Abstract
Introduction
Hip fracture is one of the leading causes of death and disability in the elderly. We analyzed the risk factors of mortality and second fracture within 2 years after hip fracture surgery in elderly Chinese patients.
Materials and methods
A total of 613 elderly patients after hip fracture surgery were selected, including 181 males and 432 females, and the patients were followed for at least 24 months. Information about patients and surgery was collected from medical records. Information on death, secondary fracture, and postoperative activities of daily living (ADL) was obtained by telephone follow-up. Cox regression was performed to identify risk factors associated with mortality and second fracture, measured by hazard ratio (HR).
Results
The 1-year and 2-year mortality rates after hip fracture were 13.4% and 20.7%, respectively. The second fracture rate within 2 years was 9.5%. Male gender (HR 1.51, P = 0.035), increased age (HR 1.07, P < 0.001), preoperative hypoalbuminemia (HR 1.79, P = 0.004), preoperative pneumonia (HR 2.60, P = 0.005) and poor ADL (P = 0.048) were independent risk factors for 2-year mortality, while high preoperative hemoglobin (HR 0.98, P = 0.002), high preoperative eGFR (HR 0.99, P = 0.031), high preoperative LVEF (HR 0.92, P = 0.048) were protective factors for 2-year mortality. Poor ADL (P = 0.002) was the independent risk factor for second fracture within 2 years.
Conclusions
The 2-year mortality rate and second fracture rate after hip fracture in elderly remained high, which was related to old age and complications exists. Postoperative rehabilitation and improving ADL were very important to reduce mortality and second fracture.
Similar content being viewed by others
References
Zhang C, Feng J, Wang S et al (2020) Incidence of and trends in hip fracture among adults in urban China: a nationwide retrospective cohort study. Plos Med 17:e1003180
Ballane G, Cauley JA, Luckey MM, Fuleihan G (2014) Secular trends in hip fractures worldwide: opposing trends East versus West. J Bone Miner Res 29:1745–1755
de Luise C, Brimacombe M, Pedersen L, Sørensen HT (2013) Comorbidity and mortality following hip fracture: a population-based cohort study. Aging Clin Exp Res 20:412–418
Solbakken SM, Meyer HE, Stigum H et al (2017) Excess mortality following hip fracture: impact of self-perceived health, smoking, and body mass index. A NOREPOS study. Osteoporosis Int 28:881–887
Katsoulis M, Benetou V, Karapetyan T et al (2017) Excess mortality after hip fracture in elderly persons from Europe and the USA: the CHANCES project. J Intern Med 281:300–310
Omsland TK, Emaus N, Tell GS et al (2013) Ten-year risk of second hip fracture. A NOREPOS study. Bone 52:493–497
Colon-Emeric C, Kuchibhatla M, Pieper C et al (2003) The contribution of hip fracture to risk of subsequent fractures: data from two longitudinal studies. Osteoporos Int 14:879–883
Pabich S, Binkley N (2020) Trends in hip fracture mortality in Wisconsin and the United States, 1999–2017. WMJ 119:48–51
Shanghai Bureau of Statistics. Shanghai statistical. Yearbook. 2021
Kim SM, Moon YW, Lim SJ et al (2012) Prediction of survival, second fracture, and functional recovery following the first hip fracture surgery in elderly patients. Bone 50:1343–1350
Levey AS, Stevens LA, Schmid CH et al (2009) A new equation to estimate glomerular filtration rate. Ann Intern Med 150:604–612
Johansen A, Mansor M, Beck S, Mahoney H, Thomas S (2010) Outcome following hip fracture: post-discharge residence and long-term mortality. Age Ageing 39:653–656
Xing F, Luo R, Chen W, Zhou X (2021) The risk-adjusted Charlson comorbidity index as a new predictor of one-year mortality rate in elderly Chinese patients who underwent hip fracture surgery. Orthop Traumatol Surg Res 107:102860
Ireland AW, Kelly PJ, Cumming RG (2015) Risk factor profiles for early and delayed mortality after hip fracture: analyses of linked Australian Department of Veterans’ Affairs databases. Injury 46:1028–1035
Hori K, Siu AM, Nguyen ET et al (2020) Osteoporotic hip fracture mortality and associated factors in Hawai’i. Arch Osteoporos 15:183
