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Modified stationarity tests with improved power in small samples

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Abstract

In a recent paper Kwiatkowski et al. (1992) propose the so-called KPSS statistic for testing the null hypothesis of stationarity against the alternative of a unit root process. The statistic employs a spectral estimator which can be shown to diverge with increasing sample size, given the alternative is true. Here, we suggest a modified spectral estimator which is shown to stabilize for moving average models. It is shown that this test statistic uniformly outperforms the KPSS statistic in an MA(1) model. Furthermore, a two-step nonparametric correction procedure is suggested, giving a test statistic with similar asymptotic properties as the original KPSS statistic. However, in small samples this correction performs better especially in detecting large random walk components.

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Authors and Affiliations

  1. Fachbereich Wirtschaftswissenschaften Abteilung Ökonometrie und Statistik, Universität Hannover, Wunstorfer Straße 14, D-30453, Hannover, Deutschland

    J. Breitung

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  1. J. Breitung
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Additional information

This paper was written while the author was a post-doctoral fellow at the University of Amsterdam. The author likes to thank Peter Boswijk, Inge van den Doel, Noud van Giersbergen and Jan F.Kiviet for their help during that time. Moreover, I would like to thank an anonymous referee for a number of helpful comments.

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Breitung, J. Modified stationarity tests with improved power in small samples. Stat Papers 36, 77–95 (1995). https://doi.org/10.1007/BF02926021

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  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/BF02926021

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