clearing condition for the IET system at equilibrium is

$$ \sum\limits_{m = 1}^{L} {e_{m}^{*} (t_{1} ,..,t_{{L^{\prime}}} ;t_{L + 1} ,..,t_{{N^{\prime}}} )} + \sum\limits_{u = L + 1}^{{N^{\prime}}} {e_{u}^{*} } (p^{*} (t_{1} ,..,t_{{L^{\prime}}} ;t_{L + 1} ,..,t_{{N^{\prime}}} ), \, t_{u} ) + \sum\limits_{{v = N^{\prime} + 1}}^{N} {e_{v}^{*} } (p^{*} (t_{1} ,..,t_{{L^{\prime}}} ;t_{L + 1} ,..,t_{{N^{\prime}}} )) = \sum\limits_{i = 1}^{N} { \, \bar{w}_{i} }. $$

Differentiating this equation with respect to t r yields

$$ \sum\nolimits_{m = 1}^{L} { \, \frac{{\partial e_{m}^{*} }}{{\partial t_{r} }}} + \sum\nolimits_{n = L + 1}^{N} {\frac{{\partial e_{n}^{*} }}{\partial p}\frac{{\partial p^{ *} }}{{\partial t_{r} }}} = 0. $$

Rearranging the above equation gives \( \frac{{\partial p^{*} }}{{\partial t_{r} }} = - (\sum\nolimits_{n = L + 1}^{N} {\frac{{\partial e_{n}^{*} }}{\partial p}} )^{ - 1} (\sum\nolimits_{m = 1}^{L} { \, \frac{{\partial e_{m}^{*} }}{{\partial t_{r} }}} ) \). Substituting Eq. (8), i.e., \( \frac{\partial p}{{\partial e_{r} }} = \frac{ - 1}{{\sum\nolimits_{n = L + 1}^{N} {(\partial e_{n}^{*} /\partial p)} }} > 0 \), into this equation produces

$$ \frac{{\partial p^{*} }}{{\partial t_{r} }} = \left( {\frac{\partial p}{{\partial e_{r} }}} \right)\left( {\sum\limits_{m = 1}^{L} {\frac{{\partial e_{m}^{*} }}{{\partial t_{r} }}} } \right) < 0\;{\text{since}}\;\left( {\sum\limits_{m = 1}^{L} {\frac{{\partial e_{m}^{*} }}{{\partial t_{r} }}} } \right) = \frac{ - 1}{{A\left| {\hat{H}} \right|}}\left[ {\prod\limits_{m \ne r}^{L} {(K_{m} - 1)} } \right] < 0. $$

Proof of Eq. (12)

Differentiating the market-clearing condition with respect to t u and rearranging it yields

$$ \frac{{\partial p^{*} }}{{\partial t_{u} }} = A \, \left( {\frac{{\partial e_{u}^{*} }}{\partial p} + \sum\limits_{m = 1}^{L} {\frac{{\partial e_{m}^{*} }}{{\partial t_{u} }}} } \right) = A \, \left( {\frac{{\partial e_{u}^{*} }}{\partial p}} \right)\left( {1 + \sum\limits_{m = 1}^{L} {\frac{1}{{K_{m} - 1}}} } \right)^{ - 1} . $$

Since \( - 1 < A{ (}\frac{{\partial e_{u}^{*} }}{\partial p} )< 0 \), we have \( - 1 < \frac{{\partial p^{*} }}{{\partial t_{u} }} < 0 \). Differentiating Eq. (4) with respect to t u gives

$$ \frac{{\partial e_{u}^{*} }}{{\partial t_{u} }} = \left( {\frac{{\partial e_{u}^{*} }}{\partial p}} \right)\left( {1 + \frac{{\partial p^{*} }}{{\partial t_{u} }}} \right) < 0. $$

Proof of Eq. (19)

Following the proof of Eq. (11), we have \( \frac{{\partial p^{*} }}{{\partial t_{r} }} = (\frac{\partial p}{{\partial e_{r} }})(\sum\nolimits_{m = 1}^{L} {\frac{{\partial e_{m}^{*} }}{{\partial t_{r} }}} ) \). Thus,

$$ \frac{{\partial p^{*} }}{{\partial t_{r} }} - \left( {\frac{\partial p}{{\partial e_{r} }}} \right)\left( {\frac{{\partial e_{r}^{*} }}{{\partial t_{r} }}} \right) = \left( {\frac{\partial p}{{\partial e_{r} }}} \right)\left( {\sum\limits_{m \ne r}^{L} {\frac{{\partial e_{m}^{*} }}{{\partial t_{r} }}} } \right)\;\left\{ {\begin{array}{*{20}c} { = 0} & {{\text{if}}\quad L = 1} \\ { > 0} & {{\text{if}}\quad L \ge 2} \\ \end{array} } \right. $$

due to \( (\frac{\partial p}{{\partial e_{r} }}) > 0 \) and \( \frac{{\partial e_{m}^{*} }}{{\partial t_{r} }} = \frac{ - 1}{{A\left| {\hat{H}} \right|}}C_{r\,m} > 0 \) for m = 1, …, L, r = 1, …, L′, and m ≠ r, where \( C_{r\,m} = ( - 1)^{2(r + m) - 3} [\prod\nolimits_{t \ne m,r}^{L} {(K_{t} - 1)} ] < 0 \) is the (rm)th cofactor of \( \hat{H} \). Combining these results with Eq. (11), Eq. (19) is obvious.

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Lee, TC., Chen, HC. & Liu, SM. Optimal strategic regulations in international emissions trading under imperfect competition. Environ Econ Policy Stud 15, 39–57 (2013). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10018-012-0033-7

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