Abstract
Objective
To determine which abdominal CT findings predict severe fibrosis and post-operative pain relief in chronic pancreatitis (CP).
Methods
Pre-operative abdominal CTs of 66 patients (mean age 52 ± 12 years, 53 % males) with painful CP who underwent the Whipple procedure (n = 32), Frey procedure (n = 32) or pancreatic head biopsy (n = 2), between 1/2003-3/2014, were evaluated. CT was evaluated for parenchymal calcifications, intraductal calculi, main pancreatic duct dilation (>5 mm), main pancreatic duct stricture, and abnormal side branch(es). The surgical histopathology was graded for fibrosis. CT findings were evaluated as predictors of severe fibrosis and post-operative pain relief using regression and area under receiver operating curve (AUC) analysis.
Results
Thirty-eight (58 %) patients had severe fibrosis. Parenchymal calcification(s) were an independent predictor of severe fibrosis (p = 0.03), and post-operative pain relief over a mean follow-up of 1-year (p = 0.04). Presence of >10 parenchymal calcifications had higher predictive accuracy for severe fibrosis than 1-10 parenchymal calcification(s) (AUC 0.88 vs. 0.59, p = 0.003). The predictive accuracy of >10 versus 1-10 parenchymal calcifications increased after adjusting for all other CT findings (AUC 0.89 vs. 0.63, p = 0.01).
Conclusion
Parenchymal calcification(s) independently predict severe fibrosis and are significantly associated with post-operative pain relief in CP. The presence of >10 parenchymal calcifications is a better predictor of severe fibrosis than 1-10 parenchymal calcification(s).
Key Points
• Parenchymal calcifications in chronic pancreatitis independently predict post-operative pain relief
• Intraductal calculi and MPD dilation are not associated with post-operative pain relief
• Better patient selection for pancreatic resection surgery in painful chronic pancreatitis
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Abbreviations
- AUC:
-
Area Under receiver operating Curve
- CECT:
-
Contrast Enhanced Computed Tomography
- CI:
-
Confidence Interval
- CP:
-
Chronic Pancreatitis
- CT:
-
Computed Tomography
- ERCP:
-
Endoscopic Retrograde Cholangio Pancreatography
- H&E:
-
Haematoxylin and Eosin
- MPD:
-
Main Pancreatic Duct
- OR:
-
Odds Ratio
- PACS:
-
Picture Archiving and Communication System
- SD:
-
Standard Deviation
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Acknowledgments
The scientific guarantor of this publication is Atif Zaheer. The authors of this manuscript declare relationships with the following companies: Vikesh K. Singh is a consultant for Abbvie, Santarus, Boston Scientific, Enteromedics, and Novo Nordisk. The authors of this manuscript declare no relationships with any companies whose products or services may be related to the subject matter of the article. This study has received funding by the Pancreatitis Research Fund at the Johns Hopkins Medical Institutions (VKS). One of the authors has significant statistical expertise. No complex statistical methods were necessary for this paper. Institutional Review Board approval was obtained. Written informed consent was not required for this study because it is an anonymous retrospective chart review. Written informed consent was waived by the Institutional Review Board. Methodology: retrospective, diagnostic or prognostic study, performed at one institution.
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Sinha, A., Singh, V.K., Cruise, M. et al. Abdominal CT predictors of fibrosis in patients with chronic pancreatitis undergoing surgery. Eur Radiol 25, 1339–1346 (2015). https://doi.org/10.1007/s00330-014-3526-x
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00330-014-3526-x