Skip to main content
Log in

Weak disintegrability as a form of preservation of coherence

  • Published:
Journal of the Italian Statistical Society Aims and scope Submit manuscript

Summary

Weak disintegrations are investigated from various points of view. Kolmogorov's definition of conditional probability is critically analysed, and it is noted how the notion of disintegrability plays some role in connecting Kolmogorov's definition with the one given in line with de Finetti's coherence principle. Conditions are given, on the domain of a prevision, implying the equivalence between weak disintegrability and conglomerability. Moreover, weak sintegrations are characterized in terms of coherence, in de Finetti's sense, of, a suitable function. This fact enables us to give, an interpretation of weak disintegrability as a form of “preservation of coherence”. The previous results are also applied to a hypothetical inferential problem. In particular, an inference is shown to be coherent, in the sense of Heath and Sudderth, if and only if a suitable function is coherent, in de Finetti's sense.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this article

Price excludes VAT (USA)
Tax calculation will be finalised during checkout.

Instant access to the full article PDF.

Similar content being viewed by others

References

  • Berti P., Regazzini E. andRigo P. (1990), De Finetti's coherence and complete predicitive inferences.Quaderno IAMI 90.5, Milano.

  • Berti P., Regazzini E andRigo P. (1991), Coherent statistical inference and Bayes theorem.Ann. Statist., 19, 366–381.

    MATH  MathSciNet  Google Scholar 

  • Berti P. andRigo P. (1989),Conglomerabilità, disintegrabilità e coerenza. Serie Ricerche Teoriche 11, Dipartimento Statistico, Università di Firenze.

  • Berti P. andRigo P. (1990)., Making inference from improper priors.Working paper, n. 26, Dipartimento Statistico, Università di Firenze.

  • Berti P. andRigo P. (1991), Probabilità ed inferenze statistiche coerenti.Atti del Convegno “Problemi di inferenza pura”, Bagni di Lucca 1990, pubblicazione del Dipartimento Statistico dell'Università di Firenze, 63–77.

  • Berti P. andScozzafava R. (1981), Una probabilità conglomerativa e bilanciata è σ-additiva.Rend. Mat. Univ. Roma, (4) (1981), vol 1, serie VII, 515–519.

    MATH  MathSciNet  Google Scholar 

  • Bhaskara Rao K. P. S. andBhaskara Rao M. (1983),Theory of charges. Academic, London.

    MATH  Google Scholar 

  • Blackwell D. (1955), On a class of probability spaces.Proc. Third Berkeley Symp. Math. Statist. Prob., Univ. of California Press, 1–6.

  • Blackwell D. andDubins L. E. (1975), On existence and non-existence of proper, regular, conditional distributions.Ann. Prob., 3, 741–752.

    MATH  MathSciNet  Google Scholar 

  • Blackwell D. andRyll-Nardzewski C (1963), Non-existence of every where proper conditional distributions.Ann. Math. Stat.,34, 223–225.

    MathSciNet  Google Scholar 

  • Csásár Á. (1955). Sur la structure des espaces de probabilité conditionnelle.Acta Mathem. Acad. Scient. Hungariace, 6, 337–361.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • De Finetti B. (197),Theoria delle probabilità. Einaudi, Torino.

    Google Scholar 

  • De Finetti B (1970),Probability, induction and statistics. Wiley, New York.

    Google Scholar 

  • Dieudonnè J. (1948), Sur le théorème de Legbesgue-Nikodym. III.Ann. Univ. Grenoble, 23, 25–53.

    Google Scholar 

  • Dubins L. E. (1975), Finitely additive conditional probabilities, conglomerability and disintegrations.Ann. Prob., 3, 89–99.

    MATH  MathSciNet  Google Scholar 

  • Dubins L. E. (1976), On disintegrations and conditional probabilities.Lectures Notes in Mathematics, 254, Measure Theory Oberwolfach 1975, Springer Berlin, 53–59.

    Google Scholar 

  • Gnedenko B. V. andKologorov A. N. (1954).Limit distributions for sums of independent random variables. Translated by K. L. Chung with an appendix by J. L. Doob, Addison-Wesley, Cambridge.

    MATH  Google Scholar 

  • Heath D. andSudderth W (1978). On finitely additiove priors, coherence and extended admissibility.Ann. Statist., 6, 333–345.

    MATH  MathSciNet  Google Scholar 

  • Holzer S (1985), On coherence and conditional prevision.Boll. U.M.I., Serie 6, 4-C, 1, 441–460.

    MathSciNet  Google Scholar 

  • Kolmogorov A. N. (1933),Grundbegriffe der Wahrscheinlichkeitsrechnung. Ergebnisse Mathematic, Springer, Berlin.

    Google Scholar 

  • Lane D. andSudderth W. (1983). Coherent and continous inference.Ann. Statist., 11, 114–120.

    MathSciNet  Google Scholar 

  • Regazzini E. (1985), Finitely additive conditional probabilities.Rendiconti del Seminario Matermatico e Fisco di Milano, 55, 69–89.

    MATH  MathSciNet  Google Scholar 

  • Regazzini E. (1987), De Finetti's coherence and statistical inference.Ann. Statist., 15, 845–864.

    MATH  MathSciNet  Google Scholar 

  • Rigo P. (1988), Un teorema di estensione per probabilità condizionate finitamente additive.Atti della XXXIV Riunione Scientifica della S.I.S., Siena 1988, vol. 2, 27–34.

    Google Scholar 

  • Scozzafava R. (1982.a), Exchangeable events and countable disintegrations. InExchangeability in Probability and Statistics (Eds. G. Koch and F. Spizzichino), North Holland, Amsterdam, 297–301.

    Google Scholar 

  • Scozzafava R. (1982.b), Probabilità σ-additive e non.Boll. Un. Mat. It., 6, 1-A, 1–33.

    MathSciNet  Google Scholar 

  • Scozzafava R. (1984), A survey of some common misunderstandings concerning the role and meaning of finitely additive probabilities in statistical inference.Statistica, 44, 21–45.

    MATH  MathSciNet  Google Scholar 

  • Scozzafava R. (1990), Probabilità condizionate: de Finetti o Kolmogorov?Scritti in omaggio a L. Daboni, Trieste: Ed. Lint, 223–237.

    Google Scholar 

Download references

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Additional information

Research partially supported by: M.U.R.S.T. 40% “Problemi di inferenza pura”.

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

About this article

Cite this article

Berti, P., Rigo, P. Weak disintegrability as a form of preservation of coherence. J. It. Statist. Soc. 1, 161–181 (1992). https://doi.org/10.1007/BF02589029

Download citation

  • Received:

  • Revised:

  • Issue Date:

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/BF02589029

Keywords

Navigation