Introduction

International comparisons of mortality data provide an important resource for formulating hypotheses for epidemiological studies. To achieve valid international comparisons, the WHO established a standard cause-of-death (COD) certification format [1]. The instructions indicate that the diagnosis in line (a) is due to the diagnosis in line (b), which is due to the diagnosis in line (c), etc., with the last used line in Part I indicating the underlying-cause-of-death (UCOD). The UCOD is defined as ‘the disease or injury which initiated the train of morbid events leading directly to death’. The UCOD is used to tabulate official mortality statistics [1]. While the format for COD certification is standardised, physicians often fail to follow instructions and record the COD statement improperly [2, 3]. The problems are particularly noteworthy for diabetes-related deaths, because it is not always obvious whether diabetes should appear in the causal sequence or whether it should be reported in Part II as a contributing condition [4, 5].

The present study is part of the International Collaborative Effort (ICE) on Automating Mortality Statistics initiated by the US National Center for Health Statistics [6]. One important goal of the ICE is to promote better comparability of mortality statistics between countries. Evaluating the comparability of diabetes-related mortality across countries is one important topic in the ICE. Previous studies associated with the ICE have also revealed that physicians from different countries tend to have different habits with regard to the reporting of diabetes on the death certificate, e.g. whether diabetes is reported in Part I or Part II [7], and whether associated cardiovascular diseases are reported along with diabetes [8]. These differences can have a significant effect on international comparisons of diabetes mortality. The aim of this study was to assess differences in diabetes-related COD statements that tend to substantially affect the selection of the UCOD.

Subjects and methods

Electronic multiple-cause-of-death data for Sweden (2000), Taiwan (2001) and the USA (2001) were used for analysis. All three countries use the same automated coding system, i.e. Automated Classification of Medical Entities (ACME), to assign the UCOD, by which the inter-coder variability in the selection of the UCOD could be eliminated. ACME records each entered diagnosis and its relative location on the death certificate. With this kind of detailed information in electronic form we were able to analyse the large amount of physicians’ COD statements with the help of computer algorithms [9].

The following two inappropriate diabetes-related COD statements were examined because they are likely to result in variation in the selection of the UCOD.

Reporting two or more diagnoses per line in Part I of the death certificate We used the information of the exact location of each diagnosis on the death certificate to determine if the certifying physician reported two or more diagnoses per line in Part I, e.g. line (b) in Examples 1 and 2 (Table 1). The more diagnoses reported per line, the more the selection rules come into play when selecting the UCOD and the more likely that the UCOD selected according to the rules did not reflect the real intention of the physician.

Table 1 Examples of inappropriate cause-of-death statements in Part I of the death certificate

Reporting incorrect causal sequences among reported diagnoses in Part I of the death certificate We first used an algorithm to single out death certificates in which the selection of the UCOD was not based on the General Principle. The algorithm compared the first diagnosis in the last used line in Part I (i.e. hypertension in Example 1 and Example 2, diabetes in Example 3 [Table 1]) with the UCOD ultimately selected by ACME (i.e. hypertension in Example 1, diabetes in Example 2 and lung cancer in Example 3). For those cases with differences (e.g. Example 2 and Example 3), the first two authors (T. H. Lu and P. Y. Hsu) then checked the ACME process messages to confirm if the causal sequences among reported diagnoses were highly improbable. The key ACME process message to confirm the incorrect causal sequence in Example 2 and 3 can be illustrated as follows: Example 2: Is E419 (diabetes) due to I10 (hypertension)? NO; Example 3: Is C62 (lung cancer) due to E419 (diabetes)? NO.

The confirmation was done by checking with the help of a computer whether there was ‘NO’ in the ACME process message for each case.

The incorrect causal sequences were further classified into two types: (1) other diagnoses incorrectly reported as the cause(s) of diabetes — e.g. hypertension incorrectly reported as the cause of diabetes in Example 2; and (2) diabetes incorrectly reported as the cause of other diagnoses — e.g. diabetes incorrectly reported as the cause of lung cancer in Example 3.

