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The impact of land use and land cover change on regional climate over East Asia during 1980–2010 using a coupled model

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Abstract

The land use and land cover change (LULCC) presents the large-area features since the 1980s in East Asia, particularly over China, where the largely complicated LULCC has happened for the simultaneous interconversion of croplands, forests, grasslands, and urban lands. In this study, the regional coupled model AVIM-RIEMS2.0 with dynamic vegetation process is employed to examine the impacts of LULCC on regional climate over East Asia. The results show that regional climate and terrestrial surface processes exhibit significantly seasonal and interdecadal signals in East Asia. With the influences of LULCC, forest increased 33.3% and 20.3% from the 1980s to 1990s and from the 1990s to 2000s, respectively. Meanwhile, cropland decreased 17.8% in the 1990s (compared to the 1980s) and 24.8% in the 2000s (compared to the 1990s), respectively. These transitions of land surface processes are roughly coincident with the interdecadal variations in temperature and precipitation, which trigger generally opposite changes in the 1980s as compared to the 1990s, especially over eastern China. The seasonal variability of climatic components is more evident in winter than summer, except for the precipitation. The climate change is also somewhat remarkable under the non-LULCC conditions, combined with the changes in wind fields at the 850 hPa from the simulations during three decades; they together suggest that climate change is also modulated by other controlling factors, such as East Asian monsoon circulations in addition to LULCC conversions. These results highlight the importance of LULCC in regional modeling studies, which would have practical significance in climate mitigation and adaptation over East Asia.

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Acknowledgements

We are heartily grateful to our editor, Prof. Hartmut Graßl, for his generous encouragement and great kindness for providing us with an opportunity to improve the quality of this manuscript. Last but not least, we cordially thank two anonymous reviewers for their professional comments and suggestions that were greatly helpful for further improvement of the quality of this manuscript.

Funding

This study was jointly supported by the National Key R&D Program of China (Grant No. 2016YFA0602501), Strategic Priority Research Program of the Chinese Academy of Sciences (Grant No. XDA2002020101), the project of National Natural Science Foundation of China (Grant No. 41630532), the Key Research Program of the Chinese Academy of Sciences (Grant No. KZZD-EW-TZ-18), and Natural Science Foundation and Sci-tech development project of Shandong Province (No. ZR2018MD014; J18KA210).

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Cao, F., Dan, L., Ma, Z. et al. The impact of land use and land cover change on regional climate over East Asia during 1980–2010 using a coupled model. Theor Appl Climatol 145, 549–565 (2021). https://doi.org/10.1007/s00704-021-03629-6

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