Skip to main content
SpringerLink
Log in

Stochastic modelling of the Caspian Sea level fluctuations

  • Published:
Theoretical and Applied Climatology Aims and scope Submit manuscript

Summary

Fluctuations of the Caspian Sea level have been treated as a stochastic process influenced by rainfall and ambient temperature. A dynamic relation in time has been established between the monthly average of sea level, rainfall and temperature at the gauging station of Anzali, Iran. It was found that the present sea level,Z(t) is related to previous sea levels, as well as, present and past values of rainfall,R(t), and temperature,T(t), via a transfer function, which quantifies the relationship. While the effect of temperature on the fluctuations of the sea level is seasonal and relatively complicated, that of rainfall is seasonal and more simple.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this article

Log in via an institution

Price excludes VAT (USA)
Tax calculation will be finalised during checkout.

Instant access to the full article PDF.

Institutional subscriptions

Similar content being viewed by others

References

  • Anzali Port Authorities, 1995: The Caspian Sea level Records. Iran: Anzali.

    Google Scholar 

  • Box, G. E. P., Jenkins, G. M., 1976:Time Series Analysis. San Francisco: Holden-Day.

    Google Scholar 

  • Bowerman, B. L., O'Connell, R. T., 1987:Time Series Forecasting. Boston: Duxbury Press.

    Google Scholar 

  • Iranian Meteorological Organization, 1995:Weather Data. Tehran, Iran.

  • Meshkani, M. R., 1990:Modelling the Caspian Sea level Fluctuations. Technical Report, Shahid Beheshti University, Iran.

    Google Scholar 

Download references

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

  1. Department of Statistics, Shahid Beheshti University, Evin, Tehran, Iran

    M. R. Meshkani

  2. Department of Statistics, Ferdowsi University of Mashhad, Mashhad, Iran

    A. Meshkani

Authors
  1. M. R. Meshkani
    View author publications

    You can also search for this author in PubMed Google Scholar

  2. A. Meshkani
    View author publications

    You can also search for this author in PubMed Google Scholar

Additional information

With 4 Figures

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

About this article

Cite this article

Meshkani, M.R., Meshkani, A. Stochastic modelling of the Caspian Sea level fluctuations. Theor Appl Climatol 58, 189–195 (1997). https://doi.org/10.1007/BF00865019

Download citation

  • Received:

  • Revised:

  • Issue Date:

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/BF00865019

Keywords

Search

Navigation