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Long-Term Survival and Prognostic Factors of Pulmonary Metastasectomy in Liver Cancer: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

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Abstract

Background

Lung is the most common extrahepatic metastatic organ of liver cancer. Surgical resection is a common local treatment for pulmonary metastasis. But the long-term prognosis of pulmonary metastasectomy varies greatly due to the small sample size and different results of previous studies. Therefore, we conducted this meta-analysis to evaluate the combined 5-year overall survival (OS) rate and prognostic factors after pulmonary metastasectomy in liver cancer.

Methods

Key words such as liver cancer pulmonary metastasis and metastasectomy were retrieved firstly in PubMed, Cochrane Library, Embase and Chinese Wanfang databases. Eligible studies were identified by manual searches. Each included study should report 5-year OS rate and/or prognostic factors of pulmonary metastasectomy. Newcastle–Ottawa Scale was used for quality assessment, and heterogeneity was estimated by I2. We calculated the combined 5-year survival rates and determined the prognostic factors for OS by the hazard ratios (HR) and number of events.

Results

Seventeen cohort studies with a total of 513 patients were included in this meta-analysis. The combined 5-year survival rates after pulmonary metastasectomy were 33% [95% confidence interval (95% CI) 29–37%]. The poor prognostic factors were disease-free interval (DFI) < 12 months (HR = 2.421 95% CI 1.384 4.236) and existence of cirrhosis (HR = 1.936 95% CI 1.031 3.636).

Conclusion

The 5-year OS rate of patients with pulmonary metastasectomy after resection of primary liver cancer is 33%. DFI < 12 months and existence of cirrhosis are probably poor prognostic factors.

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Acknowledgements

We acknowledge Wanli Kang, from the Epidemiological Research Center of Beijing Tuberculosis and Thoracic Tumor Research Institute for his careful revision and statistical guidance of the manuscript. Funding was provided by Capital Medical University (Grant No. 11723065).

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Corresponding author

Correspondence to Shuku Liu.

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The authors declare that they have no conflict of interest.

Appendix

Appendix

See Figs. 4, 5 and 6 and see Tables 3, 4.

Fig. 4
figure 4

The combined 5-year overall survival rate after removal of Han’s study

Fig. 5
figure 5

The effect of DFI on overall survival calculated by 5-year OS and number of events in other seven studies

Fig. 6
figure 6

Funnel plot for evaluation of the publication bias for 5-year survival rate

Table 3 Quality assessment of included studies using the Newcastle–Ottawa Scale (NOS) for cohort studies
Table 4 Overall survival rate and no. of events in group DFI < 12 months and DFI ≥ 12 months

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Wang, C., Yang, L., Liang, Z. et al. Long-Term Survival and Prognostic Factors of Pulmonary Metastasectomy in Liver Cancer: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis. World J Surg 42, 2153–2163 (2018). https://doi.org/10.1007/s00268-017-4431-7

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