Skip to main content

Advertisement

Log in

Growth performance of Indian states

  • Published:
Empirical Economics Aims and scope Submit manuscript

Abstract

This article is concerned with evaluating the growth performance of states in the Indian Federation. This was sought to be done by estimating growth equations for a group of 19 states in India as well as sub-groups of these states during the period from 1981–1982 to 2004–2005. It has been found that, systematically, the contribution of educational attainment (social sector capital) to the growth process is larger than the contribution of physical capital. An important concern in the article is whether growth regressions estimated for a large group of 19 states can be replicated for smaller sub-groups. The problem of parameter heterogeneity is investigated, and the results of this study show that there is considerable parameter heterogeneity in the growth equations across groups. Rates of convergence estimated in this article also vary from extremely low levels (in the absence of the education variable) to more than 10% (in the presence of the education variable). The results of this study thus point to the great importance of education in improving the growth performance of Indian states.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this article

Price excludes VAT (USA)
Tax calculation will be finalised during checkout.

Instant access to the full article PDF.

Similar content being viewed by others

References

  • Ahluwalia M (2002) State-level performance under economic reforms. In: Krueger AO (eds) Economic policy reforms and the Indian economy. Oxford University Press, New Delhi, pp 91–125

    Google Scholar 

  • Aiyar S (2001) Growth theory and convergence across Indian states: a panel study. In: Callen T, Reynolds P, Towe C (eds) India at the crossroads. International Monetary Fund, Washington, pp 143–169

    Google Scholar 

  • Aiyar S, Dalgaard CJ (2005) Total factor productivity revisited: a dual approach to development accounting. IMF Staff Pap 52: 82–102

    Google Scholar 

  • Attanasio OP, Picci L, Scorcu AE (2000) Saving, growth, and investment: a macroeconomic analysis using a panel of countries. Rev Econ Stat 82: 182–211

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Barro RJ (1991) Economic growth in a cross section of countries. Q J Econ CVI: 407–444

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Barro RJ (1996) Democracy and growth. J Econ Growth 1: 1–27

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Barro RJ, Lee JW (1993) International comparisons of educational attainment. J Monet Econ 32: 363–394

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Barro RJ, Sala-i-Martin X (1995) Economic growth. McGraw Hill, New York

    Google Scholar 

  • Brock WA, Durlauf SN (2001) Growth empirics and reality. World Bank Econ Rev 15: 229–272

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Canova F, Marcet A (1995) The poor stay poor: non-convergence across countries and regions. Universitat Pompeu Fabra Economics working paper no. 137, Barcelona

  • Cashin P, Sahay R (1996) Internal migration, center-state grants and economic growth in the states of India. IMF Staff Pap 43: 123–171

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Central Statistical Organisation (2008) State domestic product (state series). Ministry of Statistics and Plan Implementation. Government of India, New Delhi. http://mospi.nic.in/mospi_cso_rept_pubn.htm

  • Durlauf SN, Johnson PA (1995) Multiple regimes and cross-country behaviour. J Appl Econom 10: 365–384

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • EPW Research Foundation (2007) Annual survey of industries 1973–74 to 2003–04. Sameeksha Trust, Mumbai

  • Filipe J, McCombie JSL (2003) Some methodological problems with neoclassical analysis of the East Asian miracle. Cambridge J Econ 27: 695–721

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Goldsmith AH (2008) Rethinking the relation between government spending and economic growth: a composition approach to fiscal policy instruction for principles students. J Econ Edu 39: 153–173

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Gwartney JD, Holcombe RG, Lawson RA (2006) Institutions and the impact of investment on growth. Kyklos 59: 255–273

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Harberger AC (1987) Comment on K. Dervis and P.A. Petri, The macroeconomics of successful development: what are the lessons?. In: Fischer S (eds) Macroeconomics annual 1987. MIT Press, Cambridge, pp 255–258

    Google Scholar 

  • Harrison A (1996) Openness and growth: a time-series, cross-country analysis for developing countries. J Dev Econ 48: 419–447

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Im KS, Pesaran MH, Shin Y (2003) Testing for unit roots in heterogeneous panels. J Econom 115: 53–74

