Abstract
Quorum sensing is used in many biological systems to increase decision accuracy. In quorum sensing, the probability that an individual adopts a behavior is a nonlinear function of the number of other individuals adopting this behavior. From an optimal decision-making perspective, individuals should adjust their quorum threshold to the particulars of the decision problem. Recent work predicts that a key factor here is the quality of social information. In particular, it is predicted that individuals should adjust their quorum thresholds such that it lies in between the average true and false positive rate of the other group members. We here test this prediction with a predator detection experiment. First, human groups observed a group of animals (projected on a white screen) in which a predator was present or absent, and each individual made an independent decision to escape or not. Second, individuals received social information on the decisions of their group members, after which individuals decided again. This social information, however, did not represent their own decisions but consisted of responses that either came from a high-performing group (i.e., many individuals detecting the predator) or from a low-performing group (i.e., few individuals detecting the predator). We found that individuals adaptively adjust their quorum threshold to the quality of the social information: when receiving social information from high-performing groups, individuals employed higher quorum thresholds than when receiving information from low-performing groups. Our study demonstrates that humans can quickly evaluate the quality of publicly available information and adaptively adjust their decision rules.
Similar content being viewed by others
References
Ame JM, Rivault C, Deneubourg JL (2004) Cockroach aggregation based on strain odour recognition. Anim Behav 68:793–801
Beauchamp G (2010) Determinants of false alarms in staging flocks of semipalmated sandpipers. Behav Ecol 21:584–587
Beauchamp G, Ruxton GD (2007) False alarms and the evolution of antipredator vigilance. Anim Behav 74:1199–1206
Bell MBV, Radford AN, Rose R, Wade HM, Ridley AR (2009) The value of constant surveillance in a risky environment. Proc R Soc Lond B 276:2997–3005
Bonabeau E, Theraulaz G, Deneubourg JL, Aron S, Camazine S (1997) Self-organization in social insects. Trends Ecol Evol 12:188–193
Chittka L, Skorupski P, Raine NE (2009) Speed–accuracy tradeoffs in animal decision making. Trends Ecol Evol 24:400–407
Conradt L (2012) Models in animal collective decision-making: information uncertainty and conflicting preferences. Interf Focus 2:226–240
Conradt L, Roper TJ (2009) Conflicts of interest and the evolution of decision sharing. Philos Trans R Soc B 364:807–819
Couzin ID, Krause J, Franks NR, Levin SA (2005) Effective leadership and decision-making in animal groups on the move. Nature 433:513–516
Couzin ID, Ioannou CC, Demirel G, Gross T, Torney CJ, Hartnett A, Conradt L, Levin SA, Leonard NE (2011) Uninformed individuals promote democratic consensus in animal groups. Science 334:1578–1580
Dall SRX, Giraldeau LA, Olsson O, McNamara JM, Stephens DW (2005) Information and its use by animals in evolutionary ecology. Trends Ecol Evol 20:187–193
Danchin E, Giraldeau LA, Valone TJ, Wagner RH (2004) Public information: from nosy neighbors to cultural evolution. Science 305:487–491
Deneubourg JL, Goss S (1989) Collective patterns and decision-making. Ethol Ecol Evol 1:295–311
Dingemanse NJ, Wolf M (2013) Between-individual differences in behavioural plasticity within populations: causes and consequences. Anim Behav 85:1031–1039
Dornhaus A, Franks NR (2006) Colony size affects collective decision-making in the ant Temnothorax albipennis. Insect Soc 53:420–427
Dornhaus A, Franks NR, Hawkins RM, Shere HNS (2004) Ants move to improve: colonies of Leptothorax albipennis emigrate whenever they find a superior nest site. Anim Behav 67:959–963
Dyer JRG, Ioannou CC, Morrell LJ, Croft DP, Couzin ID, Waters DA, Krause J (2008) Consensus decision making in human crowds. Anim Behav 75:461–470
Franks NR, Pratt SC, Mallon EB, Britton NF, Sumpter DJT (2002) Information flow, opinion polling and collective intelligence in house-hunting social insects. Philos Trans R Soc B 357:1567–1583
Franks NR, Dornhaus A, Fitzsimmons JP, Stevens M (2003) Speed versus accuracy in collective decision making. Proc R Soc Lond B 270:2457–2463
Franks NR, Dornhaus A, Best CS, Jones EL (2006) Decision making by small and large house-hunting ant colonies: one size fits all. Anim Behav 72:611–616
Franks NR, Dechaume-Moncharmont FX, Hanmore E, Reynolds JK (2009) Speed versus accuracy in decision-making ants: expediting politics and policy implementation. Philos Trans R Soc B 364:845–852
Hamel JA, Cocroft RB (2012) Negative feedback from maternal signals reduces false alarms by collectively signalling offspring. Proc R Soc Lond B 279:3820–3826
Harcourt JL, Ang TZ, Sweetman G, Johnstone RA, Manica A (2009) Social feedback and the emergence of leaders and followers. Curr Biol 19:248–252
Hastie R, Penrod SD, Pennington N (1983) Inside the jury. Harvard University Press, Cambridge
Holland PW (1986) Statistics and causal inference. J Am Stat Assoc 81:945–960
