Abstract
It is well recognized that El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) may exert a direct impact on the East Asian summer monsoon rainfall through modulating the Philippine Sea anticyclone variability. Such ENSO associated influence is evident in the monsoon region, i.e., Southeast China, the Yangtze River, Korean Peninsula and Japan. It remains unclear whether and how this ENSO related effect can reach the Yellow River region, a monsoon/arid transition region. In this study, results show that the year-to-year variations of the Yellow River summer rainfall can be indirectly influenced by ENSO, during its developing phase. The western Tibetan Plateau snow cover (WTPSC) may act as a “capacitor”, helping ENSO signal to reach the Yellow River region. During the El Niño developing spring, the associated diabatic heating in Pacific region can excite an anomalous cyclone over the plateau and anomalous upward flows over the western plateau. Such circulation configuration favors an excessive WTPSC anomaly in spring. The more WTPSC may increase the surface albedo, decrease the absorbed net shortwave radiation and in turn intensify the WTPSC. Through such snow-albedo feedback process, the excessive WTPSC anomaly may strengthen and persist through summer, which may induce two noticeable wave trains in the upper and lower troposphere propagating northeastward to the Yellow River region. Associated with the wave trains, a low pressure anomaly prevails over northeast China. To the southwest side of the anomalous low pressure, the abnormal northerly wind may bring large volumes of dry cold air with little moisture to the Yellow River region, leading to the anomalous drought there. During the La Niña developing summer, the situation tends to be opposite. As such, the ENSO associated influence is tied to the interannual variations of the following summer Yellow River precipitation, with the development of ENSO from spring.
Similar content being viewed by others
References
Chang CP, Zhang YS, Li T (2000) Interannual and interdecadal variations of the East Asian summer monsoon and tropical Pacific SSTs. Part I: roles of the subtropical ridge. J Clim 13(24):4310–4325
Chen MY, Xie PP, Janowiak JE, Arkin PA (2002) Global Land Precipitation: A 50-yr monthly analysis based on gauge observations. J Hydrometeorol 3(3):249–266
Ding QH, Wang B (2005) Circumglobal teleconnection in the northern hemisphere summer*.J Clim 18(17):3483–3505
Ding YH, Ren GY, Zhao ZC, Xu Y, Luo Y, Li QP, Zhang J (2007) Detection, causes and projection of climate change over China: An overview of recent progress. Adv Atmos Sci 24(6):954–971
Dong B, Dai AG (2015) The influence of the interdecadal Pacific Oscillation on temperature and precipitation over the globe. Clim Dyn 45:2667–2681
Dong BW, Valdes PJ (1998) Modelling the Asian summer monsoon rainfall and Eurasian winter/spring snow mass. Q J R Meteorol Soc 124(552):2567–2596
Duan AM, Wu GX (2005) Role of the Tibetan Plateau thermal forcing in the summer climate patterns over subtropical Asia. Clim Dyn 24:793–807
Feng S, Hu Q (2004) Variations in the teleconnection of ENSO and summer rainfall in northern China: a role of the indian summer monsoon. J Clim 17(24):4871–4881
Feng J, Li JP (2013) Contrasting impacts of two types of ENSO on the boreal spring Hadley circulation. J Clim 26:4773–4789
Feng J, Chen W, Tam CY, Zhou W (2011) Different impacts of El Niño and El Niño Modoki on China rainfall in the decaying phases. Int J Climatol 31(14):2091–2101
Feng J, Li JP, Xie F (2013) Long-term variation of the principal mode of boreal spring Hadley Circulation linked to SST over the Indo-Pacific Warm Pool. J Clim 26:532–544
Feng J, Li JP, Zheng F, Xie F, Sun C (2016) Contrasting impacts of developing phases of two types of El Niño on Southern China rainfall. J Meteorol Soc Jpn 94(4):359–370
