Skip to main content
SpringerLink
Log in

Possible connection between summer tropical cyclone frequency and spring Arctic Oscillation over East Asia

  • Published:
Climate Dynamics Aims and scope Submit manuscript

Abstract

This study shows that the frequency of summer tropical cyclones (TCs) in the areas of Japan, Korea, and Taiwan (JKT), which are located in the middle latitudes of East Asia, has a positive correlation with the Arctic Oscillation (AO) occurring during the preceding spring, while summer TC frequency in the Philippines (PH), located in the low latitudes, has a negative correlation with the AO of the preceding spring. During a positive AO phase, when the anomalous anticyclone forms over the mid-latitudes of East Asia, other anomalous cyclones develop not only in the high latitudes but also in the low latitudes from the preceding spring to the summer months. With this change, while southeasterlies in the JKT area derived from the mid-latitude anticyclone plays a role in steering TCs toward this area, northwesterlies strengthened in the PH area by the low-latitude cyclone plays a role in preventing TC movement toward this area. In addition, because of this pressure systems developed during this AO phase, TCs occur, move, and recurve in further northeastern part of the western North Pacific than they do during a negative AO phase.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this article

Log in via an institution

Price excludes VAT (USA)
Tax calculation will be finalised during checkout.

Instant access to the full article PDF.

Institutional subscriptions

Fig. 1
Fig. 2
Fig. 3
Fig. 4
Fig. 5
Fig. 6
Fig. 7
Fig. 8
Fig. 9
Fig. 10
Fig. 11
Fig. 12
Fig. 13

Similar content being viewed by others

References

  • Camargo SJ, Sobel AH (2005) Western North Pacific tropical cyclone intensity and ENSO. J Clim 18:2996–3006

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Camargo SJ, Robertson AW, Gaffney SJ, Smyth P, Ghill M (2007) Cluster analysis of typhoon tracks. Part I: general properties. J Clim 20:3635–3653

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Chan JCL (1985) Tropical cyclone activity in the northwest Pacific in relation to El Niño/Southern Oscillation phenomenon. Mon Weather Rev 113:599–606

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Chan JCL (1995) Tropical cyclone activity in the western North Pacific in relation to the stratospheric Quasi-Biennial Oscillation. Mon Weather Rev 123:2567–2571

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Chan JCL (2000) Tropical cyclone activity over the western North Pacific associated with El Niño and La Niña events. J Clim 13:2960–2972

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Choi KS, Byun HR (2010) Possible relationship between western North Pacific tropical cyclone activity and Arctic Oscillation. Theor Appl Climatol 100:261–274

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Choi KS, Wu CC, Cha EJ (2010) Change of tropical cyclone activity by Pacific-Japan teleconnection pattern in the western North Pacific. J Geophys Res (in press). doi:10.1029/2009JD013391

  • Elsner JB, Kocher B (2000) Global tropical cyclone activity: a link to the North Atlantic Oscillation. Geophys Res Lett 27:129–132

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Elsner JB, Liu KB (2003) Examining the ENSO-typhoon hypothesis. Clim Res 25:43–54

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Fan K (2007) Sea ice cover over North Pacific, a predictor for the typhoon frequency over west North Pacific? Sci China Ser D Earth Sci 50:1251–1257

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Fan K, Wang HJ (2009) A new approach to forecasting typhoon frequency over the western North Pacific. Weather Forecast 24:974–986

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Gong DY, Ho CH (2003) Arctic oscillation signals in the East Asian summer monsoon. J Geophys Res 108(D2):4066. doi:10.1029/2002JD002193

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Gong DY, Wang S (1999) Definition of Antarctic Oscillation index. Geophys Res Lett 26:459–462

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Ho CH, Baik JJ, Kim JH, Gong DY (2004) Interdecadal changes in summertime typhoon tracks. J Clim 17:1767–1776

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Ho CH, Kim JH, Kim HS, Sui CH, Gong DY (2005) Possible influence of the Antarctic Oscillation on tropical cyclone activity in the western North Pacific. J Gophys Res 110:D19104. doi:10.1029/2005JD005766

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Ho CH, Kim HS, Jeong JH, Son SW (2009) Influence of stratospheric Quasi-Biennial Oscillation on tropical cyclone tracks in western North Pacific. Geophys Res Lett 36:L06702. doi:10.1029/2009GL037163

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Kanamitsu M, Ebisuzake W, Woolen J, Yang SK, Hnilo JJ, Fiorino M, Potter GL (2002) NCEP–DOE AMIP-II reanalysis (R-2): dynamical seasonal forecast system 2000. Bull Am Meteorol Soc 83:1631–1643

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Kim JH, Ho CH, Sui CH (2005) Circulation features associated with the record-breaking typhoon landfall on Japan in 2004. Geophys Res Lett 32:L14713. doi:10.1029/2005GL022494

