Abstract
It is widely recognized that population projections are increasingly used in formulating policy in many public and private sectors. However, little information exists on the nature of the projections or their users. This paper reports the results of a survey conducted to rectify this situation. The results confirm that the applications of projections are very broad and that the prime area of increase has been in small-area projections. At this level many users make their own projections rather than use official projections and the paper reviews the methodology used to make these projections. A number of suggestions are made for improving communication between national and subnational producers and local users.
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References
Diamond, I., H. Joshi and J. O’Brien. 1990.Uses of Demographic Projections in UK and Australia: A Bibliography. London: Department of Economics, Birkbeck College, University of London.
Joshi, H. and I. Diamond. 1990. Who needs to know: past, present and future uses of population projections. InPopulation Projections: Trends, Methods and Uses. O.P.C.S. Occasional Paper. London: Office of Population Censuses and Surveys.
Pollard, A.H., F. Yusuf and G.N. Pollard. 1990.Demographic Techniques. 3rd Edition. London: Pergamon.
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We would like to thank the Australian Population Association, and in particular the Secretary, Dianne Rudd, for providing us with address labels of members of the Association. We would also like to thank the Australian Bureau of Statistics, in particular Shail Jain, for advice on the development of the questionnaire. The comments of the two anonymous referees were very helpful. Finally we wish to thank our respondents for their co-operation, and especially those who wrote to encourage us in this work.
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Diamond, I., Tesfaghiorghis, H. & Joshi, H. The uses and users of population projections in Australia. Journal of Population Research 7, 151–170 (1990). https://doi.org/10.1007/BF03029362
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/BF03029362