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Limits to population size: Three scenarios of energy interaction between human society and ecosystem

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Abstract

A simple theoretical model describing the interaction between humans and their environment in terms of energy flows is proposed to check the compatibility between the density of energy throughput in human society and the density of energy throughput in the ecosystem. This model is then applied to analyze three different scenarios of energy interaction between human society and the ecosystem: (i) societal activity is supported exclusively by biophysical processes for energy input and conversion; (ii) society is fueled by ‘biofuels’ (biogas and alcohol) but power is generated by exosomatic technological devices (engines, etc.); (iii) society has ample access to a high-density energy input and exosomatic technological devices. For each scenario limits to human development are discussed, and estimates of a sustainable population size provided on the basis of compatibility between energy throughput in society and the environment.

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Giampietro, M., Bukkens, S.G.F. & Pimentel, D. Limits to population size: Three scenarios of energy interaction between human society and ecosystem. Popul Environ 14, 109–131 (1992). https://doi.org/10.1007/BF01358041

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