Skip to main content

Probabilistic Estimation of COVID-19 Using Patient’s Symptoms

  • Conference paper
  • First Online:
Data Driven Approach Towards Disruptive Technologies

Abstract

COVID-19 is a viral infectious disease that originated from Hubei Province being Wuhan as the central outbreak point. This paper proposes a model where the probability of getting infected will be derived from the person’s symptoms. The prediction is very much required to understand the interdependencies of the category of symptoms responsible for the infection. For this work, we used various algorithms for the classification like logistic regression, naïve Bayes, random forest, linear support vector classifier, and decision tree. The performance metrics of various algorithms were compared, and the successful method was discussed. The approximate mean accuracy score using these algorithms was found to be 78%.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this chapter

Chapter
USD 29.95
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
eBook
USD 259.00
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as EPUB and PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
Softcover Book
USD 329.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Compact, lightweight edition
  • Dispatched in 3 to 5 business days
  • Free shipping worldwide - see info
Hardcover Book
USD 329.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Durable hardcover edition
  • Dispatched in 3 to 5 business days
  • Free shipping worldwide - see info

Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout

Purchases are for personal use only

Institutional subscriptions

Similar content being viewed by others

References

  1. Coronavirus Update (Live): 3,870,581 Cases and 226,741 Deaths from COVID-19 Virus Pandemic Worldometer. (2020). https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus. Last accessed 2020/05/07.

  2. CDC. How Coronavirus Spreads. https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/prevent-gettingsick/how-covid-spreads.html. Last accessed 2020/05/07.

  3. van Doremalen, N., Bushmaker, T., Morris, D. H., Holbrook, M. G., Gamble, A., Williamson, B. N., et al. (2020). Aerosol and surface stability of SARS-CoV-2 as compared with SARS-CoV-1. New England Journal of Medicine, 382(16), 1564–1567. https://doi.org/10.1056/nejmc2004973.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  4. World Health Organization: WHO. Coronavirus, https://www.who.int/health-topics/coronavirus. Last accessed 2020/05/07.

  5. Advice for public. https://www.who.int/emergencies/diseases/novel-coronavirus-2019/advice-forpublic. Last accessed 2020/05/07.

  6. SRK. Novel Corona Virus 2019 Dataset. https://www.kaggle.com/sudalairajkumar/novel-coronavirus-2019-dataset. Last accessed 2020/05/07.

  7. Patient medical data for novel coronavirus COVID-19 | Wolfram Data Repository. https://datarepository.wolframcloud.com/resources/Patient-Medical-Data-for-Novel-Coronavirus-COVID19. Last accessed 2020/05/07.

  8. Li, L., Qin, L., Xu, Z., Yin, Y., Wang, X., Kong, B., et al. (2020). Using artificial intelligence to detect COVID-19 and community-acquired pneumonia based on pulmonary CT: evaluation of the diagnostic accuracy. Radiology, 296(2), E65–E71. https://doi.org/10.1148/radiol.2020200905.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  9. Bai, H. X., Hsieh, B., Xiong, Z., Halsey, K., Choi, J. W., Tran, T. M. L., et al. (2020). Performance of radiologists in differentiating COVID-19 from Non-COVID19 viral pneumonia at chest CT. Radiology, 296(2), E46–E54. https://doi.org/10.1148/radiol.2020200823.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  10. Apostolopoulos, I. D., & Mpesiana, T. A. (2020). Covid-19: automatic detection from X-ray images utilizing transfer learning with convolutional neural networks. Physical and Engineering Sciences in Medicine, 43(2), 635–640. https://doi.org/10.1007/s13246-020-00865-4.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  11. Wang, M., Cao, R., Zhang, L., Yang, X., Liu, J., Xu, M., et al. (2020). Remdesivir and chloroquine effectively inhibit the recently emerged novel coronavirus (2019-nCoV) in vitro. Cell Research, 30(3), 269–271. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41422-020-0282-0.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  12. Siddiqui, M. K., Morales-Menendez, R., Gupta, P. K., Iqbal, H. M. N., Hussain, F., Khatoon, K., & Ahmad, S. (2020). Correlation between temperature and COVID-19 (suspected, confirmed and death) cases based on machine learning analysis. Journal of Pure and Applied Microbiology, 14(suppl 1), 1017– 1024. https://doi.org/10.22207/jpam.14.spl1.40.

  13. Tiwari, S., Kumar, S., & Guleria, K. (2020). Outbreak trends of coronavirus disease–2019 in India: A prediction. Disaster Medicine and Public Health Preparedness, pp. 1–6. https://doi.org/10.1017/dmp.2020.115.

Download references

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Corresponding author

Correspondence to Sumit Banik .

Editor information

Editors and Affiliations

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

Copyright information

© 2021 The Author(s), under exclusive license to Springer Nature Singapore Pte Ltd.

About this paper

Check for updates. Verify currency and authenticity via CrossMark

Cite this paper

Banik, S., Banik, S., Ghosh, A., Mukherjee, A. (2021). Probabilistic Estimation of COVID-19 Using Patient’s Symptoms. In: Singh, T.P., Tomar, R., Choudhury, T., Perumal, T., Mahdi, H.F. (eds) Data Driven Approach Towards Disruptive Technologies. Studies in Autonomic, Data-driven and Industrial Computing. Springer, Singapore. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-981-15-9873-9_29

Download citation

Publish with us

Policies and ethics