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Non-adult dental age assessment: correspondence analysis and linear regression versus Bayesian predictions

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Abstract

This study focuses on the evaluation of factors influencing the quality (accuracy and reliability) of non-adult dental age assessment from radiographic stages of permanent teeth (excluding the third molar). We used four distinct cross-sectional samples of 1,528 healthy children: 3 of known geographic origin (Ivory Coast, Iran and France) and 1 additional sample of children whose grandparents originated from a different continent. Two different methods of calculations are compared: the correspondence analysis combined with linear regression (CAR) and Bayesian predictions (with no independence assumption). Our results indicate that the quality of age assessment does not seem to depend predominantly on the use of geographic-specific standards. In the case of Bayesian predictions, we observed a clear trend in favour of significantly higher accuracy and reliability levels when using non-geographic-specific standards. One of the main advantage of Bayesian predictions over maximum likelihood methods of estimation is an overall increase in accuracy with high levels of reliability on a fraction of the test sample and, importantly, across all age categories (contrary to methods based on regression analysis). Importantly, in the case of Bayesian non-adult predictions, and contrary to age estimation techniques based on regression, a better quality does not depend on age.

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Abbreviations

CAR:

correspondence analysis and regression

DMS:

dental mineralisation sequence

GMI:

global maturity index

SEE:

standard error of the estimates.

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Acknowledgements

The authors would like to thank Prof. G. Dasgupta, from the Department Civil Engineering and Engineering Mechanics, Columbia University in New York; Prof. B. Brinkmann and anonymous reviewers, whose suggestions greatly improved the manuscript. We thank Dr Frapier (Montpellier), Dr De Brondeau (Bordeaux) and the Services d’Odontologie des CHU de Bordeaux et de Montpellier, for access to the orthopantomographs. We also gratefully acknowledge the important support of the Ministère de la Recherche and the Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique for funding and the expertise of Dr F. Houët of the Laboratoire d’Anthropologie, Université Bordeaux 1.

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Correspondence to J. Braga.

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Funded by the French Ministry of Research (“Action Concertée Incitative”).

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Braga, J., Heuze, Y., Chabadel, O. et al. Non-adult dental age assessment: correspondence analysis and linear regression versus Bayesian predictions. Int J Legal Med 119, 260–274 (2005). https://doi.org/10.1007/s00414-004-0494-8

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