Chatterton BD, Moores TS, Ahmad S, Cattell A, Roberts PJ (2015) Cause of death and factors associated with early in-hospital mortality after hip fracture. Bone Joint J 97-B:246–251
Nikkel LE, Kates SL, Schreck M, Maceroli M, Mahmood B, Elfar JC (2015) Length of hospital stay after hip fracture and risk of early mortality after discharge in New York state: retrospective cohort study. BMJ 351:h6246
Penrod JD, Litke A, Hawkes WG et al (2008) The association of race, gender, and comorbidity with mortality and function after hip fracture. J Gerontol A Biol Sci Med Sci 63:867–872
Endo Y, Aharonoff GB, Zuckerman JD, Egol KA, Koval KJ (2005) Gender differences in patients with hip fracture: a greater risk of morbidity and mortality in men. J Orthop Trauma 19:29–35
Tebe C, Martinez-Laguna D, Carbonell-Abella C et al (2019) The association between type 2 diabetes mellitus, hip fracture, and post-hip fracture mortality: a multi-state cohort analysis. Osteoporos Int 30:2407–2415
Anbar R, Beloosesky Y, Cohen J et al (2014) Tight calorie control in geriatric patients following hip fracture decreases complications: a randomized, controlled study. Clin Nutr 33:23–28
Koren-Hakim T, Weiss A, Hershkovitz A et al (2012) The relationship between nutritional status of hip fracture operated elderly patients and their functioning, comorbidity and outcome. Clin Nutr 31:917–921
Cabrerizo S, Cuadras D, Gomez-Busto F, Artaza-Artabe I, Marin-Ciancas F, Malafarina V (2015) Serum albumin and health in older people: review and meta analysis. Maturitas 81:17–27
Bohl DD, Shen MR, Hannon CP, Fillingham YA, Darrith B, Della VC (2017) Serum albumin predicts survival and postoperative course following surgery for geriatric hip fracture. J Bone Joint Surg Am 99:2110–2118
Miyanishi K, Jingushi S, Torisu T (2010) Mortality after hip fracture in Japan: the role of nutritional status. J Orthop Surg (Hong Kong) 18:265–270
Schuijt HJ, Smeeing D, Wurdemann FS et al (2020) Development and internal validation of a prediction model for in-hospital mortality in geriatric patients with a hip fracture. J Orthop Trauma 34:656–661
Praetorius K, Madsen CM, Abrahamsen B, Jorgensen HL, Lauritzen JB, Laulund AS (2016) Low levels of hemoglobin at admission are associated with increased 30-day mortality in patients with hip fracture. Geriatr Orthop Surg Rehabil 7:115–120
Sim YE, Sim SD, Seng C, Howe TS, Koh SB, Abdullah HR (2018) Preoperative anemia, functional outcomes, and quality of life after hip fracture surgery. J Am Geriatr Soc 66:1524–1531
Williams D, Ohnuma T, Haines KL et al (2021) Association between early postoperative nutritional supplement utilisation and length of stay in malnourished hip fracture patients. Br J Anaesth 126:730–737
Malafarina V, Reginster JY, Cabrerizo S et al (2018) Nutritional status and nutritional treatment are related to outcomes and mortality in older adults with hip fracture. Nutrients 10:555
Cher EWL, Allen JC, Moo IH et al (2020) Sub-optimal serum 25-hydroxyvitamin D level affects 2-year survival after hip fracture surgery. J Bone Miner Metab 38:555–562
Hao L, Carson JL, Schlussel Y, Noveck H, Shapses SA (2020) Vitamin D deficiency is associated with reduced mobility after hip fracture surgery: a prospective study. Am J Clin Nutr 112:613–618
Castle M, Fiedler N, Pop LC et al (2020) Three doses of vitamin d and cognitive outcomes in older women: a double-blind randomized controlled trial. J Gerontol A Biol Sci Med Sci 75:835–842
Stockton KA, Mengersen K, Paratz JD, Kandiah D, Bennell KL (2011) Effect of vitamin D supplementation on muscle strength: a systematic review and meta-analysis. Osteoporos Int 22:859–871
Mazzucchelli ER, Perez-Fernandez E, Crespi-Villarias N et al (2017) Trends in osteoporotic hip fracture epidemiology over a 17-year period in a Spanish population: alcorcon 1999–2015. Arch Osteoporos 12:84
Chen M, Zhang Y, Du Y et al (2019) Epidemiological and clinical study of hip fracture in hospitalized elderly patients in Shanghai. China Arch Osteoporos 14:37
