Abstract
Using the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC) and China Meteorological Administration (CMA) tropical cyclone track datasets, variations in frequency and intensity of the affecting-China tropical cyclones (ACTCs) are studied for the period of 1965–2004. First, the differences between the two tropical cyclone datasets are examined. The annual frequencies of tropical cyclones in the western North Pacific basin are reasonably consistent to each other, while the intensity records are less reliable. The annual numbers of ACTCs based on different datasets are close to each other with similar interdecadal and interannual variations. However, the maximum intensity and the annual frequency of ACTCs for strong categories show great dependence on datasets. Tropical cyclone impacts on China show the same variations as the annual number of ACTCs and also show dependence on datasets. Differences in tropical cyclone impacts on China are mainly caused by datasets used. The annual frequency of ACTCs, especially the length of lifetime of ones that make landfall, and the intensity estimates all have effects on the value of impacts on China.
Similar content being viewed by others
References
Black, P. G., 1993: Evolution of maximum wind estimates in typhoons. Tropical Cyclone Disasters, J. Lighthill et al., Eds., Peking University Press, 104–115.
Cai, Z. Y., L. Y. Xu, and Y. T. Xu, 1994: A study of the tropical cyclone disasters in China. Chinese J. Atmos. Sci., 18, 826–836. (in Chinese)
Chan, J. C. L., and J. E. Shi, 1996: Long-term trends and interannual variability in tropical cyclone activity over the western North Pacific. Geophys. Res. Lett., 23, 2765–2767.
Chan, J. C. L., 2000: Tropical cyclone activity over the western North Pacific associated with El Niño and La Niñna Events. J. Climate, 13, 2960–2972.
Chen, L. S., and Y. H. Ding, 1979: An Introduction to Tropical Cyclones in the Western North Pacific. Science Press, 491pp. (in Chinese)
Chen, X. F., and S. Y. Chao, 1997: The jump of climate change of typhoon activities. Journal of Tropical Meteorology, 12, 97–104. (in Chinese)
Elsner, J. B., and B. Kocher, 2000: Global tropical activity: A link to the North Atlantic oscillation. Geophys. Res. Lett., 27, 129–232.
Emanuel, K. A., 1987: The dependence of hurricane intensity on climate. Nature, 326, 483–485.
Emanuel, K. A., 2005: Increasing destructiveness of tropical cyclones over the past 30 years. Nature, 436, 686–688.
Feng, L. H., 2003: Relationship between tropical cyclones landing in China and sea surface temperature in the Pacific. Acta Geographica Sinica, 58, 209–214. (in Chinese)
Goldenberg, S. B., C. M. Landsea, A. M. Mestas-nunez, and W. M. Gray, 2001: The recent increase in Atlantic hurricane activity: Causes and implications. Science, 293, 474–479.
Holland, G. J., 1997: The maximum potential intensity of tropical cyclones. J. Atmos. Sci., 54, 2519–2541.
IPCC, 2001: Observed climate variability and change. Climate Change 2001: The Scientific Basis, J. T. Houghton et al., Eds., Cambridge University Press, 105–119.
Kamahori, H., N. Yamazaki, N. Mannoji, and K. Takahashi, 2006: Variability in intense tropical cyclone days in the western North Pacific. SOLA, 2, 104–107, doi: 10.2151/sola.2006-207.
Knutson, T. R., and R. E. Tuleya, 2004: Impact of CO2-induced warming on simulated hurricane intensity and precipitation: Sensitivity to the choice of climate model and convective parameterization. J. Climate, 17, 3477–3495.
Lander, M. A., and C. P. Guard, 1998: A look at global tropical cyclone activity during 1995: Contrasting high Atlantic activity with low activity in other basins. Mon. Wea. Rev., 126, 1163–1173.
Landsea, C. W., 1993: A climatology of intense (or major) Atlantic hurricanes. Mon. Wea. Rev., 121, 1703–1713.
Landsea, C. W., N. Nicholls, W. M. Gray, and L. A. Avila, 1996: Downward trends in the frequency of intense Atlantic hurricanes during the past five decades. Geophys. Res. Lett., 23, 1697–1700.
Landsea, C. W., R. A. Pielke, A. M. Mestas-nunez, and J. A. Knaff, 1999: Atlantic basin hurricanes: Indices of climatic changes. Climatic Change, 42, 89–129.
Li, Y., L. S. Chen, and S. J. Zhang, 2004: Statistical characteristics of tropical cyclone making landfalls on China. Journal of Tropical Meteorology, 20, 14–23. (in Chinese)
Neumann, C. J., 1993: Global overview, global guide to tropical cyclone forecasting. WMO/Tc-No.560, Report No.TCP-31, World Meteorological Organization, Geneva, 1.1–1.43.
Pielke, R. A. J., and C. W. Landsea, 1998: Normalized U.S. hurricane damage, 1925–1995. Wea. Forecasting, 13, 621–631.
Pielke, R. A. J., J. Rubiera, C. W. Landsea, M. L. Fernandez, and R. Klein, 2003: Hurricane vulnerability in Latin America and the Caribbean: Normalized damage and loss potentials. Natural Hazards Review, 4, 101–114.
Ren, F. M., B. Gleason, and D. Easterling, 2001: A numerical technique for partitioning tropical cyclone precipitation. Journal of Tropical Meteorology, 17, 308–313. (in Chinese)
Ren, F. M., B. Gleason, and D. Easterling, 2002: Typhoon impacts on China’s precipitation during 1957–1996. Adv. Atmos. Sci., 19, 943–952.
Ren, F. M., Y. M. Wang, X. L. Wang, and W. J. Li, 2007: Estimating tropical cyclone precipitation from station observations. Adv. Atmos. Sci., 24, 700–711.
Sen, P. K., 1968: Estimates of the regression coefficient based on Kendall’s tau. Journal of the American Statistical Association, 63, 1379–1389.
Trenberth, K., 2005: Uncertainty in hurricanes and global warming. Science, 308, 1753–1754.
Webster, P. J., G. J. Holland, J. A. Curry, and H. R. Chang, 2005: Changes in tropical cyclone number, duration, and intensity in a warming environment. Science, 309, 1844–1846.
Wu, L., B. Wang, and S. Geng, 2005: Growing typhoon influence on East Asia. Geophys. Res. Lett., 32, L18703. 10.1029/2005GL022937.
Wu, M. C., K. H. Yeung, W. L. Chang, and Y. K. Leung, 2005: Long-term change in tropical cyclone activity in the western North Pacific. Scientific Assembly of International Association of Meteorology and Atmospheric Science (IAMAS) 2005, Beijing, China, C–128.
Xu, L. Y., and G. Gao, 2005: Features of typhoon in recent 50 years and annual disaster assessment. Meteorological Monthly, 31, 41–44. (in Chinese)
Ye, Y., and B. Dong, 2002: Interdecadal change analysis of the landing tropical cyclone over China. Marine Forecasts, 19, 23–30. (in Chinese)
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Corresponding author
Rights and permissions
About this article
Cite this article
Wang, X., Wu, L., Ren, F. et al. Influences of tropical cyclones on China during 1965–2004. Adv. Atmos. Sci. 25, 417–426 (2008). https://doi.org/10.1007/s00376-008-0417-6
Received:
Revised:
Published:
Issue Date:
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00376-008-0417-6