Hoogland JL (1981) The evolution of coloniality in white-tailed and black-tailed prairie dogs (Sciuridae: Cynomys leucurus and C. ludovicianus). Ecology 62:252–272
Kameda T, Wisdom T, Toyokawa W, Inukai K (2012) Is consensus-seeking unique to humans? A selective review of animal group decision-making and its implications for (human) social psychology. Group Process Integr 15:673–689
Kerr NL, Tindale RS (2004) Group performance and decision making. Annu Rev Psychol 55:623–655
King AJ, Cowlishaw G (2007) When to use social information: the advantage of large group size in individual decision making. Biol Lett 3:137–139
Krause J, Ruxton GD, Krause S (2010) Swarm intelligence in animals and humans. Trends Ecol Evol 25:28–34
Krause J, Winfield AFT, Deneubourg JL (2011) Interactive robots in experimental biology. Trends Ecol Evol 26:369–375
Kurvers RHJM, Eijkelenkamp B, van Oers K, van Lith B, van Wieren SE, Ydenberg RC, Prins HHT (2009) Personality differences explain leadership in barnacle geese. Anim Behav 78:447–453
Kurvers RHJM, Prins HHT, van Wieren SE, van Oers K, Nolet BA, Ydenberg RC (2010a) The effect of personality on social foraging: shy barnacle geese scrounge more. Proc R Soc Lond B 277:601–608
Kurvers RHJM, van Oers K, Nolet BA, Jonker RM, van Wieren SE, Prins HHT, Ydenberg RC (2010b) Personality predicts the use of social information. Ecol Lett 13:829–837
Lima SL (1995) Collective detection of predatory attack by social foragers: fraught with ambiguity? Anim Behav 50:1097–1108
Macmillan NA, Creelman CD (2005) Detection theory: a user's guide, 2nd edn. Lawrence Erlbaum Associates, Mahwah
Manel S, Williams HC, Ormerod SJ (2001) Evaluating presence–absence models in ecology: the need to account for prevalence. J Appl Ecol 38:921–931
Pratt SC, Sumpter DJT (2006) A tunable algorithm for collective decision-making. Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A 103:15906–15910
Pratt SC, Mallon EB, Sumpter DJT, Franks NR (2002) Quorum sensing, recruitment, and collective decision-making during colony emigration by the ant Leptothorax albipennis. Behav Ecol Sociobiol 52:117–127
Proctor CJ, Broom M, Ruxton GD (2001) Modelling antipredator vigilance and flight response in group foragers when warning signals are ambiguous. J Theor Biol 211:409–417
Roberts G (1997) How many birds does it take to put a flock to flight? Anim Behav 54:1517–1522
Seeley TD, Visscher PK (2004) Quorum sensing during nest-site selection by honeybee swarms. Behav Ecol Sociobiol 56:594–601
Sirot E (2006) Social information, antipredatory vigilance and flight in bird flocks. Anim Behav 72:373–382
Sirot E (2012) Negotiation may lead selfish individuals to cooperate: the example of the collective vigilance game. Proc R Soc Lond B 279:2862–2867
Sirot E, Touzalin F (2009) Coordination and synchronization of vigilance in groups of prey: the role of collective detection and predators' preference for stragglers. Am Nat 173:47–59
Sumpter DJT, Pratt SC (2009) Quorum responses and consensus decision making. Philos Trans R Soc B 364:743–753
Sumpter DJT, Zabzina N, Nicolis SC (2012) Six predictions about the decision making of animal and human groups. Manag Decis Econ 33:295–309
Swets JA (1988) Measuring the accuracy of diagnostic systems. Science 240:1285–1293
Valone TJ (2007) From eavesdropping on performance to copying the behavior of others: a review of public information use. Behav Ecol Sociobiol 62:1–14
Visscher PK (2007) Group decision making in nest-site selection among social insects. Annu Rev Entomol 52:255–275
Ward AJW, Sumpter DJT, Couzin ID, Hart PJB, Krause J (2008) Quorum decision-making facilitates information transfer in fish shoals. Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A 105:6948–6953
Ward AJW, Herbert-Read JE, Sumpter DJT, Krause J (2011) Fast and accurate decisions through collective vigilance in fish shoals. Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A 108:2312–2315
Wiley RH (1994) Errors, exaggeration, and deception in animal communication. In: Real L (ed) Behavioral mechanisms in ecology. University of Chicago Press, Chicago
Wolf M, McNamara JM (2013) Adaptive between-individual differences in social competence. Trends Ecol Evol 28:253–254
Wolf M, Kurvers RHJM, Ward AJW, Krause S, Krause J (2013) Accurate decisions in an uncertain world: collective cognition increases true positives while decreasing false positives. Proc R Soc Lond B 280:20122777
Acknowledgments
We thank Lysanne Snijders for help in running the experiments and Marc Naguib and Frank van Langevelde for hosting the experiments. We thank two anonymous reviewers for improving this manuscript. RHJMK is funded by an NWO Rubicon grant (825.11.014).
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Corresponding author
Additional information
Communicated by D. P. Watts
Electronic supplementary material
Below is the link to the electronic supplementary material.
ESM 1
(PDF 221 kb)
Rights and permissions
About this article
Cite this article
Kurvers, R.H.J.M., Wolf, M. & Krause, J. Humans use social information to adjust their quorum thresholds adaptively in a simulated predator detection experiment. Behav Ecol Sociobiol 68, 449–456 (2014). https://doi.org/10.1007/s00265-013-1659-6
Received:
Revised:
Accepted:
Published:
Issue Date:
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00265-013-1659-6