Pediatric risk of mortality (PRISM) score in meningococcal disease

Abstract

To assess the pediatric risk of mortality (PRISM) score as a prognostic scoring system in severe meningococcal disease, the files of 53 consecutive patients admitted to a tertiary pediatric intensive care with a clinical diagnosis of meningococcal disease and positive cultures from blood and/or cerebrospinal fluid were analysed. PRISM-score-based expected mortality was compared with observed mortality. Expected mortality in the whole study population was 29% while observed mortality was 19% (P < 0.05). The highest expected and observed mortality was found in septicaemic patients without (documented) meningitis, while meningitis patients without septicaemia had the lowest mortality. All patients with a mortality risk below 18.3% (n = 29) survived whereas all those with a mortality risk of 65% or higher (n = 7) died. Of the 17 patients with a mortality risk between 18.3% and 63.9%, 14 survived and 3 died. The area under the receiver-operating characteristic (ROC) curve was 0.94, which is at least comparable with the best-performing meningococcal-disease-specific scoring systems.

Conclusion The PRISM score is a useful generic measure of severity of illness in meningococcal disease and can be used to determine the effectiveness of different treatment strategies.