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Identification of high-risk carotid plaque with MRI-based radiomics and machine learning

  • Magnetic Resonance
  • Published:
European Radiology Aims and scope Submit manuscript

Abstract

Objectives

We sought to build a high-risk plaque MRI-based model (HRPMM) using radiomics features and machine learning for differentiating symptomatic from asymptomatic carotid plaques.

Materials and methods

One hundred sixty-two patients with carotid stenosis were randomly divided into training and test cohorts. Multi-contrast MRI including time of flight (TOF), T1- and T2-weighted imaging, and contrast-enhanced imaging was done. Radiological characteristics of the carotid plaques were recorded and calculated to build a traditional model. After extracting the radiomics features on these images, we constructed HRPMM with least absolute shrinkage and selection operator algorithm in the training cohort and evaluated its performance in the test cohort. A combined model was also built using both the traditional and radiomics features. The performance of all the models in the identification of high-risk carotid plaque was compared.

Results

Intraplaque hemorrhage and lipid-rich necrotic core were independently associated with clinical symptoms and were used to build the traditional model, which achieved an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.825 versus 0.804 in the training and test cohorts. The HRPMM and the combined model achieved an AUC of 0.988 versus 0.984 and of 0.989 versus 0.986 respectively in the two cohorts. Both the radiomics model and combined model outperformed the traditional model, whereas the combined model showed no significant difference with the HRPMM.

Conclusions

Our MRI-based radiomics model can accurately distinguish symptomatic from asymptomatic carotid plaques. It is superior to the traditional model in the identification of high-risk plaques.

Key Points

• Carotid plaque multi-contrast MRI stores other valuable information to be further exploited by radiomics analysis.

• Radiomics analysis can accurately distinguish symptomatic from asymptomatic carotid plaques.

• The radiomics model is superior to the traditional model in the identification of high-risk plaques.

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Abbreviations

AUC:

Area under the curve

CER:

Contrast enhancement ratio

GLCM:

Gray-level co-occurrence matrix

GLDM:

Gray-level dependence matrix

GLRLM:

Gray-level run-length matrix

GLSZM:

Gray-level size-zone matrix

HRPMM:

High-risk plaque MRI-based model

ICC:

Intraclass coefficient

IPH:

Intraplaque hemorrhage

LASSO:

Least absolute shrinkage and selection operator

LRNC:

Lipid-rich necrotic core

MLA:

Minimal luminal area

MRI:

Magnetic resonance imaging

NDLR:

Negative diagnostic likelihood ratio

NPV:

Negative predictive value

PB:

Plaque burden

PDLR:

Positive diagnostic likelihood ratio

PPV:

Positive predictive value

RI:

Remodeling index

ROC:

Receiver operating characteristic

TOF:

Time of flight

VIBE:

Volume-interpolated breath-hold examination

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Funding

The authors state that this work has not received any funding.

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Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Corresponding author

Correspondence to Jiang Lin.

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Guarantor

The scientific guarantor of this publication is Jiang Lin.

Conflict of interest

The authors of this manuscript declare no relationships with any companies whose products or services may be related to the subject matter of the article.

Statistics and biometry

Zhang Qingwei and Zhang Ranying did statistical analysis. 

Informed consent

Written informed consent was obtained from all subjects (patients) in this study.

Ethical approval

Institutional Review Board approval was obtained.

Methodology

• Retrospective

• Diagnostic or prognostic study

• Performed at one institution

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Electronic supplementary material

LASSO algorithm was applied, 33 features were finally retained and used to build HRPMM (details in Appendix).

The ICCs for measuring the radiological and radiomics features ranged from 0.705 to 0.951 and were summarized in the Appendix.

In the 33 final features, only sphericity, i.e. a shape feature, appeared in the four sequences’ final screening results (see Appendix).

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Zhang, R., Zhang, Q., Ji, A. et al. Identification of high-risk carotid plaque with MRI-based radiomics and machine learning. Eur Radiol 31, 3116–3126 (2021). https://doi.org/10.1007/s00330-020-07361-z

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  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00330-020-07361-z

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