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A Statistical Investigation of the Earthquake Predictions Using LURR

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Abstract

In terms of the spatial scanning of LURR (Load-Unload Response Ratio), we have been predicting the seismic tendency within the next year for the mainland of China from 1995 to 2003. In order to make the quantitative retrospective assessment of LURR method, we compare the results with Poisson null hypothesis. The results show that the prediction by LURR method is much better than Poisson hypothesis.

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Authors and Affiliations

  1. China Earthquake Networks Center, CEA (China Earthquake Administration), Beijing, 100036, China

    Keyin Peng & Xiangchu Yin

  2. LNM (Laboratory for Non-linear Mechanics), Institute of Mechanics, CAS, Beijing, 100080, China

    Xiangchu Yin & Lang-Ping Zhang

  3. Institute of Geophysics, CSB, Beijing, 100084

    Xiangchu Yin

Authors
  1. Keyin Peng
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  2. Xiangchu Yin
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  3. Lang-Ping Zhang
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Correspondence to Keyin Peng.

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Peng, K., Yin, X. & Zhang, LP. A Statistical Investigation of the Earthquake Predictions Using LURR. Pure appl. geophys. 163, 2353–2362 (2006). https://doi.org/10.1007/s00024-006-0124-0

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  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00024-006-0124-0

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