Garcia SR, Kayano MT (2008) Climatological aspects of Hadley, Walker and monsoon circulations in two phases of the Pacific Decadal Oscillation. Theor Appl Climatol 91:117–127
Gill AE (1980) Some simple solutions for heat-induced tropical circulation. Q J R Meteorol Soc 106(449):447–462
Gong DY, Wang SW (2000) Severe summer rainfall in China associated with enhanced global warming. Clim Res 16(1):51–59
Guo YP, Li JP (2016) Impact of ENSO events on the interannual variability of Hadley circulation extents in boreal winter. Adv Clim Change Res 7(1):46–53
Guo QY, Wang JQ (1988) A comparative study on summer monsoon in China and India. J Trop Meteorol 4:53–60 (in Chinese)
Huang G (2004) An index measuring the interannual variation of the East Asian summer monsoon—the EAP index. Adv Atmos Sci 21:41–52
Huang RH, Wu YF (1989) The influence of ENSO on the summer climate change in China and its mechanisms. Adv Atmos Sci 6:21–32
Huang G, Liu Y, Huang RH (2011) The interannual variability of summer rainfall in the arid and semiarid regions of northern china and its association with the northern hemisphere circumglobal teleconnection. Adv Atmos Sci 28(2):257–268
Joshi MK, Rai A (2015) Combined interplay of the Atlantic multidecadal oscillation and the interdecadal Pacific oscillation on rainfall and its extremes over Indian subcontinent. Clim Dyn 44(11–12):3339–3359
Ju JH, Slingo J (1995) The Asian summer monsoon and ENSO. Q J R Meteorol Soc 121(525):1133–1168
Kalnay E, Kanamitsu M, Kistler R, Collins W, Deaven D, Gandin L, Iredell M, Saha S, White G, Woollen J, Zhu Y, Chelliah M, Ebisuzaki W, Higgins W, Janowiak J, Mo KC, Ropelewski C, Wang J, Leetmaa A, Reynolds R, Jenne R, Joseph D (1996) The NCEP/NCAR 40-year reanalysis project. Bull Amer Meteorol Soc 77(3):437–472
Kawamura R (1998) A possible mechanism of the Asian summer monsoon-ENSO coupling. J Meteorol Soc Jpn 76:1009–1027
Kripalani RH, Kulkarni A (1997) Rainfall variability over southeast Asia—connections with Indian monsoon and ENSO extremes: New perspective. Int J Climatol 17:1155–1168
Kripalani RH, Singh SV (1993) Large-scale aspects of India-China summer monsoon rainfall. Adv Atmos Sci 10:72–84
Krishnan R, Sugi M (2003) Pacific decadal oscillation and variability of the Indian summer monsoon rainfall. Clim Dyn 21:233–242
Li JP (2009) Tropical pacific and its global impacts. Theor Appl Climatol 97(1–2):1–2
Li JP, Sun C, Jin FF (2013) NAO implicated as a predictor of northern hemisphere mean temperature multidecadal variability. Geophys Res Lett 40(20):5497–5502
Liang XZ, Wang WC (1998) Association between China monsoon rainfall and tropospheric jets. Q J R Meteorol Soc Lond 124:2597–2623
Lin H, Wu ZW (2011) Contribution of the autumn Tibetan Plateau snow cover to seasonal prediction of North American winter temperature. J Clim 24:2801–2813
Liu YM, Wu GX (2004) Progress in the study on the formation of the summertime subtropical anticyclone. Adv Atmos Sci 21:322–342
Liu YM, Wu GX, Ren RC (2004) Relationship between the subtropical anticyclone and diabatic heting. J Clim 17:682–698
Liu YM, Bao Q, Duan AM, Qian ZA, Wu GX (2007) Recent progress in the impact of the Tibetan Plateau on climate in China. Adv Atmos Sci 24(6):1060–1076
Liu G, Wu RG, Zhang YS, Nan SL (2014) The summer snow cover anomaly over the Tibetan Plateau and its association with simultaneous precipitation over the mei-yu-baiu region. Adv Atmos Sci 31(4):755–764
Liu G, Zhao P, Chen JM, Yang S (2015) Preceding factors of summer Asian-Pacific oscillation and the physical mechanism for their potential influences. J Clim 28(7):2531–2543
Matsuno T (1966) Quasi-geostrophic motions in the Equatorial area. J Meteorol Soc Jpn 44(1):25–42
Miyakoda K, Kinter JL, Yang S (2003) The role of ENSO in the South Asian monsoon and pre-monsoon signals over the Tibetan Plateau. J Meteorol Soc Jpn 81(5):1015–1039