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Islam N (1995) Growth empirics: a panel data approach. Q J Econ 110: 1127–1170

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Islam N (2003) What have we learned from the convergence debate. J Econ Surv 17: 309–362

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Kalaitzidakis P, Mamuneas T, Stenos T (2001) Measures of human capital and nonlinearities in economic growth. J Econ Growth 6: 229–254

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Kochhar K, Kumar U, Rajan R, Subramanian A, Tokatlidis I (2006) India’s pattern of development: what happened, what follows IMF working paper no. 06/22. International Monetary Fund, Washington

  • Koo J, Kim Y-Y, Kim S (1998) Regional income convergence: evidence from a rapidly growing economy. J Econ Dev 23: 191–203

    Google Scholar 

  • Levine R, Renelt D (1992) A sensitivity analysis of cross-country growth regressions. Am Econ Rev 82: 942–963

    Google Scholar 

  • Mankiw NG, Romer D, Weil DN (1992) A contribution to the empirics of economic growth. Q J Econ 107: 407–437

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • McQuinn K, Whelan K (2007) Solow (1956) as a model of cross-country growth dynamics. Oxf Rev Econ Policy 23: 45–62

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Ministry of Human Resources Development (1987, 1988, 1991, 1998, 2002, 2005) Education statistics in India. Government of India, New Delhi

  • Mirestean A, Tsangarides C (2009) Growth determinants revisited. IMF working paper. WP/09/268

  • Nagraj R, Varoudakis A, Veganzones MA (2000) Long run growth trends and convergence across Indian states. J Int Dev 12: 45–70

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Nahum R (2008) Income inequality and growth: a panel study of Swedish counties 1960–2000. Working paper 8. Department of Economics, Uppsala Universitet

  • Pedroni P (1999) Critical values for cointegration tests in heterogeneous panels with multiple regressors. Oxf Bull Econ Stat 61(Special issue): 653–669

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Pedroni P (2000) Fully modified OLS for heterogeneous cointegrated panels. In: Baltagi B et al (eds) Nonstationary panels, panel cointegration, and dynamic panels. Advances in econometrics, vol 15. Elsevier, Amsterdam, pp 93–130

    Chapter  Google Scholar 

  • Pesaran HM (2007) A simple panel unit root test in the presence of cross-section dependence. J Appl Econom 22: 265–312

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Pesaran HM, Smith RP (1995) Estimating long-run relationships from dynamic heterogeneous panels. J Econom 68: 79–113

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Pesaran HM, Shin MY, Smith RP (1999) Pooled mean group estimation of dynamic heterogeneous panels. J Am Stat Assoc 94: 621–634

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Phillips PCB, Perron P (1988) Testing for a unit root in time series regressions. Biometrika 75: 335–346

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Phillips PCB, Hansen BE (1990) Statistical inferences in instrumental variables regression with I(1) processes. Rev Econ Stud 57: 99–125

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Purfield C (2006) Mind the gap—is economic growth in India leaving some states behind? IMF working paper. WP/06/103

  • Rousseau PL, Wachtel P (2000) Equity markets and growth: cross-country evidence on timing and outcomes 1980–1995. J Bank Finance 24: 1933–1957

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Rowthorn R (1999) Unemployment, wage bargaining and capital-labour substitution. Cambridge J Econ 23: 413–425

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Sala-i-Martin X (1996) The classical approach to convergence analysis. Econ J 106: 1019–1036

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Savvides A, Stengos T (2009) Human capital and economic growth. Stanford University Press, Stanford

    Google Scholar 

  • Zuleta H (2007) Why labour income share seem to be constant?. J Int Trade Econ Dev 16(4): 551–557

    Article  Google Scholar 

Download references

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Corresponding author

Correspondence to Ajit Karnik.

Electronic Supplementary Material

The Below is the Electronic Supplementary Material.

ESM 1 (PDF 93 kb)

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

About this article

Cite this article

Karnik, A., Lalvani, M. Growth performance of Indian states. Empir Econ 42, 235–259 (2012). https://doi.org/10.1007/s00181-010-0433-0

Download citation

  • Received:

  • Accepted:

  • Published:

  • Issue Date:

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00181-010-0433-0

Keywords

Navigation