Summary
In order to provide informative resources for future developments in water-related sectors, it is necessary to examine the characteristics of rainfall distribution. The analysis of the distribution of wet and dry spells based on daily rainfall occurrence is becoming important and such analysis can be used for the purpose of decision making or predictions. Various kinds of theoretical distributions have been fitted to a sequence of wet (dry) days. This study aims to fit seven types of theoretical distribution to wet (dry) spells data for 10 principal rain gauge stations in Peninsular Malaysia. The sequence of wet (dry) days will be analyzed separately at each station using daily rainfall observations for the period 1971–2005. In determining the best fitting distribution to describe the observed distribution of wet (dry) spells, a chi square goodness-of-fit test was used. A compound geometric distribution and the truncated negative binomial distribution were the most frequent theoretical distribution selected to describe the characteristics of wet and dry spells, respectively. This study has also identified the most appropriate theoretical distribution for each rainfall station in Peninsular Malaysia, which varied according to the location of the stations.
Similar content being viewed by others
References
CHR Anagnostopoulou P Maheras T Karacostas M Vafiadis (2003) ArticleTitleSpatial and temporal analysis of dry spells in Greece Theor Appl Climatol 74 77–91 Occurrence Handle10.1007/s00704-002-0713-5
A Berger C Goosens (1983) ArticleTitlePersistence of wet and dry spells at Uccle (Belgium) J Climatol 3 21–34 Occurrence Handle10.1002/joc.3370030103
JA Blairfish (1975) ArticleTitleAn investigation into spells of wet and dry days by region and season for Great Britain Meteor Mag 104 360–375
Brooks CEP, Carruthers N (1953) Handbook of statistical methods in meteorology. Her Majesty’s Stationary Office, London, pp 412
TA Buishand (1978) ArticleTitleSome remarks on the use of daily rainfall models J Hydrol 36 295–308 Occurrence Handle10.1016/0022-1694(78)90150-6
AL Camerlengo (1999) ArticleTitleMonthly frequency distributions of both dry spells and the number of days with precipitation greater than 25 mm over Peninsular Malaysia GEOACTA 23 1–18
Cheang BK, Tan HV, Yong PW (1986) Some aspects of wet and dry spells in Malaysia, 1951–1983. Part I: Seasonal and monthly variations of wet and dry spells. Malaysian Meteorological Service, Research Publication No. 15
LS Chia (1968) ArticleTitleAn analysis of rainfall patterns in Selangor J Trop Geog 27 1–18
Chong AL, Chan AK (1994) Climate change in the east Asian seas region: an overview. In: Chou LM (ed) RCU/ EAS Technical Report Series No. 2. UNEP, pp 29–60
WL Dale (1959) ArticleTitleThe rainfall of Malaya: Part I J Trop Geog 13 23–27
WL Dale (1960) ArticleTitleThe rainfall of Malaya: Part II J Trop Geog 14 11–28
HV De Arruda HS Pinto (1979) ArticleTitleAn alternative model for dry spell probability analysis Mon Wea Rev 108 823–825 Occurrence Handle10.1175/1520-0493(1980)108<0823:AAMFDS>2.0.CO;2
KR Gabriel J Neumann (1957) ArticleTitleOn the distribution of weather cycles by length Quart J Roy Meteor Soc 83 375–379 Occurrence Handle10.1002/qj.49708335714
JR Green (1970) ArticleTitleA generalized probability model for sequences of wet and dry days Mon Wea Rev 98 238–241 Occurrence Handle10.1175/1520-0493(1970)098<0238:AGPMFS>2.3.CO;2
Lim JT, Azizan AS (2004) Weather and climate of Malaysia. University of Malaya Press, pp 170
F Nobilis (1986) ArticleTitleDry spells in the Alpine Country Austria J Hydrol 88 235–251 Occurrence Handle10.1016/0022-1694(86)90093-4
Quah LC, Ooi MK (1985) Wet and dry spell probability models in West Malaysia. Research Publication No. 14. Malaysian Meteorological Service
J Roldan DA Woolhiser (1982) ArticleTitleStochastic daily precipitation models: a comparison of occurrence processes Water Resources Res 18 1451–1459 Occurrence Handle10.1029/WR018i005p01451
Shaharuddin A (1994) The diurnal variation of rainfall and urban development in Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia. Paper presented at the National Seminar of the Malaysian Association of Geography, USM
Shaharuddin A (2004) Trends and variability of rainfall in Malaysia: a case of Kuala Lumpur and Kuantan, Pahang. Paper presented at 3rd annual Hawaii International Conference on Social Sciences, Waikiki, Hawaii
SV Singh RH Kripalani S Priya PMM Ismail SD Dahale (1981) ArticleTitlePersistence in daily and 5-Day summer monsoon rainfall over India Arch Meteor Geophys Bioclim (Series A) 30 261–277 Occurrence Handle10.1007/BF02257848
Snedecor GW, Cochran WG (1989) Statistical methods, 8th edn. Iowa State University Press, pp 503
TR Srinivasan (1958) ArticleTitleA statistical model suitable for describing weather persistence Indian J Meteor Geophys 10 321–324
GA Theoharatos IG Tselepidaki (1990) ArticleTitleThe distribution of rainy days in the Aegean area Theor Appl Climatol 42 111–116 Occurrence Handle10.1007/BF00868217
Todorov AV, David A (1982) Recent rainfall trends in Malaysia. MARDI Report No. 79. Serdang:MARDI
K Tolika P Maheras (2005) ArticleTitleSpatial and temporal characteristics of wet spells in Greece Theor Appl Climatol 81 71–85 Occurrence Handle10.1007/s00704-004-0089-9
JB Wijngaard AMG Klien Tank GP Konnen (2003) ArticleTitleHomogeneity of 20th century European daily temperature and precipitation series Int J Climatol 23 679–692 Occurrence Handle10.1002/joc.906
CB Williams (1952) ArticleTitleSequences of wet and of dry days considered in relation to the Logarithmic Series Quart J Roy Meteor Soc 78 511–516 Occurrence Handle10.1002/qj.49707833514
WC Yap (1973) ArticleTitleThe persistence of wet and dry spells in Sungai Buloh, Selangor Meteor Mag 102 240–245
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Corresponding author
Additional information
Correspondence: Sayang Mohd Deni, Center for Statistical Studies, Faculty of Information Technology and Quantitative Science, MARA University of Technology (UiTM), 40450 Shah Alam, Selangor, Malaysia
Rights and permissions
About this article
Cite this article
Deni, S., Jemain, A. & Ibrahim, K. The spatial distribution of wet and dry spells over Peninsular Malaysia. Theor Appl Climatol 94, 163–173 (2008). https://doi.org/10.1007/s00704-007-0355-8
Received:
Accepted:
Published:
Issue Date:
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00704-007-0355-8