Murakami T, Ding YH (1982) Wind and temperature changes over Eurasia during the early summer of 1979. J Meteorol Soc Jpn 60:183–196
Nitta T (1987) Convective activities in the tropical western Pacific and their impact on the northern hemisphere summer circulation. J Meteorol Soc Jpn 65:373–390
Poli P, Hersbach H, Dee DP, Berrisford P, Simmons AJ, Vitart F, Laloyaux P, Tan DGH, Peubey C, Thépaut JN, Trémolet Y, Hólm EV, Bonavita M, Isaksen L, Fisher M (2016) ERA-20C: an atmospheric reanalysis of the 20th century. J Clim. doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-15-0556.1
Pu ZX, Xu L, Salomonson VV (2007) MODIS/Terra observed seasonal variations of snow cover over the Tibetan Plateau. Geophys Res Lett 34(6):137–161
Qian YF, Zheng YQ, Zhang Y, Miao MQ (2003) Responses of china’s summer monsoon climate to snow anomaly over the Tibetan Tlateau. Int J Climatol 23(6):593–613
Ren GY, Guo J, Xu MZ, Chu ZY, Zhang L, Zou XK (2005) Climate changes of mainland China over the past half century. Acta Meteorol Sin 63(6):942–956
Ren XJ, Yang XQ, Chu CJ (2010) Seasonal variations of the synoptic-scale transient eddy activity and polar front jet over East Asia. J Clim 23(12):3222–3233
Robinson DA, Frei A (2000) Seasonal variability of northern hemisphere snow extent using visible satellite data. Prof Geogr 51:307–314
Robinson DA, Dewey KF, Heim RRJ (1993) Global snow cover monitoring: an update. Bull Am Meteorol Soc 74:1689–1696
Roeckner E, Bäuml G, Bonaventura L, Brokopf R, Esch M, Giorgetta M, Hagemann S, Kirchner I, Kornblueh L, Manzini E, Rhodin A, Schlese U, Schulzweida U, Tompkins A (2003) The atmospheric general circulation model ECHAM5. Part I: Model description. Max Planck Institute for Meteorology Rep. 349, 127 pp. Available from MPI for Meteorology, Bundesstr. 53, 20146 Hamburg, Germany
Ropelewski CF, Halpert MS (1987) Global and regional scale precipitation patterns associated with the El Niño/Southern Oscillation. Mon Weather Rev 115(8):1606–1626
Shaman J, Tziperman E (2005) The effect of ENSO on Tibetan Plateau snow depth: a stationary wave teleconnection mechanism and implications for the South Asian monsoons. J Clim 18(12):2067–2079
Shukla J, Paolino DA (1983) The Southern Oscillation and long-range forecasting of the summer monsoon rainfall over India. Mon Weather Rev 111(9):1830–1837
Smith TM, Reynolds RW, Peterson TC, Lawrimore J (2008) Improvements to NOAA’s historical merged land–ocean surface temperature analysis (1880–2006). J Clim 21:2283–2295. doi:10.1175/2007JCLI2100.1
Wang B, Ding QH (2006) Changes in global monsoon precipitation over the past 56 years. Geophys Res Lett 33(6):272–288
Wang B, Wu RG, Fu XH (2000) Pacific–East Asian teleconnection: how does ENSO affect East Asian climate?* J Clim 13(9):1517–1536
Wang B, Wu RG, Lau KM (2001) Interannual variability of the Asian summer monsoon: contrasts between the Indian and the western North Pacific-East Asian monsoons. J Clim 14:4073–4090
Wang B, Wu RG, Li T (2003) Atmosphere–warm ocean interaction and its impacts on Asian–Australian monsoon variation. J Clim 16:1195–1211
Wang B, Bao Q, Hoskins B, Wu GX, Liu YM (2008) Tibetan Plateau warming and precipitation changes in East Asia. Geophys Res Lett 35(14):63–72
Webster PJ, Yang S (1992) Monsoon and ENSO: selectively interactive systems. Q J R Meteorol Soc 118(507):877–926
Wu G, Liu Y (2003) Summertime quadruplet heating pattern in the subtropics and the associated atmospheric circulation. Geophys Res Lett 30(5):1201. doi:10.1029/2002GL016209
Wu RG, Wang B (2002) A contrast of the East Asian summer monsoon-ENSO relationship between 1962–77 and 1978–93. J Clim 15:3266–3279
Wu GX, Zhang YS (1998) Tibetan Plateau forcing and the timing of the monsoon onset over South Asia and the South China Sea. Mon Weather Rev 126:913–927
