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A single-tree additive biomass model of Quercus variabilis Blume forests in North China

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Fitting and comparing three sets of additive biomass models for prediction of biomass or carbon stocks of natural and planted Quercus variabilis Blume forests.

Abstract

To make the sum of estimated values from biomass models of various components of a tree equal to estimated tree total biomass for Quercus variabilis Blume (cork oak) forests in North China, single-tree additive biomass models were developed. 100 trees from 100 plots in North China were felled to obtain biomass of aboveground components, and roots of 19 of those trees were extracted for measurement of root biomass. After Box–Cox transformations of variables, two sets of independent component biomass models with a dummy variable to define stand origin were separately built using linear mixed effects analyses (one set of models with site as a random factor; the other set without any random factor). Then three methods were compared to force additivity of those models: sums of linear mixed effects models, sums of linear models, and simultaneous equation fits based on linear models. Model parameters were estimated by ordinary least squares (OLS) or seemingly unrelated regression procedures (SUR). Coefficients of determination (R 2), root mean square error (RMSE), confidence interval of predictions (CI), residuals plots and histograms of residuals indicated that models fitted with sums of linear mixed effects models were the least biased and most precise at estimating total aboveground biomass. Further testing for the linear mixed effects models with jackknife validation and prediction sum of squares (PRESS) statistics indicated that the additive biomass models can be used to predict biomass or carbon stocks of cork oak forests in North China within specific tree diameter at breast height and height ranges.

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Author contribution statement

C Zheng participated in acquisition of data, model building and analysis and writing of the paper. E.G. Mason participated in model building and analysis, writing of the paper and revising of the paper. L. Jia participated in experiment conception, acquisition of data, model analyses and revising of the paper. S. Wei participated in acquisition of data, checking of modelling data and reviewing of the paper. C. Sun participated in acquisition of data, checking of modelling data and reviewing of the paper. J. Duan participated in experiment conception, checking of model and reviewing of the paper. C. Zheng and E.G. Mason have equally contributed to this work.

Acknowledgments

This research was jointly supported by China Scholarship Council, scientific and research base construction projects of Beijing Municipal Education Commission (SYSBL2009), forestry science promotion project of the State Forestry Bureau (2011–44), open fund project of Beijing Forestry University ‘985’ advantage subject innovation platform (000-1108003), and special fund project for forestry public service industry and research (201004021). We acknowledge the strong support from Zhong Tiaoshan National Forest Authority, Xingtai County Forestry Bureau, Si Zuolou forestry station and Xi Shan forestry station in Beijing.

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The authors declare that they have no conflict of interest.

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Correspondence to Liming Jia.

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Communicated by R. Grote.

C. Zheng and E.G. Mason have equally contributed to this work and should be regarded as co-first authors.

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Zheng, C., Mason, E.G., Jia, L. et al. A single-tree additive biomass model of Quercus variabilis Blume forests in North China. Trees 29, 705–716 (2015). https://doi.org/10.1007/s00468-014-1148-1

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  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00468-014-1148-1

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