Skip to main content

Advertisement

SpringerLink
Log in

Trends in extreme summer temperatures at Belgrade

  • Published:
Theoretical and Applied Climatology Aims and scope Submit manuscript

Summary

Trends in extreme temperatures have been investigated for the Belgrade temperature record (1975–2003) to assess how an increase in the mean summer temperatures is related to changes in the extreme maximum and minimum temperatures. The rising mean summer temperatures at Belgrade are associated with a substantial increase in the occurrence of extreme maximum temperatures. Two statistical models for climate change (changing mean with constant standard deviation, and changing mean and standard deviation) indicated that the changing mean was dominant, because the observed trend in standard deviation was small.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this article

Log in via an institution

Price excludes VAT (USA)
Tax calculation will be finalised during checkout.

Instant access to the full article PDF.

Institutional subscriptions

Similar content being viewed by others

References

  • RC Balling JA Skindlow DA Phillips (1990) ArticleTitleThe impact of increasing summer mean temperatures on extreme maximum and minimum temperatures in Phoenix, Arizona. J Climate 3 1491–1494 Occurrence Handle10.1175/1520-0442(1990)003<1491:TIOISM>2.0.CO;2

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • DR Easterling B Horton (1997) ArticleTitleMaximum and minimum temperature trends for the globe. Science 227 364–367 Occurrence Handle10.1126/science.277.5324.364

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • DR Easterling LG Evans PY Groisman TR Karl KE Kunkel P Ambenje (2000) ArticleTitleObserved variability and trends in extreme climate events: A brief review. Bull Amer Meteor Soc 3 417–425 Occurrence Handle10.1175/1520-0477(2000)081<0417:OVATIE>2.3.CO;2

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • DY Gong YZ Pan JA Wang (2004) ArticleTitleChanges in extreme daily temperatures in summer in eastern China during 1955–2000. Theor Appl Climatol 77 25–37 Occurrence Handle10.1007/s00704-003-0019-2

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • PY Groisman TR Karl DR Easterling RW Knight PF Jamason KJ Hennessy R Suppiah CM Page J Wibig K Fortuniak VN Razuvaev A Douglas E Førland PM Zhai (1999) ArticleTitleChanges in the probability of heavy precipitation: Important indicators of climatic change. Climatic Change 42 243–283 Occurrence Handle10.1023/A:1005432803188

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • J Hansen I Fung A Lacis D Rind S Lebedeff R Ruedy G Russel P Stone (1988) ArticleTitleGlobal climate changes as forecast by Goddard Institute for Space Studies three-dimensional model. J Geophys Res 93 9341–9354

    Google Scholar 

  • TR Karl G Kukla VN Razuvayev MJ Changery RG Quayle RR Heim DR Easterling CB Fu (1991) ArticleTitleGlobal warming: Evidence for asymmetric diurnal temperature change. Geophys Res Lett 18 2253–2258

    Google Scholar 

  • RW Katz BG Brown (1992) ArticleTitleExtreme events in a changing climate: Variability is more important than averages. Climatic Change 21 289–302 Occurrence Handle10.1007/BF00139728

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • LO Mearns RW Katz SH Schneider (1984) ArticleTitleExtreme high-temperature events: Changes in their probabilities with changes in mean temperature. J Climate Appl Meteor 23 1601–1613 Occurrence Handle10.1175/1520-0450(1984)023<1601:EHTECI>2.0.CO;2

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Nicholls N, Gruza GV, Jouzel J, Karl TR, Ogallo LA, Parker DE (1996) Observed climate variability and change. In: Houghton JT, Filho LGM, Callander BA, Harris N, Kattenberg A, Maskell K (eds) Climate Change 1995: The Science of Climate Change. Cambridge, UK: Cambridge University Press, pp 133–192

  • LF Tarleton RW Katz (1995) ArticleTitleStatistical explanation for trends in extreme summer temperatures at Phoenix, Arizona. J Climate 8 1704–1708 Occurrence Handle10.1175/1520-0442(1995)008<1704:SEFTIE>2.0.CO;2

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Tukey JW (1977) Exploratory data analysis. Reading, MA: Addison-Wesley, 668 pp

  • M Unkašević (1990) ArticleTitleThe yearly averaged air temperature in Belgrade from 1888 to 1987. Atmosfera 3 305–313

    Google Scholar 

  • M Unkašević (1991) ArticleTitleEvidence of the urban heat island in Belgrade (Yugoslavia). Beitr Phys Atmosph 1 55–63

    Google Scholar 

  • WMO (2001) Report on the Activities of the Working Group on Climate Change Detection and Related Rapporteurs 1998–2001. Tech Note No 47 WMO Geneva 2001

Download references

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

  1. Institute of Meteorology, University of Belgrade, Serbia and Montenegro

    M. Unkašević, D. Vujović & I. Tošić

Authors
  1. M. Unkašević
    View author publications

    You can also search for this author in PubMed Google Scholar

  2. D. Vujović
    View author publications

    You can also search for this author in PubMed Google Scholar

  3. I. Tošić
    View author publications

    You can also search for this author in PubMed Google Scholar

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

About this article

Cite this article

Unkašević, M., Vujović, D. & Tošić, I. Trends in extreme summer temperatures at Belgrade. Theor. Appl. Climatol. 82, 199–205 (2005). https://doi.org/10.1007/s00704-005-0131-6

Download citation

  • Received:

  • Revised:

  • Accepted:

  • Published:

  • Issue Date:

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00704-005-0131-6

Keywords

Search

Navigation