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The effect of schooling on teenage childbearing: evidence using changes in compulsory education laws

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Abstract

A strong negative correlation is often found between schooling and teenage childbearing. The question at the center of this research is whether this correlation represents a causal relation. This paper uses changes in compulsory schooling laws in Great Britain and Northern Ireland to purge schooling estimates of biases resulting from individual-specific error components correlated with education. The results suggest that increased schooling does appear to reduce the incidence of teenage childbearing. Moreover, the results serve to highlight an important change in the impact of schooling on teenage childbearing following the legislation on contraception in the late 1960s.

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Notes

  1. The estimates are very similar if a quadratic or quartic polynomial in year-age-14 is used.

  2. Table 6 in the “Appendix” provides the analogous marginal effects from probit models (assuming schooling is exogenous).

  3. We also fitted a linear function in year-age-14 to capture the main trend over this period. This alternative specification generates similar results as those reported in Table 5.

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Acknowledgement

I gratefully acknowledge two anonymous referees for very helpful comments.

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Correspondence to Mary A. Silles.

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Responsible editor: Christian Dustmann

Appendix

Appendix

Table 6 Marginal effects from probit models for Great Britain and Northern Ireland

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Silles, M.A. The effect of schooling on teenage childbearing: evidence using changes in compulsory education laws. J Popul Econ 24, 761–777 (2011). https://doi.org/10.1007/s00148-010-0334-8

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  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00148-010-0334-8

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