Some proponents of positron imaging have suggested that single-photon imaging procedures would be totally replaced by PET imaging [13]. Proponents and opponents of such a scenario have each argued about the relative merits of the two modalities, and the issues involved in the clinician's choice in different health-care systems [47]. These issues include availability of a PET alternative to a planar/SPECT procedure, regulatory approval of the radiopharmaceuticals and procedures, cost/reimbursement issues, and radiation protection for personnel.

The growth of PET examinations in recent years has been impressive, although at different rates in different parts of the world. In a country where diffusion of clinical PET started early, such as the USA, the number of PET examinations increased by about 35% in the period 2005–2008, although with a declining computed annual growth rate (CAGR) from 14.5% in 2006 to 4.4% in 2008 (source: IMV, Des Plaines, IL). Where diffusion of clinical PET started more recently, as in Western Europe, the number of PET procedures increased by 82% with a smaller decline in CAGR, from 29% to 21%, over the same period (sources: Medical Options, London, UK; European Association of Nuclear Medicine). Contrary to what one would expect for PET gradually replacing single-photon imaging, this increase in PET has not been mirrored by a corresponding decrease in planar/SPECT examinations.

This confirms the overall vitality of functional imaging with nuclear medicine. In fact, the only single-photon procedure that has declined consistently (by 7–8%) is ventilation/perfusion lung scanning for pulmonary embolism, clearly due to competition from multidetector spiral-CT pulmonary angiography [8] and not from PET. The number of all other planar/SPECT procedures has remained stable in Europe or has actually increased, either moderately (+2% for brain and myocardial perfusion), or markedly: +17.4% for infection/inflammation imaging, +17.5% for sentinel node scintigraphy, +42.1% for brain receptor imaging.

In this pattern one can see the effects of an ongoing cross-fertilization already in place between the two imaging methodologies. Transfer of PET/CT cross-sectional imaging expertise to SPECT/CT has clearly revitalized the latter for both preclinical and clinical applications [911]. The advantages include not only improved topographic localization compared with radionuclide-based transmission/emission imaging, but also more accurate attenuation correction making quantitation possible also with SPECT [12]. Therefore, future scenarios for nuclear medicine are taking on new perspectives, especially considering that the shortage of molybdenum-99 [13] seems now to be solved [14]. This change in perspective is reflected by a recent surge in new SPECT/CT installations; in the third quarter of 2010 a major manufacturer has seen revenues from sales of SPECT installations exceed those from PET installations for the first time in years (personal communication), a large proportion of which are multimodality SPECT/CT devices. Likewise, transfer of conventional SPECT studies to PET/CT is being explored with a synergistic flow in the opposite direction with questions such as: "How might we image infection and/or inflammation with PET/CT?" and "What would a high resolution ventilation/perfusion PET/CT lung scan look like?".

PET and SPECT are synergistic for introducing new radiopharmaceuticals for both preclinical and clinical purposes, as new agents are now developed in parallel for positron and for single-photon emitters [1520]. A common approach to minimizing radiation dose to patients while enhancing image quality is also being adopted for PET and SPECT [21]. An example of this can be seen in the recent development of solid-state detectors for cardiac imaging, where images recorded with lower injected doses have diagnostic quality equal to that obtained with higher doses and conventional gamma camera SPECT imaging [22].

Thus, the real issue is not which radionuclide imaging procedure will prevail, but rather how to make the best possible use of what is available now and for the foreseeable mid-term future. Besides the uncertainties surrounding approval and wide availability of new radiopharmaceuticals, the overall costs to the health-care systems that a total shift from planar/SPECT to PET imaging would imply must be considered. In this regard, although until recently we had assumed that PET radiotracers would always be more expensive than the single-photon tracers based on 99mTc-labelling, recent events (such as the unexpected worldwide molybdenum-99 shortage) may cause us to question this received wisdom.

This point is well illustrated by the case of PET with 18F-fluoride advocated to replace 99mTc-MDP bone scintigraphy [23]. In Europe about 2.5 million 99mTc-MDP bone scans are currently performed per year. Replacing those procedures with sodium 18F-fluoride PET/CT would result in a sudden increase in the current cost for health-care by a factor 25–40%. Yet, the impact of such a shift on patient management has still to be determined. Moreover, additional health-care costs would result from installing the PET/CT tomographs required to accommodate the large number of new PET procedures (by a factor of >10). Conversely, the greater the utilization of the PET/CT scanner, the less expensive (per patient) each examination would become.

In conclusion, in this time of rapid changes in health-care delivery [24], we need to build on the strengths of radionuclide imaging by both positron and single photon techniques. This is not a time for internecine warfare lest we bring a plague on both our houses. We need to commence an era of constructive collaboration, to ensure prosperity and growth of the entire nuclear medicine community.