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The J-curve dynamics of U.S. bilateral trade

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Abstract

Three earlier studies examined the impact of dollar depreciation on bilateral trade between the United States and her six largest trading partners. They used different methodologies that resulted in different outcomes. In this paper we consider 18 major trading partners of the United States and employ a relatively new method to investigate the short-run as well as the long-run response of the bilateral trade balance to currency depreciation. While as with previous research we are unable to discover any J-curve pattern in the short run, in the long run real depreciation of the dollar has favorable effects on the U.S. trade balance in most cases.

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Authors and Affiliations

  1. The Center for Research on International Economics, Department of Economics, The University of Wisconsin-Milwaukee, 53201, Milwaukee, WI

    Mohsen Bahmani-Oskooee (Professor of Economics) & Artatrana Ratha (Professor of Economics)

Authors
  1. Mohsen Bahmani-Oskooee
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  2. Artatrana Ratha
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Additional information

Valuable comments of an anonymous referee are greatly appreciated. Any remaining errors, however, are the authors'.

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Bahmani-Oskooee, M., Ratha, A. The J-curve dynamics of U.S. bilateral trade. J Econ Finan 28, 32–38 (2004). https://doi.org/10.1007/BF02761452

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  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/BF02761452

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