Results

During the periods included in this study, 93,461 death certificates were issued in Sweden in 2000, 126,667 in Taiwan in 2001 and 2,419,960 in the USA in 2001. Diabetes was mentioned in a similar percentage of death certificates in Sweden (9%; 8,255 of 93,461), Taiwan (10%; 12,827 of 126,667) and the USA (9%; 218,347 of 2,419,960). However, in these cases, Taiwanese physicians were much more likely to report diabetes in Part I of the death certificates (70%; 8,934 of 12,827) than their counterparts in Sweden (21%; 1,728 of 8,255) and the USA (36%; 79,488 of 218,347).

As shown in Table 2, of those deaths for which diabetes was reported in Part I of the death certificates, American physicians (19%; 15,278 of 79,488) were much less likely to report two or more diagnoses per line than physicians in Sweden (46%; 794 of 1,728) and Taiwan (56%; 4,958 of 8,934). Swedish physicians (5%; 79 of 1,728) were less likely to report incorrect causal sequences than were their counterparts in Taiwan (21%; 1,893 of 8,934) and the USA (28%; 21,835 of 79,488).

Table 2 Frequency of inappropriate diabetes-related cause-of-death statements among those deaths in which diabetes was reported in Part I of the death certificate: Sweden, 2000; Taiwan, 2001; and USA, 2001

About three-quarters of the incorrect causal sequences involved incorrectly reporting other conditions (mainly cardiovascular diseases) as the cause of diabetes. Hypertension and acute myocardial infarction were the two conditions most often reported as the cause of diabetes. Diabetes was more likely to be incorrectly reported as the cause of infectious diseases, such as HIV and tuberculosis, cancers and chronic obstructive pulmonary diseases.

Discussion

Our findings reveal important differences in diabetes-related COD statements for Sweden, Taiwan and the USA. American physicians were less likely than those in Sweden and Taiwan to report two or more diagnoses per line. Swedish physicians, on the other hand, were less likely to report incorrect causal sequences than their counterparts in Taiwan and the USA.

Why do physicians often report two or more diagnoses per line? A likely explanation is that multiple diseases and complications often co-exist with diabetes at the time of death, which makes the determination of a single causal sequence difficult. A previous study revealed that if there were two competing CODs, e.g. diabetes and acute myocardial infarction, or a chronic disease with acute complications, e.g. diabetes with urinary tract infection resulting in sepsis, the variations in COD statements among participating physicians increased [10]. Therefore, multiple diseases in one line may reflect the certifier’s uncertainty about the UCOD determination.

What is the impact of certifying two or more diagnoses per line? This certification practice would complicate the selection of the UCOD and, as a result, the selected UCOD might not reflect the real intention of the certifying physician. It may be that the physician’s intended UCOD in Example 1 was diabetes; however, he/she reported diabetes as the second diagnosis on the last used line. As a result, the UCOD selected by ACME would not be diabetes.

A possible explanation for the relatively high percentage of incorrect causal sequences among reported diagnoses is that physicians tend to overlook the instructions. Another possibility is that some physicians copy the layout of the discharge diagnoses from the medical record directly onto the death certificate. The layout of discharge diagnoses is based on the reason for admission and the severity of diseases, which is quite different from the logic on which the UCOD is based.

One limitation of this study was that the quality of data transfer from death certificates to the ACME system might be different in the three countries studied. Each country routinely sampled some death certificates to assess typographical errors in transferring reported information on death certificates, but no exact figures of reliability were available.

In conclusion, we found substantial international differences in certification practices regarding diabetes-related COD statements among physicians in Sweden, Taiwan and the USA. Given that such inappropriate COD statements can have a substantial impact on UCOD selection, differences in diabetes mortality statistics between the three countries should be interpreted cautiously. This study also highlights the use of ACME to help to identify questionable death certificates for query back to the certifying physicians. Clarification of the intention of the certifier in cases where the COD statement is incorrectly or unclearly reported has the potential to significantly improve the overall quality of COD statistics.