Wu GX, Li W, Guo H, Liu H, Xue J, Wang Z (1997) Sensible heat driven air-pump over the Tibetan Plateau and its impacts on the Asian summer monsoon. Collections on the memory of Zhao Jiuzhang. Chinese Science Press, Beijing
Wu GX, Liu YM, Wang TM, Wan RJ, Liu X, Li WP, Wang ZZ, Zhang Q, Duan AM, Liang XY (2007) The influence of mechanical and thermal forcing by the Tibetan Plateau on Asian climate. J Hydrometeorol 8(4):770–789
Wu ZW, Wang B, Li JP, Jin FF (2009) An Empirical seasonal prediction model of the East Asian summer monsoon using ENSO and NAO. J Geophys Res 114:D18120. doi:10.1029/2009JD011733
Wu ZW, Li JP, Jiang ZH, Ma TT (2012a) Modulation of the Tibetan Plateau snow cover on the ENSO teleconnections: from the East Asian summer monsoon perspective. J Clim 25(25):2481–2488
Wu ZW, Jiang ZH, Li JP, Zhong SS, Wang LJ (2012b) Possible association of the western Tibetan Plateau snow cover with the decadal to interdecadal variations of northern China heatwave frequency. Clim Dyn 39(9–10):2393–2402
Wu ZW, Zhang P, Chen H, Li Y (2015) Can the Tibetan Plateau snow cover influence the interannual variations of Eurasian heat wave frequency? Clim Dyn 46(11–12):3405–3417
Xie SP, Hu KM, Hafner J, Tokinaga H, Du Y, Huang G, Sampe T (2009) Indian Ocean Capacitor Effect on Indo-Western Pacific Climate during the Summer following El Niño. J Clim 22(3):730–747
Yang S (1996) ENSO-snow-monsoon associations and seasonal-interannual predictions. Int J Climatol 16(2):125–134
Yang FL, Lau KM (2004) Trend and variability of China precipitation in spring and summer: linkage to sea-surface temperatures. Int J Climatol 24:1625–1644
Yatagai A, Yasunari T (1995) Interannual variations of summer precipitation in the arid/semi-arid regions in China and Mongolia: their regionality and relationship to the Asian monsoon. J Meteorol Soc Jpn 73:909–923
Zhai PM, Sun AJ, Ren FM, Liu XN, Gao B, Zhang Q (1999) Changes of climate extremes in China. Clim Change 42(1):203–218
Zhang RH (1999) The role of Indian summer monsoon water vapor transportation on the summer rainfall anomalies in the northern part of China during the El Niño mature phase. Plateau Meteorol 18:567–574 (in Chinese)
Zhang SL, Tao SY (2001) Influences of snow cover over the Tibetan Plateau on Asian summer monsoon. Chin J Atmos Sci 25:372–390 (in Chinese)
Zhang RH, Sumi A, Kimoto M (1999) A diagnostic study of the impact of El Nino on the precipitation in China. Adv Atmos Sci 16:229–241
Zhang YS, Li T, Wang B (2004) Decadal change of the spring snow depth over the Tibetan Plateau: the associated circulation and influence on the East Asian summer monsoon. J Clim 17(14):2780–2793
Zheng F, Li JP, Li YJ, Zhao S, Deng DF (2016) Influence of the summer NAO on the spring-NAO-based predictability of the East Asian summer monsoon. J Appl Meteorol Climatol 55(7):1459–1476
Zhu YM, Yang XQ (2003) Relationships between Pacific Decadal Oscillation and climate variabilities in China. J Meteorol Soc Jpn 61(6):641–654
Acknowledgements
We thank the Global Snow Lab (Rutgers University) for providing the snow cover area extent data. This work is jointly supported by the National Key Research & Development Program of China (Grant No. 2016YFA0601801), the National Natural Science Foundation of China (NSFC) (Grant No. 91637312), the Ministry of Science and Technology of China (Grant Nos. 2015CB453201 and 2015CB953904) and the NSFC (Grant Nos. 91437216 and 41575075).
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Corresponding author
Rights and permissions
About this article
Cite this article
Jin, R., Wu, Z. & Zhang, P. Tibetan Plateau capacitor effect during the summer preceding ENSO: from the Yellow River climate perspective. Clim Dyn 51, 57–71 (2018). https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-017-3906-4
Received:
Accepted:
Published:
Issue Date:
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-017-3906-4