On the dynamics of vegetation: Patterns of environmental and vegetational change

Summary

Ecological succession theory deals with temporal change in biological communities. It consists largely of generalizations based on temporal sequences inferred from spatial ones. The predictive content of the theory is low, since predictions are derived from unconditional trends rather than conditional laws. There exist several conflicting theories purporting to explain successional change, but their empirical vacuousness prevents an assessment on empirical terms. It is argued here that one can nevertheless advocate a theory which accounts for the ubiquity of successional change and explains the most conspicuous characteristics of the successional process, even though it cannot predict the detailed dynamics. Such a theory is derived here from an analysis of adaptive strategies.

It is also pointed out that a persistant confusion exists in the ecological literature between what are considered to be the driving forces of successional change, competition and reaction. The former is taken to be an instantaneous type of interaction, whereas the latter has historical (cumulative) aspects. It is not at all obvious whether interactions of the historical type play an important role in driving vegetational change, although it is usually suggested that they do.