Guzon-Illescas O, Perez FE, Crespi VN et al (2019) Mortality after osteoporotic hip fracture: incidence, trends, and associated factors. J Orthop Surg Res 14:203
Foss NB, Kehlet H (2005) Mortality analysis in hip fracture patients: implications for design of future outcome trials. Br J Anaesth 94:24–29
Bai J, Zhang P, Liang X, Wu Z, Wang J, Liang Y (2018) Association between dementia and mortality in the elderly patients undergoing hip fracture surgery: a meta-analysis. J Orthop Surg Res 13:298
Jurisson M, Raag M, Kallikorm R, Lember M, Uuskula A (2017) The impact of comorbidities on hip fracture mortality: a retrospective population-based cohort study. Arch Osteoporos 12:76
Caruso G, Andreotti M, Marko T et al (2019) The impact of warfarin on operative delay and 1-year mortality in elderly patients with hip fracture: a retrospective observational study. J Orthop Surg Res 14:169
de Palma L, Torcianti M, Meco L, Catalani A, Marinelli M (2014) Operative delay and mortality in elderly patients with hip fracture: an observational study. Eur J Orthop Surg Traumatol 24:783–788
Aharonoff GB, Koval KJ, Skovron ML, Zuckerman JD (1997) Hip fractures in the elderly: predictors of one year mortality. J Orthop Trauma 11:162–165
Heinonen M, Karppi P, Huusko T, Kautiainen H, Sulkava R (2004) Post-operative degree of mobilization at two weeks predicts one-year mortality after hip fracture. Aging Clin Exp Res 16:476–480
Sujic R, Beaton DE, Mamdani M et al (2019) Five-year refracture rates of a province-wide fracture liaison service. Osteoporos Int 30:1671–1677
Pogliacomi F, Pellegrini A, Tacci F et al (2016) Risks of subsequent contralateral fractures of the trochanteric region in elderly. Acta Biomed 87:275–281
Ryg J, Rejnmark L, Overgaard S, Brixen K, Vestergaard P (2009) Hip fracture patients at risk of second hip fracture: a nationwide population-based cohort study of 169,145 cases during 1977–2001. J Bone Miner Res 24:1299–1307
Yamanashi A, Yamazaki K, Kanamori M et al (2005) Assessment of risk factors for second hip fractures in Japanese elderly. Osteoporos Int 16:1239–1246
Kozaki K (2013) Fall risk and fracture. Aging and fall/fracture. Clin Calcium 23:653–660
Acknowledgements
We thank all participants in the study. We also thank the Department of Orthopedics, Huadong Hospital affiliated to Fudan University, for providing patient records.
Funding
This study was supported by the China National Key R&D Program (Nos. 2020YFC2009000 and 2020YFC2009001), the Shanghai Public Health System Construction Three-year Action Plan Project (GWV-9.4), and Shanghai Key Laboratory of Clinical Geriatric Medicine (13dz2260700).
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Contributions
MMC: contributed to the study design, performed data collect, data analysis, drafted the main manuscript, and provided final approval for submission; YPD, WJT, WJY and HLL: contributed to performed data collect, and provided final approval for submission; SBZ: contributed to the study design, and provided final approval for submission; QC: contributed to the study design, reviewed the manuscript critically for important intellectual content, and provided final approval.
Corresponding author
Ethics declarations
Conflict of interest
All authors declare that they have no conflict of interest.
Ethical approval
This study was approved by the Ethics Committee of Huadong Hospital, Fudan University (Ethics Number: 2019K168) in compliance with the Declaration of Helsinki, in which the patient data used were kept strictly confidential.
Additional information
Publisher's Note
Springer Nature remains neutral with regard to jurisdictional claims in published maps and institutional affiliations.
About this article
Cite this article
Chen, M., Du, Y., Tang, W. et al. Risk factors of mortality and second fracture after elderly hip fracture surgery in Shanghai, China. J Bone Miner Metab 40, 951–959 (2022). https://doi.org/10.1007/s00774-022-01358-y
Received:
Accepted:
Published:
Issue Date:
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00774-022-01358-y