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Is Granger causality analysis appropriate to investigate the relationship between atmospheric concentration of carbon dioxide and global surface air temperature?

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Summary

Many time series based studies use Granger causality analysis in order to investigate the connection between atmospheric carbon-dioxide concentrations and global mean temperature. This note re-examines the causal relationship between these variables and shows the inappropriateness of the Granger test to the problem under investigation.

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Triacca, U. Is Granger causality analysis appropriate to investigate the relationship between atmospheric concentration of carbon dioxide and global surface air temperature?. Theor. Appl. Climatol. 81, 133–135 (2005). https://doi.org/10.1007/s00704-004-0112-1

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  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00704-004-0112-1

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