Abstract
Objectives
To explore the value of multiparametric MRI combined with FDG-PET/CT to identify well-responding rectal cancer patients before the start of neoadjuvant chemoradiation.
Methods
Sixty-one locally advanced rectal cancer patients who underwent a baseline FDG-PET/CT and MRI (T2W + DWI) and received long-course neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy were retrospectively analysed. Tumours were delineated on MRI and PET/CT from which the following quantitative parameters were calculated: T2W volume and entropy, ADC mean and entropy, CT density (mean-HU), SUV maximum and mean, metabolic tumour volume (MTV42%) and total lesion glycolysis (TLG). These features, together with sex, age, mrTN-stage (“baseline parameters”) and the CRT-surgery interval were analysed using multivariable stepwise logistic regression. Outcome was a good (TRG 1–2) versus poor histopathological response. Performance (AUC) to predict response was compared for different combinations of baseline ± quantitative imaging parameters and performance in an ‘independent’ dataset was estimated using bootstrapped leave-one-out cross-validation (LOOCV).
Results
The optimal multivariable prediction model consisted of a combination of baseline + quantitative imaging parameters and included mrT-stage (OR 0.004, p < 0.001), T2W-signal entropy (OR 7.81, p = 0.0079) and T2W volume (OR 1.028, p = 0.0389) as the selected predictors. AUC in the study dataset was 0.88 and 0.83 after LOOCV. No PET/CT features were selected as predictors.
Conclusions
A multivariable model incorporating mrT-stage and quantitative parameters from baseline MRI can aid in identifying well-responding patients before the start of treatment. Addition of FDG-PET/CT is not beneficial.
Key Points
• A multivariable model incorporating the mrT-stage and quantitative features derived from baseline MRI can aid in identifying well-responding patients before the start of neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy.
• mrT-stage was the strongest predictor in the model and was complemented by the tumour volume and signal entropy calculated from T2W-MRI.
• Adding quantitative features derived from pre-treatment PET/CT or DWI did not contribute to the model’s predictive performance.
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Abbreviations
- ADC:
-
Apparent diffusion coefficient
- AIC:
-
Akaike Information Criterion
- AUC:
-
Area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve
- CRT:
-
Chemoradiotherapy
- CT:
-
Computed tomography
- DWI:
-
Diffusion-weighted imaging
- FDG:
-
Fluorodeoxyglucose; 2-deoxy-2-[18F]fluoro-D-glucose; 18F-FDG
- Gy:
-
Gray
- HU:
-
Hounsfield unit
- LARC:
-
Locally advanced rectal cancer
- LOOCV:
-
Leave-one-out cross-validation
- MRI:
-
Magnetic resonance imaging
- MTV:
-
Metabolic tumour volume
- OR:
-
Odds ratio
- PET/CT:
-
Positron-emission tomography/computed tomography
- SUV:
-
Standardised uptake value
- T2W:
-
T2-weighted
- TLG:
-
Total lesion glycolysis
- TRG:
-
Tumour regression grade
- W&W:
-
Watch-and-wait
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Funding
This study has received funding by the Dutch Cancer Society (project number 10138).
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The scientific guarantor of this publication is Dr. Doenja MJ Lambregts.
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The authors of this manuscript declare no relationships with any companies whose products or services may be related to the subject matter of the article.
Statistics and biometry
One of the authors, Mr. Sander Roberti, has significant statistical expertise.
Informed consent
Written informed consent was waived by the Institutional Review Boards (retrospective analysis of prospectively obtained observational data).
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Institutional Review Board approval was obtained.
Study subjects or cohorts overlap
Some study subjects or cohorts have been previously reported in:
Cusomano (2018) Radiol Med
Van Stiphout (2014) Radiother Oncol
Janssen (2012) Int J Rad Oncol Biol Phys
Van Stiphout (2011) Radiother Oncol
Janssen (2010) Int J Rad Oncol Biol Phys
Janssen (2010) Radiother Oncol
Lambregts (2011) Ann Surg Oncol
Lambregts (2015) Ann Surg
Martens (2015) Int J Radiat Oncol Biol Phys
Lambregts (2018) Dis Colon rectum
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• Retrospective
• Diagnostic or prognostic study
• Performed at one institution
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Schurink, N.W., Min, L.A., Berbee, M. et al. Value of combined multiparametric MRI and FDG-PET/CT to identify well-responding rectal cancer patients before the start of neoadjuvant chemoradiation. Eur Radiol 30, 2945–2954 (2020). https://doi.org/10.1007/s00330-019-06638-2
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00330-019-06638-2