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Lander MA (1994) An exploratory analysis of the relationship between tropical storm formation in the western North Pacific and ENSO. Mon Weather Rev 122:636–651

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Larson J, Zhou Y, Higgins RW (2005) Characteristics of landfalling tropical cyclones in the United States and Mexico: climatology and interannual variability. J Clim 18:1247–1262

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Lawrence DM, Webster PJ (2001) Interannual variations of the intraseasonal oscillation in the South Asian summer monsoon region. J Clim 13:2910–2922

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Liebmann B, Smith CA (1996) Description of a complete (interpolated) outgoing longwave radiation dataset. Bull Am Meteorol Soc 77:1275–1277

    Google Scholar 

  • Lyon B, Camargo SJ (2008) The seasonally-varying influence of ENSO on rainfall and tropical cyclone activity in the Philippines. Clim Dyn 32:125–141. doi:10.1007/s00382-008-0380-z

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Overland JE, Wang M (2005) The arctic climate paradox: the recent decrease of the Arctic Oscillation. Geophys Res Lett 32:L06701. doi:10.1029/2004GL021752

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Pan CJ, Reddy KK, Lai HC, Yang SS (2010) Role of mixed precipitating cloud systems on the typhoon rainfall. Ann Geophys 28:11–16

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Park SK, Lee EH (2007) Synoptic features of orographically enhanced heavy rainfall on the east coast of Korea associated with Typhoon Rusa (2002). Geophys Res Lett 34:L02803. doi:10.1029/2006GL028592

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Reynolds RW, Rayner NA, Smith TM, Stokes DC, Wang W (2002) An improved in situ and satellite SST analysis for climate. J Clim 15:1609–1625

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Saunders MA, Chandler RE, Merchant CJ, Roberts FP (2000) Atlantic hurricanes and NW Pacific typhoons: ENSO spatial impacts on occurrence and landfall. Geophys Res Lett 27:1147–1150

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Thompson DWJ, Wallace JM (1998) The Arctic oscillation signature in the wintertime geopotential height and temperature fields. Geophy Res Lett 25:1297–1300

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Thompson DWJ, Wallace JM (2000) Annular modes in the extratropical circulation, Part I, month-to-month variability. J Clim 13:1000–1016

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Thompson DWJ, Wallace JM (2001) Regional climate impacts of the Northern Hemisphere annular mode. Science 293:85–89

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Thompson DWJ, Wallace JM, Hegerl GC (2000) Annular modes in the extratropical circulation. Part II: Trends. J Clim 13:1018–1036

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Wallace JM (2000) North Atlantic oscillation/annular mode: two paradigmsone phenomenon. Q J R Meteorol Soc 126:791–805

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Wang B, Chan JCL (2002) How strong ENSO events affect tropical storm activity over the western North Pacific. J Clim 15(13):1643–1658

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Wang HJ, Fan K (2007) Relationship between the Antarctic Oscillation in the western North Pacific typhoon frequency. Chin Sci Bull 52:561–565

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Wang HJ, Sun JQ, Ke F (2007) Relationships between the North Pacific Oscillation and the typhoon/hurricane frequencies. Sci China Ser D Earth Sci 50:1409–1416

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Wilks DS (1995) Statistical methods in the atmospheric sciences. Academic Press, San Diego

    Google Scholar 

  • Xie L, Yan T, Pietrafesa LJ (2005) Climatology and interannual variability of North Atlantic hurricane tracks. J Clim 18:5370–5381

    Article  Google Scholar 

Download references

Acknowledgments

This work was funded by the Korea Meteorological Administration Research and Development Program under Grant CATER 2006-2306.

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

  1. National Typhoon Center, Korea Meteorological Administration, Jeju, Korea

    Ki-Seon Choi

  2. Department of Atmospheric Sciences, National Taiwan University, Taipei, 106, Taiwan

    Chun-Chieh Wu

  3. Department of Environmental Atmospheric Sciences, Pukyong National University, Busan, Korea

    Hi-Ryong Byun

Authors
  1. Ki-Seon Choi
    View author publications

    You can also search for this author in PubMed Google Scholar

  2. Chun-Chieh Wu
    View author publications

    You can also search for this author in PubMed Google Scholar

  3. Hi-Ryong Byun
    View author publications

    You can also search for this author in PubMed Google Scholar

Corresponding author

Correspondence to Hi-Ryong Byun.

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

About this article

Cite this article

Choi, KS., Wu, CC. & Byun, HR. Possible connection between summer tropical cyclone frequency and spring Arctic Oscillation over East Asia. Clim Dyn 38, 2613–2629 (2012). https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-011-1088-z

Download citation

  • Received:

  • Accepted:

  • Published:

  • Issue Date:

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-011-1088-z

Keywords

Search

Navigation